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justinspoliticalcorner

Feb 3

Government of South African President Cyril Ramaphosa is ‘treating certain classes of people very badly’, Trump claims as he demands ‘full i

Rachel Savage at The Guardian:

Donald Trump has claimed South Africa is “confiscating” land and “treating certain classes of people very badly”, announcing he is cutting off all future funding to the country pending an investigation.The US president’s intervention intoone of South Africa’s most divisive issueswas rebutted by the country’s government and criticised by groups across its political spectrum.Land ownership inSouth Africaremains highly unequal, a legacy of white minority rule that governments have struggled to address since the first multi-racial elections in 1994.Efforts to redress this inequality have drawn criticism from conservatives globally, including the South African-born billionaire and close Trump ally Elon Musk, who on Mondayposted“Why do you have openly racist ownership laws?” on his social media platform X, in response to South Africa’s president Cyril Ramaphosa’s defence of the country’s policy.Musk, who is heading Trump’s efforts to shrink the federal government,has said he is working to shut down the foreign aid agency USAid. The Trump administration removed two security officials from USAid at the weekend who had tried to stop representatives from his department of government efficiency from gaining access to the building.Ramaphosa signed a bill last month allowing the government to offer “nil compensation” in certain circumstances for land it expropriates in the public interest. This includes if the land is abandoned or held purely for speculation, if offering no compensation is “just and equitable”.

“South Africa is confiscating land, and treating certain classes of people VERY BADLY,” Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform on Sunday. “I will be cutting off all future funding to South Africa until a full investigation of this situation has been completed!”.In response, Ramaphosa said its law was not exceptional and that the only US aid South Africa received was 17% of its HIV/Aids programme.“The recently adopted Expropriation Act is not a confiscation instrument, but a constitutionally mandated legal process that ensures public access to land in an equitable and just manner as guided by the constitution,” Ramaphosa said in apost on X.

[...]Thousands of Black families were forcibly removed from their land by the apartheid regime under the 1913 Natives Land Act. Since the end of apartheid, courts have ruled on a handful of lengthy land disputes, returning land to previously displaced owners.The government has also bought and redistributed 7.8m hectares of farmland, with a target to redistribute 30% of white farms that has been moved repeatedly from 1998 until 2030.Black farmers have bought another 1.8m hectares of land,according to Stellenbosch University economists Johann Kirsten and Wandile Sihlobo. However, 78% of private farms remain white-owned, while many Black farmers have struggled amid a lack of financial and technical support.The right has used murders of white South African farmers as arallying point, including British rightwing journalist Katie Hopkins and Musk, who was born in Pretoria in 1971 but left the country in his late teens.Trump has surrounded himself with powerful Silicon Valley figures who came of age in apartheid southern Africa, including David Sacks, hisartificial intelligence and cryptocurrency czar, who co-founded PayPal with Musk.Billionaire Peter Thiel – another PayPal cofounder, who introduced Trump to his vice-president, JD Vance – also lived in southern Africa, including in Namibia which was then ruled by South Africa. He has previously been accused of supporting apartheid, something a spokesperson denied on his behalf.

Donald Trump has a sick fetish for Apartheid Era South Africa.

#South Africa#Donald Trump#Cyril Ramaphosa#Elon Musk#Apartheid Era#US/South Africa Relations#Foreign Aid#Apartheid#South Africa Land Distribution Policy#PayPal Mafia#David Sacks#Peter Thiel#South Africa Farm Seizures

blackboyart

Nov 7, 2024

Natural Laws

Should the government create laws within nature? Most environmentalists would answer without hesitation a strong yes for agreement. Environmental scientists' lives are dedicated to research that helps maintain ecosystems and promotes biodiversity. Few researchers might catch the opposing group by surprise and argue that it would be unethical to create laws for nature that go against the natural process of events. I feel laws created are good at helping sustain the environment and that biologists, ecologists, and scientists should make them however let's delve into why not.

This debate stirs up the purpose of having a government—a system to create laws that are good for the future of everyone and not the individual. The government has long been creating rules and regulations for the environment within the United States.

In the early 19th century the 26th president of the United States Theodore Roosevelt saved 250 acres of public land to be considered a National Forest. He created the USFS United States Forest Service and was the first president to initiate the importance of birds in making a Federal Bird Reserve. Today the reserve is known as the national wildlife refuges controlled by the United States Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS). The 37th president of the United States Richard Nixon signed an Endangered Species Act into effect in 1973. The act remains relevant in today's era causing clashes with corporations and farmers. Recently under former president Donald Trump's legislation, the administration disregarded the endangered spotted owl to open up for acres of logging. The bill was reversed by a federal court in the year 2021.

The current president Joseph Biden the 46th president has several bills that project a voice for animals in the wild. The Biden administration intends to list emperor penguins as “threatened” under the Endangered Species Act, stating the bird from Antarctica is enduring risk due to climate change. Furthermore, the lesser prairie chicken is listed under the Endangered Species Act by the Biden administration. The U.S Fish and Wildlife Service proposed listing the lesser prairie chicken in the southern portion of its range, which includes part of New Mexico and Texas. Lastly, the Biden administration set out to conserve 30 percent of U. S public lands and waters, which would ideally be good for migration stop-by locations and just all-around good habitat for birds. Currently, in Los Angeles councilwoman Katy Yaroslavsky is a council supporter of the Wildlife Ordinance Bill which had been making its way within the government in 2014 a bill that would protect wildlife and biodiversity by limiting fencing and tree removal.

The laws that are made by the government are in place to protect biodiversity and mitigate the effects of infrastructure and urbanization. The laws in place inadvertently affect the phenotypic diversity of the animals. However, it makes one ponder if these laws are intended to stop greed and destruction.

Environmental laws help keep balance in an already just ecosystem using power for the good. Though these laws are made to create biodiversity, they affect animals in ways that can change their genetics.

Some might argue that nature has a way of figuring it out for itself and people are just interrupting that process. I am explaining these laws of nature because they are natural occurrences that control an animal or plant population. I understand that the rules that are in place for nature are usually to regulate human behavior and not animal-induced behavior.

The environment has natural laws that affect a species. These laws that may happen such as bottleneck, and genetic drift are known to cause changes in the animal population and even can result in the species no longer existing. Human intervention does not stop the production of an entirely new species or adaptation to occur.

Government Laws did not exist billions of years ago and biodiversity is prominent. Without those laws in the past animals have still managed to adapt.

Decreased land is prominent throughout history in nature due to natural disasters such as forest fires and tsunamis. The human intervention of promoting longevity to a species through government acts can be seen as divine intervention. As animals naturally cease to exist. For example, a natural occurrence called bottleneck is an occurrence that happens when natural disasters occur causing a dramatic decrease in population size. When that natural disaster happens the gene pool lets say birds may be the only of its kind left to pass on a specific trait or behavior reducing genetic variation and resulting in possible extinction. Then there is genetic drift that is more focused on the trait itself like a species passing on a genetic trait that is used for the survival of the species. These traits help the bird survive passing on the genetics used for the longevity of the species. When a species is endangered it is due to loss of variation and or loss of habitat. They are put into wildlife parks and captive breeding programs, no hunting, or deforestation of ecosystems and pollution. The reason for these laws is to help combat the manipulation of the land that humans build upon.

Laws were created to stop animals and plants from disappearing by advocating conservation through non-destruction or human interference.

The importance of animals and ecosystems that play a vital role in sustainability is seen as good for the planet. People are the voice of animals. They do not have a voice or a democracy in place created for the way of life making people responsible for managing them for their good. If people did not manage laws for nature there would be an imbalance as more pressure on building and depletion, deforestation, and logging with no end until all resources are gone. Laws are in place to help create a balance between the land and humans and not just to regulate animals for economic gain.

Thanks to regulations, several species are recovering at the state beach of Bolsa Chica Wetlands. These species include the Snowy Plover, California least tern, and the Brown Pelican. These species are on protected land thanks to governmental laws protecting them from hunting of any kind. And their ecosystem is protected meaning that the land will not disappear due to developmental infrastructure.

bountyofbeads

Aug 1, 2019

Trump says he will go ahead with new China tariffs that would hit iPhones, toys

https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/01/economy/new-china-tariffs-threat-trump/index.html

Trump says he will go ahead with new China tariffs that would hit iPhones and toys(JUST IN TIME FOR THE CHRISTMAS SEASON)

By Katie Lobosco, Kevin Liptak and Abby Phillip | Updated August 1,2019 3:06 PM ET | CNN | Posted August 1, 2019 |

Washington (CNN Business) - President Donald Trump tweeted Thursday that he will add a new tariff on $300 billion of Chinese-made products on September 1, which would effectively put a tax on all Chinese goods coming into the United States.

"Trade talks are continuing, and during the talks the U.S. will start, on September 1st, putting a small additional tariff of 10% on the remaining 300 billion dollars of products coming from China into our country," he tweeted.

The new tariffs could hit US consumers harder than the earlier rounds. It would tax goods like iPhones and other consumer electronics, sneakers and toys. Last year, Trump imposed tariffs on about $250 billion in Chinese-made goods, targeting industrial materials and components.

The announcement is yet another sign that Trump's efforts to strike a new trade bargain with China remain rocky, even after Trump's last meeting in June with his counterpart Xi Jinping at the Group of 20 summit in Japan.

At the time, Trump said he'd put off imposing new tariffs indefinitely.

"I promised that, for at least the time being, we're not going to be lifting tariffs on China," Trump said at the time. "We won't be adding an additional tremendous amount of — we have, I guess, $350 billion left, which could be taxed or it could be tariffed. And we're not doing that."

With his tweets Thursday, Trump is acknowledging that those promises of agricultural purchases never materialized.

Top US trade officials were in China this week to continue negotiations.

In his tweets, the President called the talks "constructive," but said the Chinese have not restarted buying American agricultural products as they had promised. He also claimed that China had failed to live up to its commitment in stemming sales of fentanyl, a powerful opioid, into the United States.

American farmers have been hit hard by China's retaliatory tariffs. Once the biggest market for US soybean farmers, the Chinese stopped buying the American product last summer in retaliation to Trump's tariffs. By the end of 2018, the amount of American soybeans sitting in storage hit record levels.

The move to apply new tariffs is sure to increase anxiety among businesses and Wall Street that the trade war is nowhere near its end.

Equity and oil markets took a downward turn after Trump's tweets.

#u.s. news#politics#donald trump#trump administration#politics and government#president donald trump#white house#republican politics#us: news#republican party#international news#maga#impeach trump#trumpism#trumpsupporters#trump trade war#China#china news

gov-info

Feb 5, 2019

Roundup! Who’s Who at the State of the Union, 9p.m. ET (watch/listen/read: whitehouse.gov or c-span.org)

Speakers

President Donald Trump

Democratic Response (English): Stacey Abrams

Democratic Response (Spanish): Xavier Becerra

Attendees

Officials: Members of the House and Senate, the President’s Cabinet (with the exception of one planned absentee Cabinet member), Vice President, Joint Chiefs of Staff, Justices of the U.S. Supreme Court, former Members of Congress, and members of the diplomatic corps.

Invited Guests (as of 2 p.m. ET)

President Trump/First Lady Melania Trump

Congress (via @RollCall) click below for list (as of 2p.m. ET):

Senate

Sen. Lamar Alexander, R-Tennessee: A.B. Culvahouse, Jr., Ambassador of the United States of America to the Commonwealth of Australia and a Tennessean.

Sen. Tammy Baldwin, D-Wisconsin: Diane Whitcraft, a constituent with multiple sclerosis who stopped taking a drug after 23 years because she could not afford it.

Sen. Cory Booker, D-New Jersey: Edward Douglas, who faced a lifetime sentence in 2003 for selling crack cocaine, but was released in January thanks to a criminal justice reform bill called the First Step Act passed by Congress in December.

Sen. Dick Durbin, D-Illinois: Toby Hauck, an Aurora, Illinois, air traffic controller and Air Force veteran and one of the more than 8,000 Illinois federal employees impacted by the partial government shutdown.

Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, D-New York:Navy Lt. Cmdr. Blake Dremann, a transgender service member and the president of SPART*A, an LGBT military advocacy organization focused on transgender military advocacy.

Sen. Kamala Harris, D-California: Trisha Pesiri-Dybvik, an air traffic controller and a mother of three who lost her home in the Travis wildfire, and soon after went without a paycheck during the 35-day shutdown.

Sen. Martin Heinrich, D-New Mexico: Former Pueblo of Acoma Governor Kurt Riley will attend to bring attention to how the shutdown adversely affected public safety, child welfare, and health care programs at Indian Health Service and Bureau of Indian Affairs.

Sen. John Hoeven, R-North Dakota: Bethlehem Gronneberg, founder and CEO of uCodeGirl.

Sen. Angus King, I-Maine: Margo Walsh, the owner and founder of MaineWorks, a Portland employment agency, and co-founder of Maine Recovery Fund, which provides services for people in recovery for substance abuse.

Sen. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minnesota: Nicole Smith-Holt, a constituent whose son died because the family was unable to afford his insulin.

Sen. Edward Markey, D-Massachusetts: Varshini Prakash, executive director and co-founder of Sunrise, a movement of young people working to stop climate change.

Sen. Martha McSally, R-Arizona: Isaiah Acosta, a 19-year-old rapper born without a jaw, who is an advocate for Phoenix Children’s Hospital and Children’s Miracle Networks Hospitals.

Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto, D-Nevada: Dr. Michael Moradshahi, a second-generation American and licensed psychologist. Moradshahi served in the Department of Veteran Affairs and currently works in the Indian Health System (IHS) in Reno. He worked without pay during the partial government shutdown.

Sen. Jeff Merkley, D-Oregon: Albertina Contreras, a mother detained in solitary confinement and separated from her 11-year-old daughter Yakelin when she sought asylum from domestic violence in Guatemala.

Sen. Rob Portman, R-Ohio: Jamael Tito Brown, mayor of Youngstown, the beneficiary of a recent U.S. Department of Transportation BUILD grant.

Sen. Jacky Rosen, D-Nevada: Tanya Flanagan, a constituent and county employee who has survived breast cancer three times, who would be at risk of losing health care coverage without the Affordable Care Act’s protections for patients with preexisting conditions.

Sen. Chris Van Hollen, D-Maryland: Lila Johnson, a grandmother and primary breadwinner, who has worked as a general cleaning services contractor at the U.S. Department of Agriculture for more than two decades. As it stands, Johnson will not receive compensation for the 35 days the government was partially shuttered.

Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, D-Arizona: Maj. Bryan Bouchard, a retired Bronze Star recipient.

Sen. Thom Tillis, R-North Carolina: Pastor Andrew Brunson, a North Carolina native who was imprisoned in Turkey, and his wife Norine Brunson. Brunson was arrested during a crackdown after a failed military coup attempt against Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. He was released last year.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Massachusetts: Sajid Shahriar, an employee of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development furloughed during the government shutdown. Executive vice president of the American Federation of Government Employees Local 3258, Shahriar organized rallies in Boston to urge an end to the shutdown.

House of Representatives

Rep. Andy Biggs, R-Arizona: Border Patrol Agent Art Del Cueto.

Rep. Earl Blumenauer, D-Oregon: Blumenauer will not attend the State of the Union address, but has asked Nate Mook, executive director of the World Central Kitchen, to take his place. Word Central Kitchen, founded by celebrity chef José Andrés, provides food to people in need, and distributed meals to federal employees during the shutdown.

Rep. Suzanne Bonamici, D-Oregon: Alexandria Goddard, who helped organize Portland’s March for Our Lives while a student at Sunset High School. Goddard is currently a freshman at Portland State University.

Rep. Cheri Bustos, D-Illinois:Tom Mueller, a soybean farmer whose income has taken a hit from trade policy under the Trump administration.

Rep. Salud Carbajal, D-California: Foodbank of Santa Barbara County CEO Erik Talkin, who distributed food to furloughed workers during the 35-day partial government shutdown.

Rep John Carter, R-Texas: Robert Chody, the Williamson County sheriff. Carter said in a statement that Chody was a U.S. Army veteran and served in the Texas Department of Criminal Justice before taking the helm in Williamson County.

Rep. Judy Chu, D-California: Ryan Hampton, an advocate who was able to receive treatment for opioid addiction only to see his friend die in a sober-living facility due to lack of training and resources. Hampton will argue Trump is ignoring the opioid crisis by obsessing over a non-solution.

Rep. David Cicilline, D-Rhode Island: Jamie Green, an air traffic controller at T.F. Green International Airport.

Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, D-New Jersey: Victorina Morales, an undocumented immigrant who worked as a housekeeper at the Trump National Golf Club in Bedminster, New Jersey.

Rep. Gerald E. Connolly, D-Virginia: Amer Al-Mudallal, a chemist and 22-year veteran of the chemical safety division of the Environmental Protection Agency. Both Amer and his wife, another EPA employee, were furloughed and missed their paychecks during the partial government shutdown.

Rep. Angie Craig, D-Minnesota: Katie Brenny, who Craig describes as a cattle farmer, businesswoman, and community advocate.

Rep. Charlie Crist, D-Florida: “Coast Guard family” Petty Officer Chris Gutierrez and Chelsey Gutierrez. Gutierrez is stationed at Coast Guard Air Station Clearwater.

Rep. Joe Cunningham, D-South Carolina: Folly Beach Mayor Tim Goodwin, a Republican, who endorsed Cunningham over his GOP opponent Katie Arrington last year.

Rep. Sharice Davids, D-Kansas: Laura Robeson, a mother and health care advocate from Prairie Village, whose 7-year-old son Danny was born prematurely and has cerebral palsy, epilepsy, and cortical vision impairment.

Rep. Rodney Davis, R-Illinois: Taylorville Fire Chief Mike Crews, who was instrumental in the emergency notification and disaster recovery efforts when a tornado struck the congressman’s hometown on Dec. 1, 2018.

Rep. Madeleine Dean, D-Pennsylvania: Jami Amo, a survivor of the 1999 Columbine school shooting. Amo became a gun safety activist after the tragedy at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School last year.

Rep. Antonio Delgado, D-New York: Michael Hickey, who exposed elevated levels of toxic PFOA chemicals in Hoosick Falls and Petersburgh after his father died of cancer.

Rep. Val Demings, D-Florida: Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings and Ralph Velez, a federal employee at Orlando International Airport who worked without a paycheck during the partial government shutdown.

Rep. Ted Deutch, D-Florida: Manny Oliver, who started the organization Change the Ref after losing his son Joaquin in the tragedy at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School.

Rep. Nanette Diaz Barragán, D-California: Charlene Downey, a retired U.S. Coast Guard Captain.

Rep. Veronica Escobar, D-Texas: Senaida Navar, a DACA recipient and an adjunct instructor at the University of Texas at El Paso.

Rep. Adriano Espaillat, D-New York: Yeni Gonzalez Garcia, a Guatemalan mother separated from her three children at the Arizona border last year.

Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick, R-Pennsylvania: Justin Cangro, 16, whose 20-year-old brother Jared died of an overdose in July 2016.

Rep. Chuck Fleischmann, R-Tennessee: Gov. Bill Lee will join Fleischmann as his guest and meet with the entire Tennessee delegation.

Rep. Bill Foster, D-Illinois: Marilyn Weisner, executive director of the Aurora Area Interfaith Food Pantry.

Rep. Lois Frankel, D-Florida: Kim Churches, CEO of the American Association of University Women, an organization that promotes education for women and girls.

Rep. Matt Gaetz, R-Florida: Carlos Trujillo, U.S. Ambassador to the Organization of American States. Gaetz tweeted Trujillo has been a “key advisor” to the Trump administration on Venezuela policy.

Rep. Ruben Gallego, D-Arizona: Beth Lewis, chair of Save Our Schools Arizona, an organization that advocates for strong public schools.

Rep. Sylvia R. Garcia, D-Texas: Devani Gonzalez, a DACA recipient who aspires to be in law enforcement but is hindered due to her immigration status.

Rep. Jared Golden, D-Maine: Cynthia Phinney, president of the Maine AFL-CIO.

Rep. Jimmy Gomez, D-California: Sandra Diaz, another former housekeeper who worked at the Trump National Golf Club in Bedminster, New Jersey, as an undocumented immigrant. Diaz endured coercion, physical and verbal abuse, and threats of deportation from her supervisors there, Gomez said in a statement.Diaz, who emigrated from Costa Rica, is now a legal resident and does not have to worry her attendance will tip off U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

Rep. Josh Gottheimer, D-New Jersey: Annette Leo, the mother of two who have been diagnosed with Ataxia Telangiectasia, a rare, progressive neurological disorder.

Rep. Deb Haaland, D-New Mexico: Mara Keisling, executive director of the National Center for Transgender Equality.

Rep. Josh Harder, D-California: John Casazza, a Central Valley walnut farmer from Hughson and lifelong Republican. Recent Chinese tariffs are “significantly hurting his business due to the lowered demand,” according to a statement.

Rep. Jim Himes, D-Connecticut: Lane Murdock, a junior at Ridgefield High School student and co-founder of National School Walkout, which organized a massive student protest in the wake of the shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland.

Del. Eleanor Holmes Norton, D-District of Columbia: Faye Smith, a member of 32BJ SEIU, a contracted Smithsonian security officer who was facing eviction because of the shutdown.

Rep. Steny H. Hoyer, D-Maryland: Jacqueline Beale, Maryland state lead ambassador for the American Cancer Society Cancer Action Network.

Rep. Pramila Jayapal, D-Washington: Lisa J. Graumlich, climate scientist and Dean of the College of the Environment at the University of Washington.

Rep. Bill Johnson, R-Ohio: Chris Green, a police officer who nearly overdosed after being exposed to fentanyl during an arrest.

Rep. Dan Kildee, D-Michigan: Cathy Wusterbarth, of Oscoda, who has advocated for all levels of government to more urgently address toxic per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) contamination that has been found in drinking water in her community.

Rep. Steve King, R-Iowa: Far-right Fox News personalities “Diamond and Silk.”

Rep. Adam Kinzinger, R-Illinois: Dixon High School Resource Officer Mark Dallas, who intervened when a former student started firing in the school auditorium last year.

Rep. Conor Lamb, D-Pennsylvania: Darrin Kelly, a veteran of the U.S. Navy, firefighter and president of the Allegheny/Fayette Central Labor Council, AFL-CIO.

Rep. Jim Langevin, D-Rhode Island: Stephen Cardi, the chief operating officer of the Cardi Corporation and president of Construction Industries of Rhode Island.

Rep. Susie Lee, D-Nevada: Sergeant Isaac Saldivar, who served in the U.S. Marines in Afghanistan and Iraq. Saldivar lost two years of G.I. Bill benefits when the for-profit college he was enrolled in closed.

Rep. Mike Levin, D-California: Lucero Sanchez, a DACA recipient, student in environmental science at UC San Diego, and former intern on Levin’s campaign.

Rep. Daniel Lipinski, D-Illinois: Chicago police officer Gino Garcia and advocate for the organization WINGS, which provides shelter and job training for victims of domestic violence.

Rep. Dave Loebsack, D-Iowa: Jeff Chapman, battalion chief of the Clinton Fire Department, who has served with the department since 1995.

Rep. Zoe Lofgren, D-California: Shaima Swileh, a Yemeni national, and Ali Hassan, a U.S. citizen, to spotlight the impact of the Trump administration’s Muslim travel ban. Though their 2-year-old son is receiving treatment for a terminal genetic brain condition in the U.S., the couple struggled to obtain a visa for Swileh, his mother. After a public outcry, Swileh was able to visit the U.S. weeks before her son died. Rep. Jerry McNerney, D-Calif., will also host the couple.

Rep. Tom Malinowski, D-New Jersey: Hing Foo Lee, brother of the late patient advocate John Lee, who was profiled in the Washington Post for his determination to vote in NJ-07 while dealing with stage IV cancer.

Rep. Carolyn B. Maloney, D-New York: Sydney B. Ireland, a high school student who successfully lobbied to join the Boy Scout Troops and is now fighting to be officially recognized as a member with a rank of Eagle Scout.

Rep. Ben McAdams, D-Utah: McAdams will bring his brother-in-law Sam, who voted for Trump in 2016.

Rep. Jerry McNerney, D-California: Shaima Swileh, a Yemeni national, and Ali Hassan, a U.S. citizen, to spotlight the impact of the Trump administration’s Muslim travel ban. Rep. Zoe Lofgren, D-Calif., will also host the couple.

Rep. Grace Meng, D-New York: Jin Park of Flushing, Queens, the first Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals recipient to be awarded the prestigious Rhodes Scholarship. Park is to study at the University of Oxford in England in the fall but fears he will not be permitted to re-enter the country.

Rep. Stephanie Murphy, D-Florida: A 15-year-old student, Uma Menon of Winter Park, the winner of the congresswoman’s State of the Union essay contest.

Rep. Joe Neguse, D-Colorado: Elias, a DACA recipient and student in chemical and biological engineering, as well as biomedical engineering at Colorado State University. Elias emigrated from Mexico at a young age.

Rep. Donald Norcross, D-New Jersey: Robert Martinez Jr., who is the International President of the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers and is a veteran of the U.S. Navy. Norcross has introduced a bill to grant federal contractors back pay for income lost during the shutdown.

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-New York: Ana Maria Archila, co-executive director of the Center for Popular Democracy. Archila made national headlines last year when she confronted then-Sen. Jeff Flake, R-Arizona, in a Capitol elevator and challenged him to vote against Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the Supreme Court.

Rep. Tom O’Halleran, D-Arizona: Navajo Nation Vice President Myron Lizer.

Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minnesota: Linda Clark, who fled Liberia and found refuge in the U.S. two decades ago under Deferred Enforced Departure, but who faces deportation as soon as March because the Trump administration has shuttered the program.

Rep. Chris Pappas, D-New Hampshire: Pappas invited transgender veteran Tavion Dignard in order to call attention to the transgender military service ban.

Rep. Nancy Pelosi, D-California: The House Speaker’s guest list includes active duty transgender members of the military, Chef José Andrés, D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser and DNC Chair Tom Perez. The Leader’s other State of the Union guests are President Richard Trumka of the AFL-CIO, President Randi Weingarten of the American Federation of Teachers, former Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe and Mrs. Dorothy McAuliffe.

Rep. Chellie Pingree, D-Maine: Joel Clement, a former Department of the Interior policy expert and whistleblower, who alleged the Trump administration retaliated against him for speaking out about the threat climate change poses to Native communities in Alaska after department higher-ups moved the biologist into the accounting department.

Rep. Mark Pocan, D-Wisconsin: Aissa Olivarez, staff attorney for the Community Immigration Law Center in Madison, a nonprofit resource center which helps low-income immigrants with legal services.

Rep. Lucille Roybal-Allard, D-California: Kenia Yaritza Arredondo Ramos, a mother, DACA recipient and nursing student at Los Angeles Trade-Technical College.

Rep. Tim Ryan, D-Ohio: Dave Green, president of United Auto Workers Local 1112, which represents General Motors workers at the Lordstown plant, one of five North American plants GM is closing.

Rep. Kim Schrier, D-Washington: Issaquah resident Jenell Payne Tamaela. Jenell was diagnosed with stage 3c colon cancer in Summer, 2016. She has since become an advocate for better access to health care for people with pre-existing conditions, and lower costs of prescription drugs and health care coverage. Jenell and Rep. Schrier are two of an estimated 300,000 people with pre-existing conditions in the 8th District.

Rep. Terri Sewell, D-Alabama: Tiphanie Carter, wife of Birmingham Police Sergeant Wytasha Carter, who was killed on duty last month.

Rep. Elissa Slotkin, D-Michigan: Amanda Thomashow, a sexual assault survivor advocate. Thomashow, a former Michigan State University student, brought the first Title IX case against Larry Nassar at MSU in 2014, which led to an investigation and contributed to Nassar’s eventual firing from the university.

Rep. Jackie Speier, D-California: United States Air Force Staff Sergeant Logan Ireland, who served in Afghanistan and Qatar.

Rep. Darren Soto, D-Florida: Doug Lowe, a U.S. Marine Corps veteran and Federal Aviation Administration specialist at the Orlando International Airport.

Rep. Greg Stanton, D-Arizona: Ellie Perez, a DACA recipient, and the first undocumented City of Phoenix employee, the first undocumented member of the Democratic National Committee, and a former campaign aide.

Rep. Haley Stevens, D-Michigan: Jean Buller, former teacher at Walled Lake Middle School, who recently retired after 30 years in the school district, and 2018 Michigan Science Teacher of the Year.

Rep. Norma J. Torres, D-California: Joe Rodgers, a Federal Aviation Administration Engineer Technician at Ontario International Airport.

Rep. Xochitl Torres Small, D-New Mexico: Arlean Murillo, ambassador to the New Mexico Secretary of Education’s Family Cabinet and, as the wife of a U.S. Border Patrol agent, a volunteer with the Border Patrol Agent Family Network.

Rep. Lori Trahan, D-Massachusetts: Lawrence Police Officer Ivan Soto, worked tirelessly during the gas explosions in his community last year, responding to fires even when his own house went up in flames.

Rep. Tim Walberg, R-Michigan: Haley Petrowski, a cyberbullying prevention advocate and Adrian College student.

Rep. Michael Waltz, R-Florida: Senior Chief Jeffery S. Graham, officer in charge of Coast Guard Station Ponce de Leon Inlet in New Smyrna Beach.

Rep. Jennifer Wexton, D-Virginia: Linda McCray, a constituent who works at the Washington Air Route Traffic Control Center and was furloughed during the shutdown.

Rep. Lee Zeldin, R-New York: Commissioner Geraldine Hart, who previously led Long Island’s Federal Bureau of Investigations field office and gang task force.

#sotu#POTUS

dexnewage324

Jul 26, 2022

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In The Guardian’s review of Ian Rickson’s 2011 production, Billington writes, “nothing will persuade me that Lillian Hellman’s 1934 play is any more than well-intentioned melodrama”. I disagree. Katie Woods’ production indeed was “well-intentioned” but it didn’t feel melodramatic. Indeed, the script perhaps lends itself to.

Children S Hour by Lillian Hellman PDF | PDF - Scribd.

Perspicacity of this the childrens hour play script can be taken as skillfully as picked to act. The Children's Story James Clavell 2014-11-12 It was a simple incident in the life of James Clavell—a talk with his young daughter just home from school—that inspired this chilling tale of what could happen in twenty-five quietly devastating. Jul 14, 2022 · children’s book and a perfect Christmas treat."Tom is not prepared for what is about to happen when he hears the grandfather clock strike thirteen. Outside the back door is a garden, which everyone tells him does not exist."--Page 4 de la couverture.Billy Bartholomew has an audacious soul, and he knows it. Why? Because it's all he has left. Rosalie, a student at the Wright-Dobie School, appears first in the hectic scene opening the play, having her hair badly trimmed by Evelyn Munn. Unlike Peggy and Evelyn, she is not cowed by Mary Tilford, whom she does not like. KAREN WRIGHT (25-30) Karen Wright is Martha Dobie's close friend and partner in the Wright-Dobie School.

The Childrens Hour Play Script - Bitcoin.

The Children_s Hour Script - Free download as PDF File () or read online for free. childrens hour. Read Free The Childrens Hour Play Script Mike Bartlett's play "The 47th" is an audaciously Shakespearean… Read More Bertie Carvel plays Donald Trump in The 47th,... Simple Easter Play for Church - Download PDF Script Jennifer Westfeldt (born February 2, 1970) is an American actress, screenwriter, director, and producer. She is best.

50 Best TV Scripts to Read and Download for Free.

The Children's Hour Important Quotes. 1. "Even if you have no interest in your work you might at least remember that you owe me a little courtesy. Courtesy is breeding. Breeding is an excellent thing.". (Act I, Page 8) Mrs. Mortar's response to Mary's lateness to sewing class emphasizes the role of women to grin and bear that which they. Where To Download The Childrens Hour Play Script New York City public schools have been blasted for introducing a children's book that features a 'queer' main character that hails AOC and her Squad, while mocking Mitch McConnell.. A News Talk 980 CKNW | Vancouver's News. Vancouver's Talk 05/07/2022 · And each week hundreds of people. Childhood and early life. Roy P. Benavidez was born in Lindenau near Cuero, Texas in DeWitt County.He is a descendant of the founders of Benavides, Texas and was the son of a Mexican farmer, Salvador Benavidez, Jr. and a Yaqui mother, Teresa Perez.. When he was two years old, his father died of tuberculosis and his mother remarried. Five years later, his mother died from tuberculosis as well.

The Children's Hour - Lillian Hellman - Google Books.

The Children's Hour The Criminally Insane Series: Bad Karma Red Angel Night Cage The Harrow Series: Nightmare House Mischief The Infinite The Abandoned The Hour Before Dark You Come When I Call You Naomi The Nightmare Chronicles The Machinery of Night Isis The Necromancer. Praise for Douglas Clegg's fiction. The Children’s Hour – Duologue – 11+ Yrs. ( 0 customer reviews) 4 sold. £ 4.49. Usually set in the early 20th century MARY and ROSALIE are passing time together in MARY’s grandma’s house. MARY, an angry student has run away from school and to prevent herself being sent back makes up false accusations about the school’s Headmistress.

The Children's Hour - Kids Public Radio.

The Children's Hour lesson plan contains a variety of teaching materials that cater to all learning styles. Inside you'll find 30 Daily Lessons, 20 Fun Activities, 180 Multiple Choice Questions, 60 Short Essay Questions, 20 Essay Questions, Quizzes/Homework Assignments, Tests, and more. The lessons and activities will help students gain an. The Children's Hour. Between the dark and the daylight, When the night is beginning to lower, Comes a pause in the day's occupations, That is known as the Children's Hour. I hear in the chamber above me The patter of little feet, The sound of a door that is opened, And voices soft and sweet. From my study I see in the lamplight, Descending the.

The Childrens Hour Play Script.

The play, written in 1934, remains one of Hellman's most famous. Based on a true story about two headmistresses in Scotland in 1810, the play addresses the consequences of a lie spread by a difficult child at a school for girls run by long-time friends Karen Wright and Martha Dobie. The child, Mary Tilford, takes advantage of an incendiary. Review: The Children's Hour by Different Stages by Michael Meigs. One must understand Lillilan Hellman's 1934 melodrama The Children's Hour as a vision seen through a glass, darkly.So much separates us from this play, its imagined world, and Hellman's provocative portrait of middle-class morality that we risk imposing on it our own twenty-first-century sensibilities.

10 Great Websites To Download Movie Scripts - Student Resources.

10 Great Websites To Download Movie Scripts Posted on January 12, 2015 November 8, 2021 by New York Film Academy If you want to write movie screenplays, you need to read movie screenplays – it’s just as essential as batting practice for professional baseball players. Lillian Hellman, a 26-year-old unknown writer from New Orleans, took this event and wrote the highly acclaimed The Children’s Hour. It opened in New York 65 years ago this month and ran for 691 performances. Documents Similar To The Children’s Hour by Lillian H 80310813-Children-s-Hour-by-Lillian-H. Uploaded by.

The Childrens Hour Play Script - IMAX.

The Children's Hour tells the story of two women, Martha and Karen. They are college friends who have worked and saved to start a school for girls. All of their efforts are undone when Mary Tilford, an unhappy young girl with a penchant for lying, overhears Martha's aunt, a much-maligned teacher at the school, accuse Martha of having romantic feelings for Karen. The Adventures of Philip Marlowe: The Panama Hat. Microphone Plays. transcript in html format. cd. The Adventures of Sam Spade: The Dead Duck CaperÂ. Microphone Plays. transcript in html format. cd. The Adventures of the Thin Man: The Case of the Goofy Groom. Twinkle Time. Posted on July 24, 2022. This week on The Children's Hour, we're joined by the Lady Gaga of children's music, Twinkle! She's an award winning, bilingual children's musician, performer, voice actress and TV star. Twinkle is the host of Twinkle Time, and she's performing daily on YouTube for kids and families.

The Children's Hour Summary - eN.

Your entire family will enjoy these royalty-free English play, skit, dramatic reading, and pageant scripts for children, which are arranged according to difficulty. Skits require little or no rehearsal and are often quite funny. Readings take fewer people and some rehearsal, while plays require more people and lots of rehearsal.

The Children's Hour by Lillian Hellman - Goodreads.

The children's hour Item Preview remove-circle Share or Embed This Item. Share to Twitter. Share to Facebook. Share to Reddit.... SINGLE PAGE PROCESSED TIFF ZIP download. download 1 file. TORRENT download. download 15 Files download 9 Original. SHOW ALL. IN COLLECTIONS. American Libraries. Uploaded by. The Children's Hour is set in a big old rambling house overlooking the sea, where assorted small children listened as their mother read them a story. Theirs was an idyllic childhood, as they played on the beach and in the garden and woods, before the war—and other tragedies—disrupted their lives. Now, many years later, two of the sisters. Join us on Saturdays at our pop-up studio - just 8 minutes from Broadway! Learn More →. OFFSITE LESSONS. Host us at your home or vacation rental, and we'll bring the party to you! Learn More →.View or download full dance step sheets for Scooter Lee's new video series! Click the images at the right and you can choose to view, download or print.

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Jul 22, 2018 · The 1934 play “The Children’s Hour” was Hellman’s first big break. After penning some mediocre romances, she thought her career as a writer was over. Then her lover and mentor Dashiell Hammett (author of “The Thin Man” and “The Maltese Falcon”) suggested she take a true-crime story and turn it into a play. The incident Hellman. May 30, 2008 · The Children's Hour. Publication date 1879 Publisher Phillips & Hunt, etc., etc. Collection... SINGLE PAGE PROCESSED TIFF ZIP download. download 1 file. MARTHA: I've been telling myself that since the night we heard the child say it. I lie in bed night after night praying that it isn't true. But I know about it now. It's there. I don't know how. I don't know why. But I did love you. I do love you. I resented your marriage; maybe because I wanted you; maybe I wanted you all these years; I couldn't.

The Children's Hour Summary and Study Guide | SuperSummary.

The Children_s Hour Script. The Children_s Hour Script. Published on May 2018 | Categories: Documents | Downloads: 4 | Comments: 0 | Views: 166. Apr 05, 2019 · Rehearsals for The Children’s Hour, Stage 32’s spring play, are currently in session. There are not many actors at this one, but their work with the script is important if they want to perform well. Looking at the small book, then turning to McKay, Williams adopts a tone of exasperation. MARTHA: Anything really wrong with her? KAREN: I. MS. FLEMING: Not so fast, kids. They're refueling the buses, which gives us a solid half-hour of healing. Now, I have mimeographed copies of the suicide note so you can feel Heather's anguish. HEATHER MCNAMARA: Her world seemed like a perfect place-MS. FLEMING: Go on! HIPSTER DORK: Her life had hit a rocky patch MS. FLEMING: Feel!.

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tlatollotl

Jan 27, 2018

Supporters of President Donald Trump singled out dark-skinned lawmakers, legislative staffers and children at the Capitol on Jan. 25 as they protested congressional efforts to pass immigration reform, according to staffers of the Arizona Legislature and two Democratic legislators.

Waving large flags in support of Trump while standing between the House and Senate buildings, the protesters, who were also armed, asked just about anyone who crossed their path if they “support illegal immigration.”

They called some “illegal” and told them to “go home,” barbs they reserved for those with brown skin, according to the staffers.

Two women who said they were part of the protest against illegal immigration at the Capitol vehemently denied accusations that they singled out dark-skinned people and accused them of being illegal immigrants.

But Lisette Flores and Selianna Robles, policy advisors for Senate Democrats, said they were yelled at when they walked from the Senate to the House lawn, directly passing the Trump supporters, to get lunch at a farmers market. Three white coworkers offered to escort Flores, Robles, and Democratic staffer Dora Ramirez back to their offices, Robles said.

“We’re walking back, and they start yelling again, ‘Get out of the country.’ At that point, they pointed to Lisette, called her an illegal, and said, ‘Get out, go back home!’” Robles said. “But they pointed at Jane (Ahern), who works for the House, and they said, ‘No, you can stay.’”

Ahern, a policy advisor for House Democrats, is white.

“I was born in California,” said Flores. “I’m obviously of Mexican descent, so I think in that group I’m the darkest one. Selianna and Dora, they’re light-skinned Latinos. So, I think probably that’s why they pointed at me out of a group of six.”

“They assume things about you. There’s not much we can do,” said Robles, an Arizona native raised in the town of San Luis. “We work for the state, we’re public servants, and we’re just here to do our job.”

Lawmakers said they were also questioned based on their appearance. Rep. Eric Descheenie, D-Chinle, said he was confronted by Trump supporters while helping defend a young student that he said was being harassed.

They asked Descheenie, a Navajo lawmaker, if he was in the United States illegally.

“I’m indigenous to these lands,” Descheenie said. “My ancestors fought and died on these lands. I just told them, ‘Don’t ask me that question.’”

Rep. Eric Descheenie (D-Chinle)

Rep. César Chávez, D-Phoenix, said he was approached by a female Trump supporter asking who he was and who he represents. For “the fun of it,” Chávez said, he replied, “I’m an undocumented legislator.” Chávez was brought from Mexico to the United States as a child.

He said he wanted the protesters “to understand that in this country, through a process, you, too, can be a part of a nation that provides opportunity to everybody. I wanted them to understand that an individual who came to this country undocumented at the age of three is now a member of the Arizona State Legislature.”

Chávez said the woman reacted by calling him “illegal.”

“She said something like, “You’re illegal. Once illegal, always illegal,” he said. “I took no offense, no attention. It was just simply one of those things where you’re going to have a stance and I’m going to have a stance and we’re never going to agree on things.”

Jennifer Caminiti-Harrison and Lesa Antone said they were at the Capitol to protest activists with Living United for Change in Arizona (LUCHA). The women told the Arizona Capitol Times in a phone interview tonight they’re against illegal immigration and don’t believe the LUCHA activists, who they alleged are undocumented, have the right to lobby state legislators.

In denying the allegations, Caminiti-Harrison and Antone countered that their group was harassed by the LUCHA activists. In a live stream of the protest uploaded to Facebook by Antone, a LUCHA member could be heard telling a black Trump supporter, “You’re gonna be the first to get lynched.”

“First, we were a group of several white, black and Latina Americans. To make assumptions that we were only calling out Hispanic representatives or ‘non-white’ legislatures (sic) is a disgusting, blatant lie,” Caminiti-Harrison also wrote in an email. “We also had legal immigrants visiting the Capitol who stood in solidarity with us along with Republican lawmakers who thanked us for being there and stopped for a photo.”

In a video uploaded to YouTube, Republican Reps. Jay Lawrenece, of Scottsdale, and Bob Thorpe, of Flagstaff, are seen speaking and taking photos with protesters.

“We asked every rep, white or otherwise, if they supported illegal immigration and why they put the needs of illegal immigrants over the needs of American citizens,” Caminiti-Harrison wrote. “Never at any time did we ask the representatives if they were illegals. Never.”

A 14-minute video of yesterday’s protest uploaded on YouTube shows several interactions initiated by the anti-illegal immigration protesters. Near the beginning of the video, one protester could be heard assuming that members of a group are staying illegally in the U.S.

“No, they’re not legal. They’re illegal,” a woman can be heard saying.

“Yeah, we know they’re illegal. Get legal or get out of America … They’re illegal, see that?” another woman shouted at the group.

In another part of the video, a woman can be heard confronting a group of men.

“Why do you want to stay in our country if you hate it so much?” she said.

One member of the group, a man, came back to tell the protester that she and others “need to get educated.”

They exchanged a few more words, and she yelled at him, “You are an illegal alien.”

When the man denied the accusation, the woman responded: “Those guys are illegal … They do not have any rights here. It is not their time. This is our time. Our nation. Our laws. Our streets.”

The video also shows what appeared to be a LUCHA activist shielding a young man who was being questioned by the protester about his stance on immigration.

“So, you also believe in ‘No border, No wall, No USA at all? Do you also believe in that? … Because if you do, why are you here? Because if you don’t support America, why are you here?” the protester said.

“He’s not talking to you,” the LUCHA activist tells the protester and unleashes a profane word. Another protester then replies, “Get legal or get out. Go in there and fill your [expletive] paper out and get legal.”

Trump supporters also disrupted a press conference hosted Thursday morning by LUCHA activists who came to the Capitol to raise awareness about legislation they’re backing.

As LUCHA Executive Director Tomas Robles spoke to a crowd of supporters in Spanish, Trump supporters could be heard shouting over him, “Go home.”

“I served five years in the Marine Corps. I fought for people’s freedoms to be able to come into this space and to be able to voice their concerns to the representatives that represent their cities and towns,” he said. “The fact that I got called an illegal, the fact that all our constituents were called so many names … every single person has a right to be here.”

Mary Lou Sandoval, a Maryvale resident who attended the LUCHA event, later saw the protesters screaming at children who were touring the Capitol on field trips.

“[It] was a little ridiculous. You can protest peacefully as well, and you can make your own presence [felt] peacefully,” she said.

Senate Minority Leader Katie Hobbs (D-Phoenix)

Senate Minority Leader Katie Hobbs, D-Phoenix, wrote a letter to Senate President Steve Yarbrough, R-Chandler, and Senate security officials outlining what she called the harassment of staffers who the protesters “perceived not to be white,” and complained about a lack of response from law enforcement at the scene observing the protest.

“I can tell you that the Democratic staff who were yelled at by the protesters and called illegals definitely felt harassed and were not satisfied with the response,” Hobbs wrote. “They did not feel safe.”

Hobbs said she was told by an officer on Thursday that law enforcement was instructed to stand down while the Trump supporters exercised their First Amendment rights.

Their protest went “far beyond” the First Amendment, Hobbs wrote.

“This is a public place. When armed protesters aggressively go after members, staff and visitors, there needs to be a response that ensures the safety of everyone involved,” Hobbs wrote. “I have seen instances here at the capital (sic) when peaceful protesters with a different agenda were surrounded by many more law enforcement officers with a much more aggressive response.”

“This is unacceptable,” she added.

Officials with the Department of Public Safety did not return a request for comment.

#native american#navajo#politics#trump#donald trump#republicans#racist#racism#first nations#arizona#phoenix#the donald#alt-right#nazis#neo-nazis

patriotsnet

Sep 27, 2021

Can Republicans Keep The House And Senate

New Post has been published on https://www.patriotsnet.com/can-republicans-keep-the-house-and-senate/

Can Republicans Keep The House And Senate

Democrats Take The House Republicans Hold The Senate A Look At The Most Likely Outcomes Of The Next Congress

Democrats win House, Republicans keep Senate

House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, right, and Minority Whip Steny H. Hoyer celebrate Tuesdays election result, which puts Pelosi in line to return to the speakership.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez addresses the crowd gathered at La Boom nightclub in Queens, N.Y., after she became the youngest woman elected to Congress.

Supporters of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez celebrate her victory.

Sen. Ted Cruz addresses his supporters as he declares victory at his election night headquarters in Houston.

U.S. Senate candidate Beto ORourke and his wife, Amy Sanders, take the stage as he concedes.

Sen. Joe Manchin III celebrates his reelection.

People react to Tuesdays election results during a Democratic election watch party in Washington.

Grace Scherrer, 86, is excited to cast her ballot as the polls open at the Luxe Sunset Boulevard Hotel in Brentwood.

Maude, a 2-year-old English bulldog, waits as Danny Carinci votes at the Hermosa Beach Lifeguards headquarters.

Musicians Julie Mintz, left, Mindy Jones and Moby entertain the crowd during a campaign rally at Katie Porters campaign headquarters Tuesday in Tustin, Calif.

Rep. Adam Schiff and candidate Katie Porter greet the crowd during a rally at her campaign headquarters Tuesday in Tustin, Calif.

Rachel Mesa, 29, holds her son Madison Mesa, 1, as she votes at a polling site Tuesday in Stevenson Ranch, Calif.

Voters fill the booths Tuesday at Los Angeles County Fire Station No. 124 in Stevenson Ranch, Calif.

Republicans Keep The House; Democrats To Retain Senate

Democrat Elizabeth Warren takes the stage after defeating incumbent GOP Sen. Scott Brown in the Massachusetts Senate race on Tuesday. Michael Dwyer/APhide caption

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Democrat Elizabeth Warren takes the stage after defeating incumbent GOP Sen. Scott Brown in the Massachusetts Senate race on Tuesday.

Republicans have easily maintained their hold on the House, while missteps from Tea Party favorites helped Democrats retain a majority in the Senate.

That means the two chambers of Congress remain deeply divided, with prospects for agreement on such big-ticket items as deficits, tax rates and climate change unclear.

In the House, Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, gloried in his party’s victory and laid down a marker. Saying he stands “willing to work” with his partners, Boehner added, “with this vote, the American people have also made clear there’s no mandate for raising tax rates.”

For his part, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., said, “The strategy of obstruction, gridlock and delay was soundly rejected by the American people. Now, they are looking for solutions.”

‘miserable And Emboldened’: If Republicans Lose The House They’ll Be On Defense

House GOP leaders are expecting to oversee a more conservative conference next year, with many of their losses coming in seats held by centrists. That tilt to the right is likely to mean even more pressure by top leaders for members to stick together to vote on legislation that is closely aligned to Trump and his agenda.

Senate races in mostly red states benefited from Trump focus

Republican Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky talks to reporters after the Senate voted to confirm Supreme Court nominee Judge Brett Kavanaugh on Oct. 6.hide caption

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Republican Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky talks to reporters after the Senate voted to confirm Supreme Court nominee Judge Brett Kavanaugh on Oct. 6.

Senate Democrats had faced a steep challenge as they fought to keep seats in states Trump won by double-digit margins in the worst battlefield for any party in modern history.

Just six Republicans were up for re-election; all but one of them ran in safely Republican states.

Democrats landed on a plan to allow each vulnerable Democrat to run an independent campaign without a unified platform. For example, Heidi Heitkamp in North Dakota could stump on protecting farmers while Joe Manchin in West Virginia promised new health protections for coal miners.

Read Also: Did Trump Say Republicans Are Stupid

Election Senate Odds: Will Republicans Regain Upper Chamber

Democrats are narrowly in control of the U.S. Congress, but Republicans are licking their chops for next years midterm races because, over the last 30 years, the party out of presidential power has usually made substantial gains in midterm elections during a presidents first term, with the most substantial occurring in 1994 and 2010.

Given Democrats extremely slim margins of control, the prediction that the Democrats will lose at least one, if not both, chambers of Congress can be supported by historic precedents.

However, changes in the Senate have been less consistent than in the House. And given next years election trajectory in Congress upper chamber, the likelihood of a Republican takeover there deserves a second look.

Can Democrats hold their 50-50 majority in the Senate?

First, lets take a look at the collective odds for Congress.2022 Election Congress odds

Republicans only need a net gain of one seat to capture the Senate, but Democrats are well-positioned to make gains because the GOP will be defending more seats. Moreover, several seats are being vacated by Republicans in swing states where Democrats have experienced some electoral success over the past 5 years.

With the polarizing nature of the current American political landscape, neither oddsmakers nor bettors believe theres much of a chance that control of Congress will be split following the 2022 midterm elections but thats the most likely scenario at this point .

Democrats Can Keep The House In 2022 Really

Next year, promises to be tough but House Democrats can beat the usual trends of losing enough seats to hand the majority to the Republicans.

Last week, the Washington Posts Karen Tumulty asked House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer how he is feeling about the 2022 midterm election. After all, the presidents party almost always loses at least a few House seats and usually many more. Yet Hoyer insisted he is optimistic. He argued there are a couple of exceptions to the midterm rule, in particular, when the country was facing deep economic downturns. He also noted that Donald Trump wont be on the ballot and the Republican Party is deeply divided, which could dampen Republican base turnout.

Meanwhile, analysts have pointed out that Republicans are poised for a takeover of the House. As CQ Roll Calls Nathan Gonzales put it, Republicans should disband if they dont win back the House in 2022 because Democrats have their narrowest majority in more than a generation, and Republicans have redistricting and history on their side in the midterm elections.

But Hoyers optimism should not be treated as delusional or dishonest. History does show Democrats have a path forward.

Where hope lies for Democrats is in the exceptions to the midterm rule. However, Hoyers specific analysis is well off the mark; deep economic downturns are not good for the presidents party!

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Rising Violent Crime Is Likely To Present A Political Challenge For Democrats In 2022

But there are roadblocks to fully enacting Democrats’ agenda. Their thin majorities in both chambers of Congress mean nearly all Democrats have to get on board with every agenda item in order to push through major legislative priorities. And without adjusting or eliminating the legislative filibuster in the Senate, Democrats need 10 Republicans to join them for various legislation a near-impossible task.

Trump Sticks To Trump Country As He Pushes For Gop Wins In The Midterms

Trump personally played a significant role in tight Senate contests in the closing weeks of the election cycle. He traveled to Indiana, Florida, Montana, Nevada, Missouri and Mississippi and in some cases landed in dramatic fashion aboard Air Force One to crowds of supporters enthusiastically cheering his red-meat speeches focused mostly on immigration and warnings about what Democratic control meant for his agenda.

His visits included overt reminders to his base supporters that they weren’t just voting for any Republican on the ballot they were voting for senators promising to back his priorities.

“They want to raise your taxes, the Democrats do, restore crippling regulations, shut down your new steel mills, take away your health care, and put illegal aliens before American citizens,” Trump said in a closing rally in Indiana on Monday. “If you want more caravans, if you want more crime, vote Democrat tomorrow.”

A year of big money and big controversy

Democrats benefited from a flood of donations to official party organizations and outside groups working on their side. Democratic candidates and their outside supporters are expected to spend more than $2.5 billion on this year’s election, according to the Center for Responsive Politics. Republican candidates and their backers are on track to spend $2.2 billion.

Fundraising in 2018 far outpaced what is normal for a miderm election.

NPR’s Deirdre Walsh contributed to this report

Recommended Reading: Senate News

Bob Woodward: You Could Write A Whole Book On Lindsey Graham

The House of Representatives voted to pass legislation on Tuesday to prevent a government shutdown at the end of the month and suspend the nation’s borrowing limit, setting up a showdown with Republicans who insist Democrats should act alone to stave off a looming debt crisis. The party line vote was 220-211.

Gop Women Made Big Gains

Election 2020: can the Democrats win the Senate? | The Economist

While the majority of the Republican caucus will still be men come 2021, there will be far more Republican women in Congress than there were this year. So far, it looks like at least 26 GOP women will be in the House next year, surpassing the record of 25 from the 109th Congress. Thats thanks in part to the record number of non-incumbent Republican women 15 whove won House contests. And its also because of how well Republican women did in tight races. The table below shows the Republican women who ran in Democratic-held House districts that were at least potentially competitive,1 according to FiveThirtyEights forecast. As of this writing, seven of them have won.

GOP women have flipped several Democratic seats

Republican women running for potentially competitive Democratic-held House seats and the status of their race as of 4:30 p.m Eastern on Nov. 11

District D+22.1

Results are unofficial. Races are counted as projected only if the projection comes from ABC News. Excludes races in which the Republican candidate has either a less than 1 in 100 chance or greater than 99 in 100 chance of winning.

Read Also: How Many States Are Controlled By Republicans

Election : The Votes Are In Now Comes The Wait

After a smooth and largely uneventful Election Day, Americans are now waiting for results in key states. Both major-party presidential candidates addressed supporters overnight and foreshadowed a wait and, potentially, a fight.

The Senate outcome rested on a handful of states where Democrats still hoped to topple incumbent Republicans, but their pickup opportunities were dwindling fast on an unusually large battleground that stretched from Maine to Alaska and could tilt with the presidential results. At stake was the ability of the next president to fill his cabinet, appoint judges and pursue his agenda, and the two parties had waged a pitched battle to the end, pummeling voters with advertising backed by record sums of money, totaling hundreds of millions of dollars.

Republicans scored crucial wins in Iowa, Alabama and Montana, and were running stronger than expected in North Carolina and Maine, where the results were still too close to call early Wednesday morning.

Democrats needed a net gain of three or four seats to take Senate control, depending on whether former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., the Democratic nominee, won the presidency, which would allow his vice president, Kamala Harris, to cast tiebreaking votes.

They flipped seats in Colorado, where John Hickenlooper, the former Democratic governor, easily defeated Senator Cory Gardner, and in Arizona, where Mark Kelly, a former astronaut, beat Senator Martha McSally.

Republicans Are Well Positioned To Take The House In 2022

Although we dont yet know the winners of some House races, we can already look ahead to the 2022 midterms and see a fairly straightforward path for the GOP to capture the House. Midterm elections historically go well for the party thats not in the White House, and the out-of-power party is especially likely to do well in the House, since every seat is up for election .

Since the end of World War II, the presidential party has lost an average of 27 House seats in midterm elections, as the chart below shows. No matter how many seats Democrats end up with after 2020s election at this point, they will probably end up somewhere in the low 220s a loss of that magnitude would easily be enough for Republicans to retake the House.

The recent history of midterms in a Democratic presidents first term seems especially promising for the GOP, too. Following Bill Clintons election in 1992, Democrats lost more than 50 seats in 1994, and after Barack Obama won the presidency in 2008, Democrats lost more than 60 seats.

If Democrats had added five to 10 seats this year, they could have survived a 20-seat loss in the midterms. Instead, Republicans will probably need to win fewer than 10 seats to gain a slender majority in 2022.

Don’t Miss: How Many States Are Controlled By Republicans

Republicans Hold The House And The Senate

This outcome would be Republicans ideal, in part because theres a decent chance that they will widen their Senate majority on Tuesday given the number of Democratic seats that are vulnerable in states Trump won.

Its unlikely they would win enough new seats to give them a filibuster-proof, 60-seat majority. But even a slight boost from the current 51-seat majority would give them more cushion in those cases where only 50 votes are needed in the Senate.

The GOP effort to repeal Obamacare, which was pushed through using special budget rules, failed by just one vote. And the confirmation of Brett M. Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court became a real nail-biter thanks to the doubts of just two or three GOP moderates.

Republicans have said they would try to resume their effort to repeal Obamacare and pass another tax cut. But even with government under one party as it is now such efforts wont be easy without gaining some measure of bipartisan support something Republicans have shown little interest in securing over the past two years.

One important new dynamic will be who takes over from retiring House Speaker Paul D. Ryan. House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy has been crisscrossing the country for months raising money and campaigning for Republicans. Hes the front-runner, though the partys hard-right wing appears unsold on him.

Iowa Montana And South Carolina

Though Iowa, Montana and South Carolina are all traditionally right-leaning, polls had shown tight Senate races in those states, and the Cook Political Report had rated each a tossup. But come Election Day, Republicans easily won each race.

In Iowa, Senator Joni Ernst, the Republican incumbent, dispatched Theresa Greenfield, her Democratic challenger, by 6.6 percentage points. In Montana, Senator Steve Daines, the Republican incumbent, won by more than 10 percentage points against Steve Bullock, Montanas two-term Democratic governor.

And in South Carolina, Senator Lindsey Graham, a Republican and the chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, survived a challenge by Jaime Harrison, a former chairman of the states Democratic Party, winning by 10.3 percentage points.

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What Is The New Balance Of Power In The House

House Democrats held onto their majority but lost seats to Republican challengers.

More than a dozen incumbent Democrats lost re-election bids, despite earlier projections they could gain up to 15 seats.

Democrats took the chamber after they netted 41 seats in the 2018 midterm elections, their largest single-year pickup since the post-Watergate midterms of 1974. But some of those new Democrats were among the partys losers in 2020.

Election Results : Veto

See also: State government trifectas

Two state legislatures saw changes in their veto-proof majority statusâtypically when one party controls either three-fifths or two-thirds of both chambersâas a result of the 2020 elections. Democrats gained veto-proof majorities in Delaware and New York, bringing the number of state legislatures with a veto-proof majority in both chambers to 24: 16 held by Republicans and eight held by Democrats.

Forty-four states held regularly-scheduled state legislative elections on November 3. Heading into the election, there were 22 state legislatures where one party had a veto-proof majority in both chambers; 16 held by Republicans and six held by Democrats. Twenty of those states held legislative elections in 2020.

The veto override power can play a role in conflicts between state legislatures and governors. Conflict can occur when legislatures vote to override gubernatorial vetoes or in court cases related to vetoes and the override power.

Although it has the potential to create conflict, the veto override power is rarely used. According to political scientists Peverill Squire and Gary Moncrief in 2010, only about five percent of vetoes are overridden.

Changes in state legislative veto-proof majorites State

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The laws largely focus on tightening voter ID requirements, purging voter rolls and restricting absentee and mail-in ballots.

Texas

You May Like: How Many Republicans Are In Congress

Weakening Of The Investigations Against Trump

If Democrats dont control the House or the Senate, they cant initiate investigations of Trump or some of his more controversial cabinet members, such as Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Scott Pruitt.

More importantly, after the 2018 elections, the electoral process will recede as a constraint on the president and GOP in terms of the Russia investigation at least for a while.

We dont really know why Trump, despite his constant criticisms of the investigation, has not fired Attorney General Jeff Sessions or Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein, or why he has not directly tried to stop the probe by special counsel Robert Mueller. Maybe Trump, despite his rhetoric, has some real respect for the rule of law. I think its more likely that Trump understands that firing Rosenstein or making a drastic move to stop the Mueller probe would increase both the chances of Democrats winning the House and/or Senate this year, and the odds that the resulting Democratic-led chamber would feel compelled to push to impeach Trump. But if the GOP emerges from 2017 and 2018 without losing control of the House or the Senate, I suspect that, with the next election two years away, the president will feel freer to take controversial steps to end the Russia probe. And I doubt Republicans on Capitol Hill would try to stop him.

toshootforthestars

Sep 9, 2020

The belief that immigrants arrive in the United States with the intent to "steal" has been ubiquitous in right-wing politics for decades: Immigrants have been accused of stealing jobs, stealing tax dollars, and stealing benefits.

But lately, some of the GOP's most stalwart voices have drummed up a more explicit accusation that immigrants are here to steal the very essence of America and replace it with something foreign — an idea plucked directly from far-right-wing media.

The white nationalist "great replacement" conspiracy theory was popularized by French writer Renaud Camus in his 2012 book "Le Grand Remplacement".

Often intermingled with a "white genocide" conspiracy theory, it proposes that a variety of factors, such as an influx of nonwhite immigrants, multiculturalism, and falling birthrates among white Europeans, will result in white populations losing their position as the dominant demographic. The conspiracy theory creates a dangerous dynamic in which believers view immigrants and non-white citizens as an existential threat to their communities. And the theory is not a purely academic endeavor; it seeks to mobilize believers into action against their supposed "replacement." This mobilization manifests itself in various ways, including political activism against immigration, efforts to encourage white women to have more children to bolster demographic growth, and, in an extreme form, deadly violence against immigrants and communities of color.

The theory has reared its head in violent outbursts such as the murder of 51 people at the Al Noor mosque and Linwood Islamic Center in Christchurch, New Zealand, the killing of more than 20 mostly Hispanic shoppers in El Paso, Texas, and the screams of angry young men who shouted "Jews will not replace us; you will not replace us" at the August 2017 Unite the Right rally in Charlottesville, Virginia, where anti-racist demonstrator Heather Heyer was murdered by neo-Nazi James Fields Jr. Field's online behavior before Unite the Right indicates support for Nazi ideology and white racial purity.

Elements of the "great replacement" conspiracy theory have also recently appeared in the statements of prominent conservative politicians. Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-FL) recently appeared on Fox News' Justice with Judge Jeanine and said that Black Lives Matter protests were part of "an attempted cultural genocide going on in America right now." Gaetz claimed that "the left wants us to be ashamed of America so that they can replace America," a message he later repeated on Twitter.

It's no coincidence that Gaetz echoed the "great replacement" talking points on Fox, as the network has played a role in promoting the conspiracy theory to American conservative audiences for years.

Fox News is home to a near-constant stream of claims that America is being subjected to an immigrant "invasion."

Hosts and contributors including Brian Kilmeade, Stuart Varney, Pete Hegseth, Tomi Lahren, and Mike Huckabee have repeatedly fear mongered about a supposed "invasion" of the United States' southern border by migrants seeking asylum.

The vitriolic talking point has become ubiquitous in Fox's lineup; a Media Matters study last year found that Fox made over 70 on-air references to an "invasion" by migrants over the seven months leading up to the El Paso mass shooting, in which the perpetrator said he was responding to a "Hispanic invasion of Texas."

In addition to the open racism of its "invasion" talking point, Fox News regularly pushes the claim that Americans are being replaced by immigrants in order to benefit Democrats at the ballot box.

On The Ingraham Angle, host Laura Ingraham warned in 2018 that Democrats "want to replace you, the American voters, with newly amnestied citizens and an ever-increasing number of chain migrants." This May, Ingraham boosted an article from the white nationalist website VDare that attempted to link immigration to coronavirus hotspots. Fox host Tucker Carlson, who frequently promotes white supremacist talking points, tried to alarm audiences in July 2018 by saying that "Latin American countries are changing election outcomes here by forcing demographic change on this country." In January of this year, he declared that the "long-term agenda of refugee resettlement is to bring in future Democratic voters, obviously." Fox host Jeanine Pirro got to the crux of the "great replacement" theory last August when she claimed: "It is a plot to remake America, to replace American citizens with illegals who will vote for the Democrats."

And this sort of racist conspiracy theorizing extends beyond Fox.

Podcast host and former Fox anchor Bill O'Reilly warned that undocumented immigration would cause "traditional America to vanish." Conservative writer David Horowitz accused the left of waging a "war on America's sovereignty" through immigration. Longtime conservative commentator Rush Limbaugh stated in 2018 that immigration from Latin America was intended to "dilute and eventually eliminate or erase what is known as the distinct or unique American culture ... This is why people call this an invasion." Far-right author Ann Coulter titled her 2015 anti-immigration book “Adios America: The Left's Plan to Turn Our Country Into a Third World Hellhole”. Radio host Michael Savage said America was "being invaded by a far more virile people" and called for Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-MN), a US citizen, to be deported "for what she's done in this country." The Daily Wire's Michael Knowles accused the left of attempting to "radically change American culture" through immigration in order to "flood this country with people who will — are more likely to support them politically."

As the language of "great replacement" has become commonplace throughout right-wing media, the rhetoric has also made the leap from commentators to policymakers.

President Donald Trump himself retweeted proponents of the theory even before the 2016 election, and in 2018 he directed Secretary of State Mike Pompeo to investigate the baseless conspiracy theory that genocide is being committed against white farmers in South Africa — a policy that originated in a segment on Carlson's prime-time Fox News show.

[emphasis mine]

Last November, a trove of emails leaked to the Southern Poverty Law Center revealed the extent of White House adviser Stephen Miller's sympathies for white nationalism.

Miller repeatedly spoke of immigration in a way that would be recognizable to proponents of the great replacement theory, often referring to demographic changes in the context of immigration. In one email to former Breitbart Editor Katie McHugh, Miller lamented the effects of the Hart-Celler Act, which eliminated race-based immigration quotas, writing that in modern politics "immigration is something that we can only vote to have more of — immigration 'reform' is a moral imperative — but it's impossible, evil, racist to reverse immigration."

From Matt Gaetz's national stage to the local politics of Florida's state Senate, conservative figures are now cheering on policies using language evoking the "great replacement" conspiracy theory, and their promotion of these talking points as an electoral issue means the hawkish anti-immigrant rhetoric that used to live primarily in fringe conservative media spaces is now a staple of conservative politics.

Allowing immigration policy, and our national discourse surrounding race relations, to be shaped by nativist conspiracy theories that have already proved deadly both in the United States and abroad endangers the well-being of everyone in the United States.

Right wing media and the conservative establishments' failure to stamp out racist, conspiratorial rhetoric from their midst has emboldened bad actors and legitimized a hateful ideology couched in white supremacy.

Nikki McCann Ramírez: A racist conspiracy theory called the 'great replacement' has made its way from far-right media to the GOP

Business Insider Opinion / 7 Sept 2020

#great replacement theory#conspiracy theory#right wing conspiracy#white supremacism#white nationalism#white terrorism#us immigration crisis#matt gaetz#stephen miller#punch a nazi#the gop#GOP#republicans#the conservative movement#news#2020 us elections#america 2020#nikki mccann ramirez#business insider#holy fucking shit#charlottesville virginia#charlottesville

justinspoliticalcorner

Jul 15, 2024

Donald Trump selects Ohio Senator J.D. Vance (R) to be his running mate

Katie Smith and Marty Hobe at NewsNation:

(NewsNation) — Former PresidentDonald Trumpnamed Ohio Sen. J.D. Vance as his running mate for the2024 presidential ticket, just days after anassassination attemptat a rally in Pennsylvania.Trump announced his pick on Truth Social, praising Vance’s credentials and work in Ohio, saying that during the campaign, Vance “will be strongly focused on the people he fought so brilliantly for, the American Workers and Farmers in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Minnesota, and far beyond.”The announcement came Monday as members of the party gathered in Milwaukee for theRepublican National Convention.Trump’s campaign revealed little about the presumptive GOP nominee’s top considerations until then, saying anyone who claimed to know specificswas “lying unless that person is named Donald J. Trump.”Vance, who attended Yale law school,came to national prominenceafter writing his memoir, “Hillbilly Elegy,” which painted a picture of his childhood being raised in a working-class, poverty-stricken area of the Appalachian mountains. While many people praised the book, which focused on themes of self-reliance, otherscriticized itfor painting a stereotypical and inauthentic view of Appalachia.Having only served in the Senate for two years, Vance is a relative newcomer to politics. Vance has worked to appeal to working-class voters, despite having worked as a venture capitalist prior to his service in the Senate.Previously, Vance butted heads with Trump,at one pointreferring to him as “America’s Hitler.” The pair appear to have mended fences some time ago, with Vance recently making frequent appearances at Trump fundraisers and events.

On the day the RNC kicks off in Milwaukee, Donald Trump has selected Ohio Senator J.D. Vance (R) to be his running mate.

#Donald Trump#J.D. Vance#Ohio#2024 RNC#2024 Veepstakes#2024 Presidential Election#2024 Election

automaticpostinfluencer

Mar 28, 2020

Customers find lenders’ ‘relief’ misleading

This is CNBC’s 24-hour blog covering all the latest news on the coronavirus outbreak. All times below are in Eastern time. This live blog will be updated throughout the day as the news breaks.

Global cases: At least 614,884

Global deaths: At least 28,687

U.S. cases: At least 104,837

U.S. deaths: At least 1,711

All data above is provided byJohns Hopkins University.

11:09 am:US, Italy, and China continue to have highest number of cases worldwide

10:40 am:App brings New York singles together through blind speed video-dating

Single New York millennials have started doing blind, speed dates over video calls as a way to maintain their dating lives amid the stay-at-home order put in place due to the coronavirus.

These blind quarantine dates are coordinated through a project called “NYC Virtual Dating: Catch Feelings, Not COVID.”

Each date takes place via a FaceTime or WhatsApp video call, and daters have just 15 minutes with their match before the date is over.—Salvador Rodriguez

10:39 am:Russia to close its borders starting on March 30

Russia will close its borders starting on March 30 in a bid to curb the spread of the coronavirus, a government order published on Saturday said. The measure will come into force at all vehicle, rail and pedestrian checkpoints, and apply to Russia’s maritime borders, the government said. It will not apply to Russian diplomats and the drivers of freight trucks, among others. The country, which has already grounded all international flights, has reported 1,264 coronavirus cases. —Reuters

10:30 am:UK coronavirus death toll rises to 1,019, up 260 in one day

Military vehicles cross Westminster Bridge after members of the 101 Logistic Brigade delivered a consignment of medical masks to St Thomas’ hospital on March 24, 2020 in London, England.

Leon Neal | Getty Images

Britain said 1,019 people had died after testing positive for coronavirus by 1700 GMT on Friday, a rise of 260 on the total 24 hours earlier.

The number of people testing positive for the virus was 17,089 as of 0900 GMT on Saturday, compared with an officially corrected number of 14,543 on Friday.—Reuters

10:26 am:Irish banks processing over 28,000 mortgage breaks

Ireland’s banks are processing more than 28,000 mortgage breaks for customers whose incomes have been impacted by the coronavirus outbreak, the head of the lenders’ representative body said.

“From late last night, 28,000 breaks had been given or were in the process of being given. That’s an extraordinarily large number,” Banking & Payments Federation Ireland CEO Brian Hayes told national broadcaster RTE. Ireland’s five retail banks agreed last week to implement a loan repayment break of up to three months for those affected.

Hayes said the 7,000 average inquiries a day since then had fallen slightly after the government announced this week that it would pay 70% of income for impacted workers.—Reuters

10:16 am:Trump pushes back on congressional oversight for $500 billion bailout fund

President Donald Trump on Friday wrote in a signing statement accompanying the $2 trillion stimulus bill that he believes the inspector general overseeing a $500 billion relief fund for businesses will not have as much regulatory power as Democrats had sought.

Trump said in a signing statement accompanying the bill that he believes the Inspector General who will oversee that fund will need his permission for certain parts over its regulatory authority.

“The president’s statement is indicative of the difference between Democrats and Republicans when it came to this bill,” House Speaker Nancy Pelosi told MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow on Friday about the language.

“It’s not a surprise to anyone,” she said of Trump’s signing language. “But Congress will exercise its oversight— and we will have our panel appointed by the House to, in real-time, make sure we know where those funds are being expended.”—Lauren Hirsch

10:12 am:‘Officers are scared out there’— Coronavirus slams US police

A view of police officers wearing mask in front of Target Department Store amid the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak on March 24, 2020 in New York City.

John Nacion | NurPhoto | Getty Images

An increasing number of police departments around the country are watching their ranks get sick as the number of coronavirus cases explodes across the U.S. The growing tally raises questions about how laws can and should be enforced during the pandemic, and about how departments will hold up as the virus spreads among those whose work puts them at increased risk of infection.

“I don’t think it’s too far to say that officers are scared out there,” said Sgt. Manny Ramirez, president of Fort Worth Police Officers Association.

Nearly 690 officers and civilian employees at police departments and sheriff’s offices around the country have tested positive for COVID-19, according to an Associated Press survey this week of over 40 law enforcement agencies, mostly in major cities. The number of those in isolation as they await test results is far higher in many places.—Associated Press

10:03 am:Outbreak hits already struggling US farmers: ‘We’ve stopped saying it can’t get worse’

The coronavirus pandemic has sent U.S. farmers into a panic after it further drove down crop and livestock prices and raised concerns about labor shortages on farms.

Farm trade groups are lobbying the Trump administration to give financial aid for farmers enduring price drops, as well as timely visas for seasonal workers from Mexico who will pick crops on U.S. farms this year.

“We were hoping for something good this year, but this virus has stopped all our markets,” said Iowa farmer Robb Ewoldt.—Emma Newburger

9:57 am: Testing is finally on the rise

9:54 am: Quarantines lead to a massive drop in air pollution

As coronavirus quickly spreads around the world, it’s forcing people to stay put, and wreaking havoc on the economy. Millions are either out of a job or working from home. Factories are shuttering, and with mandates to stay inside becoming the new norm, people aren’t driving or flying.

All this has led to an enormous decline in air pollution, which kills a total of 4.2 million people every year, and over 1 million in China alone. The last two months have seen a huge uptick in air quality, especially in hard-hit areas like Wuhan and Northern Italy, as well as a number of metropolitan areas throughout the U.S.

While experts caution against viewing these numbers as a cost-benefit calculation around pandemics, some climate scientists hope that they will help shed a light on the massive environmental impact of our everyday habits and economic activities, potentially leading to some positive change after the crisis subsides.—Katie Brigham

9:49 am: Banks say they’re providing financial relief, but customers find the offers misleading

A sign hangs above the entrance to a Bank of America branch in Chicago, Illinois.

Scott Olson

Bank of America is one of many financial institutions that have reached out to customers to help provide relief in the event of hardship caused by the coronavirus outbreak. But social media has been flooded recently with complaints from customers who say that when they reached out to their banks for help, they found the “relief” was not what they expected.

For its part, Bank of America told CNBC Make It that each client situation is unique, and it’s handling requests on a case-by-case basis.—Megan Leonhardt

9:30 am:Philippines reports 14 new coronavirus deaths, 272 infections

The Philippine health ministry reported 14 new coronavirus deaths and 272 additional cases, marking the country’s single largest daily increase in fatalities and infections.

The latest information brought total infections in the Philippines to 1,075 and deaths to 68, the health ministry said, adding that four patients have recovered, bringing the total to 35.—Reuters

9:27 am:Japan Prime Minister Abe says his country is at a critical stage

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said the country is at a critical stage in dealing with coronavirus infections but not at a point to declare a state of emergency. He said Japan has managed to keep clusters under control by carefully following infection routes. But the initial strategy is now having difficulty, with a rise of infections that are no longer traceable— an early sign of infection explosion.

Abe said once there is infection overshoot, “our strategy of slowing down the peak of the infections will instantly fall apart.” He added, “under the current situation, we are just barely holding up. But I understand we are standing on the edge.”

Abe convened a taskforce Thursday, the day after Tokyo Gov. Yuriko Koike made a stay-at-home request to its 14 million residents after seeing a spike in the number of new cases of the COVID-19 to 41.—Associated Press

9:16 am:How the United States fell dangerously behind in testing

Medical personnel from Riverside (CA) University Health Systems hospitals administer a Coronavirus Test to an individual during drive-through testing in the parking lot of Diamond Stadium.

Photo by Bob Riha, Jr./Getty Images

The deadly coronavirus pandemic has stopped the world in its tracks, and exposed a weak spot in U.S. preparedness for a public health emergency.

Experts say aggressive diagnostic testing is essential in order to learn where and how an epidemic spreads. But in the critical first weeks of the outbreak in the U.S., one problem after another prevented doctors, clinics and labs around the country from testing enough people.

Patients in America were being sent home as hospitals limited their use of tests to conserve supply, while other countries like South Korea found a way to test hundreds of thousands of people quickly.

Now, the U.S. is months behind in understanding the true scope of the virus. Testing capacity is finally ramping up, but is it too late? —Arielle Berger, Jordan Smith

9:14 am:Getting married in the age of coronavirus

Thousands of Americans have had to cancel their weddings as states made the decision to limit group gatherings and the world has shifted to social distancing as a way of life.Couples around the country are considering options around canceling or postponing weddings because of quarantines.

The postponements and cancellations have rocked the wedding industry, causing layoffs and a backlogged 2021 season. Some couples still want to plan celebrations on their wedding date and have turned to Zoom to celebrate with friends.—Alex Sherman

9:09 am: India plans to turn some idled trains into isolation wards

India said it was planning to turn some railway coaches into isolation wards for patients with coronavirus, as authorities scramble to prepare the country’s health infrastructure for an expected surge in cases.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi asked the country’s 1.3 billion people this week to stay indoors for three weeks in the world’s biggest lockdown, seeking to curb the spread of the illness.

India’s network of trains, the country’s lifeblood, has been idled. One train coach has been turned into a prototype quarantine facility, state-owned Indian Railways said in a statement on Saturday. Once they get clearance, the plan is for each of India’s railway zones to convert 10 coaches into such wards every week, the company added. Indian Railways has 16 zones, according to its website.—Reuters

Read CNBC’s coverage from CNBC’s Asia-Pacific and Europe teams overnight here: Global cases surge past 600,000, Spain infections exceed 72,000, Iran reports 2,500 deaths

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theconservativebrief

Oct 19, 2018

Democrats are favored to win back the House on November 6 — but it’s no sure bet.

They need to pick up 24 seats to win back the House. Buoyed by the backlash against President Donald Trump and the anger of women voters, House Democrats are eyeing pickup opportunities all around the country.

The prediction of a blue wave, coupled with constant House ratings changes from election watchers, can make it hard to keep up with a dizzying number of House races. So we tried to distill it down to the most important — and interesting — races of 2018. You’ll notice they’re all open seats or endangered Republican incumbents. That’s in part because of the lopsided playing field this year to retake the House. There are just many, many more pickup opportunities for Democrats.

At the end of the day, it will come down to a handful of closely contested races. They include key districts that Democrats need to win in order to take back the House, but many of these races speak to some of the larger themes playing out between Republicans and Democrats across the country.

Here are the 15 most interesting House races of 2018.

Who is the Republican? Incumbent Rep. Mimi Walters, first elected in 2014. She voted for Obamacare repeal and the tax bill, which hurt California by eliminating the federal income tax deductions for state and local taxes.

Who is the Democrat? UC Irvine law professor Katie Porter, who is running on Medicare-for-all. Porter has the support of progressive groups and Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) and Kamala Harris (D-CA).

Former President Barack Obama attends a campaign rally with Democratic congressional candidates (from left) Josh Harder, T.J. Cox, Gil Cisneros, Katie Porter, Harley Rouda, and Mike Levin on September 8, 2018, in Anaheim, California. Irfan Khan/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images

What’s the playing field? The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates this race a toss-up.

What’s interesting about this race? Porter is running an abashedly progressive campaign. Walters also voted for the Republican tax bill that’s likely going to increase taxes for lots of voters in this district. Meanwhile, the city of Irvine and other areas in Orange County making up the district have a lot of conservative DNA (they’ve never sent a Democrat to Congress), but the area is highly educated and diversifying rapidly. Porter’s candidacy is a test of whether Democrats can run on a decidedly left-wing message and win, rather than running centrist candidates in moderate districts.

What does the polling say? It’s definitely a close race, but there are some good signs for Porter. A New York Times/Siena College poll found her with a 5-point lead; another one from GBA Strategies showed her with a 1-point lead.

Who is the Republican? Carol Miller, a West Virginia state delegate and bison farmer. (Republican incumbent Rep. Evan Jenkins unsuccessfully ran for Senate in 2018, losing his primary.)

Carol Miller, who is running for the Republican nomination in West Virginia’s Third Congressional District, is seen at a National Day of Prayer event in Point Pleasant on May 3, 2018. Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call

Who is the Democrat? Richard Ojeda, a state senator and Army veteran who served in Iraq and Afghanistan. He voted for Trump in 2016 (something he later said he regretted), and rose to prominence during the West Virginia teachers strikes as a vocal advocate for raising teacher pay.

What’s the playing field? Cook rates it as Lean Republican. But it’s also worth noting that Rep. Nick Rahall (D) held the district from 1993 to 2015.

What’s interesting about this race? This is a true test of whether Democrats can chip away at Republicans’ hold on poorer Rust Belt districts that went overwhelmingly for the president in 2016. Trump won West Virginia by one of the biggest margins in the country, but technically, there are more registered Democrats than Republicans. The state has always had a populist streak, but political winds have shifted to the conservative side of late — especially as coal jobs have left and the economy has tanked. It’s also a test of whether more leftist populist ideas have sway in the state — Ojeda is for a public option and Medicare buy-in for health care.

What does the polling say? It’s a bit of a mixed bag. Ojeda appeared to be in the lead this summer, but Miller seems to have passed him in recent months. An October Monmouth poll found her with a 3-point lead, with the NYT/Siena College September poll showing her 8 points ahead.

Who is the Republican? Rep. Kevin Yoder, in office since 2011. Yoder voted for the GOP tax cuts and Obamacare repeal.

Who is the Democrat? Sharice Davids, an attorney and former mixed martial arts fighter. She’s Native American and openly LGBTQ.

Sharice Davids, a Democrat running for Congress in Kansas, talks to supporters at a July 4 event in Prairie Village, Kansas. David Weigel/The Washington Post via Getty Images

What’s the playing field? Cook rates the race as Lean Democrat. Hillary Clinton narrowly won the district in 2016.

What’s interesting about this race? Yoder is one of the more endangered House Republicans in 2018. His suburban district, which includes part of Kansas City and its suburbs, is one Democrats actually have a decent shot at flipping (the district went for Clinton by 1 point in 2016). KS-03 and the neighboring Second Congressional District are key pickups for Democrats, and Davids is a young, dynamic candidate who represents the future of the party. Republicans are taking notice; the NRCC recently canceled a $1 million ad buy for Yoder, a sign he’s in trouble.

What does the polling say? Things are looking pretty good for Davids; the NYT/Siena poll had her 8 points ahead of Yoder, and an Emerson College poll had her 6 points ahead.

Who is the Republican? Rep. Andy Barr, in office since 2013. Voted for the GOP tax bill and Obamacare repeal.

Rep. Andy Barr (R-KY), gives a tour of Capitol’s Rayburn Room to constituent Alpha Fayida, 6. Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call

Who is the Democrat? Amy McGrath, a Marine Corps veteran and the first woman to fly a combat mission for the Marines. She’s a political newcomer who beat the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s initial favorite for the district in the primary and has proven herself to be a fundraising powerhouse.

What’s the playing field? Cook rates the race as a toss-up.

What’s interesting about this race? Similarly to West Virginia’s Third Congressional District, this Kentucky district is another test of whether a Democrat can win back Trump voters. There are more registered Democrats than Republicans here, and the district has a history of having representatives from both parties. But many counties in the Sixth overwhelmingly voted for Trump in 2016. McGrath wants to try to win them back by appealing to voters in rural areas, in addition to Democrats in Lexington, which is also in the district.

Barr has raised $4 million, but McGrath has outpaced that, hauling in more than $6 million largely from small donors. If she wins, Democrats may be looking at her to seek higher office, including the Senate, in coming years.

What does the polling say? The polling is spare, but it shows a very close race. Barr leads McGrath by about 1 point, well within the margin of error.

Who is the Republican? Rep. Barbara Comstock, in office since 2015. She was swept into office in a 2014 Republican wave; now she might be swept out by a Democratic one.

Who is the Democrat? State Sen. Jennifer Wexton, an attorney.

Jennifer Wexton waves to the crowd in Leesburg, Virginia, as she participates in the Leesburg Independence Day Parade on July 4, 2018. Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call

What’s the playing field? Cook rates it as Lean Democrat.

What’s interesting about this race? Virginia’s 10th Congressional District is a suburb of Washington, DC. Clinton won it by 10 points in 2016, so it’s at the top of the districts Democrats think they can flip. Health care is sure to be a huge issue in the district, with Wexton able to run on the fact that Democrats expanded Medicaid in the state. Comstock voted against Obamacare repeal but for the individual mandate repeal in the GOP tax cut bill, which Democrats are hitting her on. The NRCC is spending on her race, but the conservative Congressional Leadership Fund PAC has been more hesitant to commit money — a sign of trouble.

What does the polling say? The polls look good for Wexton. She’s been in a comfortable lead recently; one Washington Post poll even showed her 12 points ahead Comstock. It could be closer, but Democrats have reason to be optimistic.

Who is the Republican? Rep. Dave Brat, in office since 2015. You might remember him as the former college professor who beat then-House Majority Leader Eric Cantor in 2014. He voted for the GOP tax bill and Obamacare repeal.

Rep. Dave Brat (R-VA) talks with reporters outside a meeting of the House Republican Conference in the Capitol on December 19, 2017. Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call

Who is the Democrat? Abigail Spanberger, a former federal law enforcement officer and CIA operative.

What’s the playing field? Cook rates this race as a toss-up.

What’s interesting about this race? If you’re looking for an extremely conservative House Republican facing a credible Democratic challenger, Dave Brat is it. Brat is a member of the House Freedom Caucus — the super-conservative group of House Republicans that frequently challenges Republican leadership and pushes them to the right. Brat is trying to tie Spanberger to Nancy Pelosi (a name he evoked no less than 25 times in a single debate). A man who swept in during the age of the Tea Party, Brat could be toppled by a Democratic wave propelled by women. It may not help that he’s also running against a woman.

What does the polling say? A couple polls show the race as very close. The NYT/Siena poll showed Brat with a slim lead in September, but a Monmouth poll released on September 25 showed Spanberger in the lead, propelled by the district’s suburban voters.

Who is the Republican? Rep. Mike Coffman, in office since 2009. He voted for GOP tax cuts and Obamacare repeal but has been outspoken against the Trump administration.

Who is the Democrat? Attorney and Army veteran Jason Crow.

Jason Crow, the Democrat running in Colorado’s Sixth Congressional District, talks with Maria Valle on her front porch on September 15, 2018. Andy Cross/The Denver Post via Getty Images

What’s the playing field? Cook rates this race as Lean Democrat.

What’s interesting about this race? Democrats have been trying to unseat Coffman for years, but the moderate Republican has managed to hang on to his seat in this suburban Colorado district. Democrats are hitting Coffman on his votes for the tax bill and Obamacare repeal, as well as his donations from the National Rifle Association. The Sixth District is home to Aurora, the city where a gunman killed 12 people inside a movie theater in 2012. It’s also very close to Columbine High School, where the 1999 school shooting took place. Gun violence is personal in the area, and Crow has been openly running on gun control from the start of his campaign.

What does the polling say? The past few months have been good for Crow; Coffman’s last poll lead was back in the middle of summer, and recent polls show Crow with a comfortable lead. The latest NYT/Siena College poll showed Crow with a 9-point lead.

Who is the Republican? Rep. Randy Hultgren, in office since 2011. He voted for GOP tax cuts and Obamacare repeal.

Who is the Democrat? Lauren Underwood, a registered nurse and former Obama administration adviser who helped implement the Affordable Care Act.

Democratic candidate Lauren Underwood talks with supporters in Lindenhurst, Illinois, on August 12, 2018. Teresa Crawford/AP

What’s the playing field? Cook rates the race as a toss-up.

What’s interesting about this race? Health care and the GOP bill to kill the Affordable Care Act loom large in this race. Hultgren voted for the Obamacare repeal bill after promising he wouldn’t support anything that weakened protections for preexisting conditions, and faced protests in his home district for the vote. The fact that Underwood was an adviser in President Obama’s Department Health and Human Services who helped implement the ACA makes this dynamic all the more interesting. Underwood, who is African-American and 31 years old, is attempting to unseat a white man in his 50s. The district voted for Trump by 4 points in 2016.

What does the polling say? There’s not a lot of polling, but Hultgren seems to have a small lead. The most recent NYT/Siena College poll showed him 4 points ahead of Underwood among likely voters. That narrowed to just a 1-point lead among registered voters.

Who is the Republican? Rep. Erik Paulsen, in office since 2019. Paulsen voted for the GOP tax cuts and Obamacare repeal.

Who is the Democrat? Dean Phillips, a distillery CEO and philanthropist.

Dean Phillips, the Democratic candidate for Minnesota’s Third Congressional District, greets guests at a picnic in Excelsior, Minnesota, on September 15, 2018. Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call

What’s the district rating? Cook rates this race as Lean Democrat.

What’s interesting about this race? Paulsen is considered a moderate Republican who didn’t support Trump in 2016, writing in Marco Rubio instead (Minnesota was the only primary state Rubio won). The Third Congressional District went for Hillary Clinton in 2016 but voted Paulsen in as well.

He’s taken some tough votes since then, sticking reliably with House Republicans on health care and taxes while also trying to separate himself from Trump. Phillips, the Democrat, is running on campaign finance reform. This is a bit ironic, as Phillips made a fortune off his family’s liquor business and gelato company. He has been upfront about his wealth, and vowed to run without self-funding his campaign or accepting PAC money, though he’s still getting plenty of money from various industries.

What does the polling say? Polling is looking good for Phillips; two polls released in early/mid-September had him leading Paulsen by double digits. A SurveyUSA poll released in late September showed the race narrowing, with Phillips in a 5-point lead.

Who is the Republican? Rep. John Faso, in office since 2017. He voted for Obamacare repeal but against the GOP tax bill, citing concerns about tax hikes in places with high state and local taxes.

Who is the Democrat? Antonio Delgado, an attorney and former Rhodes scholar.

Congressional candidate Antonio Delgado talks with a potential voter while campaigning in Schodack Landing, New York, on October 13, 2018. Mary Esch/AP

What’s the playing field? Cook rates the race as a toss-up.

What’s interesting about this race? A number of things are at play in this Hudson Valley district. The main policy battle in the race is over health care; Delgado is hammering Faso for his vote to repeal the Affordable Care Act. Meanwhile, Faso is trying to paint Delgado’s health care platform (advocating for a Medicare public option but not a single-payer system) as radically to the left. Race has also become a flashpoint in the campaign, as Republicans have run ads juxtaposing old videos Delgado shot as rapper “AD the Voice” with his current campaign ads, arguing the lyrics should disqualify him from representing the district. It’s pure race-baiting in an overwhelmingly white district.

What does the polling say? This race is very close. Polls in mid/late August found Faso with a 5-point advantage, but a more recent Monmouth University poll found the two candidates are essentially tied, with Delgado in a 2-point lead.

Who is the Republican? Rep. John Culberson, in office since 2001. He voted for the GOP tax cuts and Obamacare repeal.

Who is the Democrat? Lizzie Pannill Fletcher, a longtime attorney in Houston.

Lizzie Pannill Fletcher, a Democrat challenging longtime Rep. John Culberson (R) for his seat in Texas’s Seventh Congressional District, speaks during an assembly of the Bayou Blue Democratic Club in Houston on September 5, 2018. John L. Mone/AP

What’s the playing field? Cook rates the race as a toss-up.

What’s interesting about this race? The most interesting thing about this race is simply whether dislike of Trump and Democratic energy will mean Democrats can flip a Texas district that Culberson has had locked down for decades. The district went for Clinton in 2016. Democrats have been dreaming of turning Texas purple for years, and they have a decent shot in the Seventh District, which is mostly suburbs of Houston.

In addition to health care, Pannill Fletcher is hitting Culberson on issues including disaster relief and infrastructure funding for Houston (remember that the city was badly flooded by Hurricane Harvey and has very little public transportation). She’s also talking a lot about women’s issues, including reproductive rights.

What does the polling say? Culberson and Fletcher are battling in a close race. The NYT/Siena College poll in mid-September showed Culberson up by 3 points, while a Public Policy Polling survey around the same time showed Fletcher ahead by 2 points.

Who is the Republican? Rep. Don Bacon is a freshman. Bacon voted for Obamacare repeal and the GOP tax cuts.

House Speaker Paul Ryan, alongside Nebraska Rep. Don Bacon (left), closes the door as he prepares to hold a press conference following the House Republican Conference meeting in the Capitol on March 20, 2018. Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call

Who is the Democrat? Kara Eastman, president of a local health care nonprofit and a supporter of Medicare-for-all.

What’s the playing field? Cook rates the race as Lean Republican.

What’s interesting about this race? Eastman made waves earlier this year when she beat the DCCC’s preferred candidate, former Rep. Brad Ashford (Ashford was previously a Republican but most recently served as a Democrat, and Bacon beat him in 2016). Eastman was notably more progressive than Ashford, backing Medicare-for-all, and with her win, Democratic voters in the district sent a message that they wanted someone who could draw a real contrast with Bacon. National Democrats are somewhat worried that running a more liberal candidate against Bacon will result in a loss in the district, but it’s an interesting test of whether progressive ideas can prevail in a swing district in the Midwestern plains.

What does the polling say? Bacon seems to have a pretty clear advantage over Eastman. The NYT/Siena College poll found him nearly 9 points ahead of her in late September. Other polls show his advantage closer to 5 points, but Eastman hasn’t been able to capture a lead yet.

Who is the Republican? Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick, a former FBI agent, is also a freshman. He voted for the GOP tax cuts but against Obamacare repeal.

Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-PA) talks with guests during a town hall meeting in Bensalem, Pennsylvania, on August 22, 2017. Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call

Who is the Democrat? Attorney Scott Wallace, who is self-funding his campaign.

What’s the playing field? Cook rates the race a toss-up.

What’s interesting about this race? Pennsylvania is interesting for the sheer number of important, contested House seats it contains; the Keystone State has nine races that Cook lists as competitive. Granted, some are more competitive than others, given the state’s recent redistricting that makes Pennsylvania’s electoral map fairer for Democrats.

Flipping Fitzpatrick’s seat is an important ingredient of this strategy, given that Clinton narrowly won it in 2016. Wallace, a deep-pocketed Democrat, is running on a platform including Medicare-for-all and green jobs. Fitzpatrick could be tough to beat, though; Democrats are hitting him on his tax bill vote, but he bucked Republicans by opposing Obamacare repeal.

What does the polling say? Another close race. Fitzpatrick has been in the lead most summer and fall, but the recent NYT/Siena College poll showed Wallace with a 7-point lead.

Who is the Republican? Longtime Rep. Steve Chabot, who was in office from 1995 to 2009, briefly unseated for two years, and then reelected in 2011. He voted for Obamacare repeal and the GOP tax cuts.

Rep. Steve Chabot (R-OH) speaks alongside President Trump at a rally in Lebanon, Ohio, on October 12, 2018. John Minchillo/AP

Who is the Democrat? Aftab Pureval, who currently serves as the Hamilton County clerk of courts.

What’s the playing field? Cook rates the race a toss-up.

What’s interesting about this race? Chabot has been in office for a very long time but was beaten by a Democrat in 2008 … and then won reelection two years later. Now, there’s a lot of attention on this suburban Cincinnati district because Democrats need to win it (and others like it) to take back the House. Pureval is hitting Chabot on his votes on Obamacare repeal and taxes. The Democrat is fundraising a lot but also faces questions about whether he used money from his clerk of courts campaign on his race for Congress.

What does the polling say? The polls are looking pretty solid for Chabot. Despite one September poll showing Pureval with a 2-point lead, Chabot has been ahead consistently. The most recent poll from NYT/Siena College had him up by 9 points.

Who is the Republican? Rep. Carlos Curbelo, in office since 2015. He voted for Obamacare repeal and the GOP tax bill (he helped draft the latter).

Who is the Democrat? Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who works in nonprofits.

Surrounded by family and supporters, Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell announces she is running against Rep. Carlos Curbelo (R-FL), outside the West Perrine Health Center in Miami on August 2, 2017. Jose A. Iglesias/El Nuevo Herald/TNS via Getty Images

What’s the playing field? Cook rates the race a toss-up.

What’s interesting about this race? Curbelo is a moderate Republican in a very Democratic-leaning district. FL-26 went for Clinton by 16 points in 2016, and voted for Obama before that. Still, Curbelo has managed to hang on by positioning himself as a moderate Republican, especially on issues like immigration (he’s also one of the few Republicans to propose a carbon tax bill). He was one of the House GOP members who tried a last-ditch effort to force Republican leadership to take up a narrow immigration bill with the aim of finding a fix for the young unauthorized immigrants known as DREAMers, but the effort failed. Given his district is about 70 percent Hispanic, immigration is a pivotal issue for Curbelo. Mucarsel-Powell has been hitting him on his health care vote, in particular.

What does the polling say? This race looked like Curbelo’s to lose this summer, but now it’s neck and neck. Some of the recent polling has had Curbelo in a less-than-a-point lead, or just over 1 point ahead of his challenger. The NYT/Siena College poll in mid-September was slightly more generous, giving Curbelo a 3-point lead.

Original Source -> The 15 most interesting House races of 2018

via The Conservative Brief

#IFTTT#The Conservative Brief

magicwebsitesnet

Oct 2, 2018

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet http://www.nature-business.com/business-how-trump-landed-his-biggest-trade-win-yet/

Business

Washington (CNN)Four days before the deadline, it appeared increasingly unlikely that the United States and Canada would rally to save the three-party NAFTA framework. Intensive negotiations had yielded important progress, but the two sides remained far apart on the most contentious issues.

“It’ll be United States and Mexico,” President Donald Trump said nonchalantly at a news conference last week, just days ahead of the deadline. “We’re very unhappy with the negotiations and the negotiating style of Canada.”

It was a gloomy outlook for talks that had persisted for months but had become hung up on matters Trump found himself obsessing over:

Canada’s restrictive dairy market

and the import of auto parts into the United States. The President had taken to railing on those topics during his rollicking campaign rallies.

Personal animus had emerged as well. Trump, a conservative populist, found himself butting heads with Justin Trudeau, the liberal prime minister who’s opposed him on matters like climate change and refugees, not to mention trade. Trump denounced Trudeau as “very dishonest and weak” after making an early departure from the G7 meeting Trudeau was hosting in June.

In his news conference last week, Trump also appeared to take aim at Canada’s top negotiator, Chrystia Freeland.

“We’re not getting along at all,” he lamented.

So it was something of a surprise Monday to see Trump hailing a three-country trade agreement from the Rose Garden after negotiators in Washington and Ottawa worked through the weekend to strike an agreement. The final plan opens some of Canada’s dairy market to US farmers and will require more of a vehicle’s parts to be made in North America in order for it to be free from tariffs.

“Dairy was a deal-breaker,” the President said, surrounded by the US negotiating team. “And now for our farmers it’s, as you know, substantially opened up much more.”

For Trump, a revamped NAFTA reflected an opportunity to fulfill a chief campaign promise, even if the final result was viewed by some economists as more of a rebranding than an entirely new deal. And while Trump took a victory lap on Monday, touting the success of his tariff brinkmanship, he also admitted the future of the new US-Mexico-Canada Agreement was uncertain.

“Not at all confident,” was how he answered when asked about the prospects of Congress approving the new deal.

Eleventh-hour talks

On Friday morning, Trump’s senior adviser and son-in-law, Jared Kushner, got a call from Trudeau’s chief of staff, Katie Telford, and senior adviser Gerald Butts. They wanted to make a final push to reach a deal, two sources familiar close to the negotiations said.

The phone call set into motion a series of phone negotiations over the weekend involving Kushner and US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer on the US side and the direct involvement of Trudeau’s most trusted advisers, leading to an eleventh-hour deal within hours of the midnight deadline on Sunday.

The two sides had struggled to get past key sticking points for weeks, but sources credited the phone call from Trudeau’s advisers to Kushner with setting in motion a final effort at the highest levels on both sides to clear the remaining hurdles and salvage the trade deal. Throughout the weekend, Kushner and Lighthizer kept in close touch with Trump, who offered his feedback on the negotiations through Sunday.

Trump’s advisers were quick to credit his hardline negotiating approach with getting the US and Canada to a deal.

“Your leadership, vision and grit made this agreement possible. No other person could have done it,” Lighthizer told Trump in the Rose Garden on Monday.

Speaking to reporters later, he expanded: “To me the fact that we got a good agreement is all the evidence you need that the President’s approach is the good approach, is the right approach. If you’re not willing to walk away from an agreement, you’re not gonna get one, right?”

Playing to the base

While the completion of the NAFTA rewrite amounted to both a campaign promise fulfilled and the successful use of the brinkmanship Trump has brought to the presidency, it also reflected his obsession with branding.

Before the trade deal was even inked, Trump had already decided on its name, an acronym reminiscent of the US Marine Corps: the USMCA.

Long convinced the “NAFTA” acronym was political poison for heartland voters — including the farmers and industrial workers who propelled him to the White House — Trump insisted from the beginning that a revamped trade agreement be called something else.

“I’m not going to use the name NAFTA. I refuse to use it,” he said last week at a news conference.

On Monday, he felt assured he had made the right choice.

“USMCA,” Trump said, reflecting on the acronym. “Has a good ring to it.”

As midterm elections near, and after that the beginnings of his 2020 re-election bid, Trump has identified trade as his chief governing priority, one with ample space to tout fulfilled campaign promises and remind voters of a strong US economy.

Unlike other policy areas, Trump has approached trade with his own strong convictions — built over time as a businessman — that he wants carried out, according to people familiar with his style. And he has shown a penchant for pitting hardline advisers, such as China trade hawk Peter Navarro, against more moderating voices, such as Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin.

So far, Trump has enjoyed the benefit of a roaring US economy, which has absorbed combative trade moves with little impact on the price of goods or in the stock market. But some economists have warned the trade war will eventually be felt by Americans, particularly if new tariffs are applied to Chinese goods, as Trump has warned.

It’s an area Trump can rightly claim progress in, even as chaos persists in other areas of his agenda. As was evident Monday, it’s a topic he’d rather discuss than, say, his besieged Supreme Court nominee. But even he acknowledged that dairy prices and rules on auto manufacturing couldn’t hold the public’s attention forever.

“You want to, I guess, get off trade. I don’t know, people are falling asleep with trade,” he said as reporters in the Rose Garden pressed him to move on to questions about embattled Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh. “To me it’s the most exciting thing you can talk about, right?”

Read More | Jeremy Diamond and Kevin Liptak, CNN,

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet, in 2018-10-02 04:44:18

#Nature of Business in the Current Market

captainblogger100posts

Oct 2, 2018

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet http://www.nature-business.com/business-how-trump-landed-his-biggest-trade-win-yet/

Business

Washington (CNN)Four days before the deadline, it appeared increasingly unlikely that the United States and Canada would rally to save the three-party NAFTA framework. Intensive negotiations had yielded important progress, but the two sides remained far apart on the most contentious issues.

“It’ll be United States and Mexico,” President Donald Trump said nonchalantly at a news conference last week, just days ahead of the deadline. “We’re very unhappy with the negotiations and the negotiating style of Canada.”

It was a gloomy outlook for talks that had persisted for months but had become hung up on matters Trump found himself obsessing over:

Canada’s restrictive dairy market

and the import of auto parts into the United States. The President had taken to railing on those topics during his rollicking campaign rallies.

Personal animus had emerged as well. Trump, a conservative populist, found himself butting heads with Justin Trudeau, the liberal prime minister who’s opposed him on matters like climate change and refugees, not to mention trade. Trump denounced Trudeau as “very dishonest and weak” after making an early departure from the G7 meeting Trudeau was hosting in June.

In his news conference last week, Trump also appeared to take aim at Canada’s top negotiator, Chrystia Freeland.

“We’re not getting along at all,” he lamented.

So it was something of a surprise Monday to see Trump hailing a three-country trade agreement from the Rose Garden after negotiators in Washington and Ottawa worked through the weekend to strike an agreement. The final plan opens some of Canada’s dairy market to US farmers and will require more of a vehicle’s parts to be made in North America in order for it to be free from tariffs.

“Dairy was a deal-breaker,” the President said, surrounded by the US negotiating team. “And now for our farmers it’s, as you know, substantially opened up much more.”

For Trump, a revamped NAFTA reflected an opportunity to fulfill a chief campaign promise, even if the final result was viewed by some economists as more of a rebranding than an entirely new deal. And while Trump took a victory lap on Monday, touting the success of his tariff brinkmanship, he also admitted the future of the new US-Mexico-Canada Agreement was uncertain.

“Not at all confident,” was how he answered when asked about the prospects of Congress approving the new deal.

Eleventh-hour talks

On Friday morning, Trump’s senior adviser and son-in-law, Jared Kushner, got a call from Trudeau’s chief of staff, Katie Telford, and senior adviser Gerald Butts. They wanted to make a final push to reach a deal, two sources familiar close to the negotiations said.

The phone call set into motion a series of phone negotiations over the weekend involving Kushner and US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer on the US side and the direct involvement of Trudeau’s most trusted advisers, leading to an eleventh-hour deal within hours of the midnight deadline on Sunday.

The two sides had struggled to get past key sticking points for weeks, but sources credited the phone call from Trudeau’s advisers to Kushner with setting in motion a final effort at the highest levels on both sides to clear the remaining hurdles and salvage the trade deal. Throughout the weekend, Kushner and Lighthizer kept in close touch with Trump, who offered his feedback on the negotiations through Sunday.

Trump’s advisers were quick to credit his hardline negotiating approach with getting the US and Canada to a deal.

“Your leadership, vision and grit made this agreement possible. No other person could have done it,” Lighthizer told Trump in the Rose Garden on Monday.

Speaking to reporters later, he expanded: “To me the fact that we got a good agreement is all the evidence you need that the President’s approach is the good approach, is the right approach. If you’re not willing to walk away from an agreement, you’re not gonna get one, right?”

Playing to the base

While the completion of the NAFTA rewrite amounted to both a campaign promise fulfilled and the successful use of the brinkmanship Trump has brought to the presidency, it also reflected his obsession with branding.

Before the trade deal was even inked, Trump had already decided on its name, an acronym reminiscent of the US Marine Corps: the USMCA.

Long convinced the “NAFTA” acronym was political poison for heartland voters — including the farmers and industrial workers who propelled him to the White House — Trump insisted from the beginning that a revamped trade agreement be called something else.

“I’m not going to use the name NAFTA. I refuse to use it,” he said last week at a news conference.

On Monday, he felt assured he had made the right choice.

“USMCA,” Trump said, reflecting on the acronym. “Has a good ring to it.”

As midterm elections near, and after that the beginnings of his 2020 re-election bid, Trump has identified trade as his chief governing priority, one with ample space to tout fulfilled campaign promises and remind voters of a strong US economy.

Unlike other policy areas, Trump has approached trade with his own strong convictions — built over time as a businessman — that he wants carried out, according to people familiar with his style. And he has shown a penchant for pitting hardline advisers, such as China trade hawk Peter Navarro, against more moderating voices, such as Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin.

So far, Trump has enjoyed the benefit of a roaring US economy, which has absorbed combative trade moves with little impact on the price of goods or in the stock market. But some economists have warned the trade war will eventually be felt by Americans, particularly if new tariffs are applied to Chinese goods, as Trump has warned.

It’s an area Trump can rightly claim progress in, even as chaos persists in other areas of his agenda. As was evident Monday, it’s a topic he’d rather discuss than, say, his besieged Supreme Court nominee. But even he acknowledged that dairy prices and rules on auto manufacturing couldn’t hold the public’s attention forever.

“You want to, I guess, get off trade. I don’t know, people are falling asleep with trade,” he said as reporters in the Rose Garden pressed him to move on to questions about embattled Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh. “To me it’s the most exciting thing you can talk about, right?”

Read More | Jeremy Diamond and Kevin Liptak, CNN,

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet, in 2018-10-02 04:44:18

#Nature of Business in the Current Market

thisdaynews

Aug 20, 2019

‘No one is building those bridges’: Dem primary sideswipes rural outreach

New Post has been published on https://thebiafrastar.com/no-one-is-building-those-bridges-dem-primary-sideswipes-rural-outreach/

‘No one is building those bridges’: Dem primary sideswipes rural outreach

Democratic candidate Pete Buttigieg speaks during the Iowa State Fair. | Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

2020 elections

Pitches by some 2020 candidates aren’t yet translating into a broad conversation about the needs of rural voters.

DES MOINES, Iowa — As Democratic presidential candidates descended on the Iowa State Fair, a plane buzzed overhead, an ominous warning fluttering behind it on a banner: “Focus on Rural America.”

Democrats hoping to win the White House in 2020 recognize how critical that advice is after 2016, when Hillary Clinton turned in strong performances in many cities and suburbs but lost rural voters 2-to-1, falling short to President Donald Trump by slim margins in Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Democrats clawed back some gains in rural counties in the 2018 midterm elections, and they want to build on that momentum in 2020.

Story Continued Below

But the presidential primary, often dominated by cultural issues and Trump-driven hot buttons, including immigration and race, isn’t helping their case.

“There’s good reason to worry because the reality is this: There’s a fundamental values gap between the mainstream Democratic Party, which tends to be more socially liberal and cosmopolitan in its outlook, and rural and small-town voters,” said Mark Mellman, a Democratic pollster whose past campaigns include Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers’ 2018 victory and the 2018 defeat of Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.). “Unless a candidate can build bridges across that gap on the basis of values, it’s very difficult to make any policy proposal matter.”

“Right now, no one is building those bridges,” Mellman continued. But “if you can move rural voters, even a few points, it becomes possible to win in states you can’t otherwise win.”

There are early signs that Democrats’ wide presidential field is trying to forge a new connection to rural America and show that its party feels rural voters’ pain. In recent weeks, six Democrats — former Vice President Joe Biden, Sens. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota and Kirsten Gillibrand of New York, Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Ind., and former Rep. John Delaney of Maryland — rolled out rural policy proposals, swinging through Iowa to cast themselves as the best messengers to voters who flipped from Barack Obama to Trump. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont unveiled his rural agenda earlier this year.

Those individual pitches aren’t yet translating into a primary-wide conversation, however. During the first two Democratic National Committee debates, only one question focused on farmers, and candidates made only passing mentions of rural voters. (The word “rural” has been uttered 10 times over more than 10 hours of debates so far.) Meanwhile, decriminalizing border crossings and gun control have lately dominated the primary conversation.

“We are literally falling prey to the very thing that was one of the major factors that did us in in 2016 — that is a lack of focus on rural,” Klobuchar, who has centered her presidential bid on her own successes in winning counties deep in Trump country, said in an interview. “We have an obligation to keep talking about it, to keep bringing it up.”

Jeff Link, an Iowa-based consultant who is advising Focus on Rural America, the progressive group that paid for the plane circling the Iowa State Fair, said that if candidates are “talking about who is using what bathroom, we’re not going to get there with rural voters,” but that if they are “talking about how voters can pay their mortgage, then they can.”

Link added that earlier this month, his group discussed the early dearth of rural-centric debate questions with ABC, which is hosting the DNC’s third primary debate in September.

“We have a long way to go, and Trump starts way ahead in these rural places,” Link said. “In 2016, we didn’t have this level of discussion around rural that we are now, so that’s a positive indicator.”

Rural Democrats noted that the 2020 candidates’ proposals do address a slew of important rural issues, going beyond “saying ‘ethanol’ and ‘biofuels’ to check those boxes,” said former Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.), who started One Country, a group focused on rural issues, after she lost her reelection bid in 2018. The plans include a hodgepodge of proposals, like investing in infrastructure, addressing shortages in health care, expanding broadband access and taking on climate change in partnership with farmers.

The proposals’ breadth might attract rural voters, particularly those feeling economic pain from Trump’s tariffs, “so, it’s a start,” Heitkamp added.

“Rural Americans are among those with the most to lose from Republican policies that range from refusing to expand Medicaid in many states to these tariffs that are just killing a lot of farmers,” Buttigieg said in an interview. “If there [was] ever a chance to make sure we’re reaching out to voters who will benefit from our policies … now’s that chance.”

At the Cedar County fairgrounds last week, Buttigieg met with a handful of farmers and agricultural leaders before he laid out his own plan to help rural America, which he said is “too often” treated as “an afterthought,” a line greeted by nods from the crowd.

“I appreciate his willingness to talk to us and hear our concerns,” said Amy Glick, a 45-year-old independent who runs a farm in Iowa and met with Buttigieg ahead of his policy launch in Tipton, Iowa. “Showing up is important.”

Katie Anderson, a 30-year-old independent voter who also met with Buttigieg, said, “We need more of this, more of them showing up and sitting down with us.” Both Anderson and Glick said that although they hadn’t decided on whether they would support a Democrat for president, they both were open to it.

Former Agriculture Secretary and Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack — who just three years ago was a lone soldier in his quest to get the Democratic Party to show up in remote parts of the country — said that in other presidential cycles, candidates often thought if they talked about farmers, they would reach rural Americans. But people living in rural areas often work in education, health care, retail and manufacturing — not farming.

“The depth and the substance of these plans reflects a genuine effort to speak directly to rural places,” said Vilsack, who advised a handful of candidates on their platforms, including Biden, Warren, Gillibrand and Buttigieg. “It is a positive sign for the party.”

He added that a strong message emphasizing economic opportunities in rural America, combined with aggressive organizing in those communities, would make a difference in a campaign against Trump.

Democrats are climbing out of a deep hole in rural America. In 2008, Obama lost rural voters by 17 points, and by 23 points in 2012. Rock bottom arrived in 2016, when Clinton ran 34 points behind Trump among voters, according to data collected by Catalist, a Democratic data platform.

By 2018, Democrats rebounded slightly, losing rural areas by 27 points, an improvement over 2016. But “some Trump voters who sat out in 2018 will come back in 2020, so it will be important to see how well Democrats can maintain the momentum they built in these areas in the midterms,” said Yair Ghitza, chief scientist at Catalist. “I don’t think anybody expects Democrats to win rural areas writ large, but keeping the margin close is important for the overall state results.”

Democrats frequently point to Trump’s tariffs on farm products, like soybeans and pork, as one reason why agricultural communities might swing their direction in 2020. “Because Trump has been such a failure, particularly for rural America, he’s created an opening that would not otherwise be there,” said Mellman, the Democratic pollster.

But a recent survey by Iowa State University of more than 700 farmers in Minnesota, Iowa and Illinois found that 56 percent were still “somewhat or strongly supportive” of Trump’s trade dispute with China, even though the vast majority saw their income take a hit. To make up for some of their losses, the administration since last year has authorized two bailouts totaling up to $28 billion for the farm economy.

Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) told reporters at the state fair that he wouldn’t advise Trump to roll back tariffs on China, even amid signs the dispute could drag past the 2020 election, because “I haven’t talked or run into any farmers who have suggested that either.”

Even as some 2020 candidates are paying more attention to rural counties, some Democrats worry that “some of these issues get heavy media attention and chew up so much bandwidth that we can’t break through on economic issues,” said Matt Paul, Clinton’s 2016 Iowa state director, who also led Vilsack’s press shop at the Agriculture Department. “Clearly, Democrats have work to do in rural America, but it’s an important recognition that Democrats are going to renew efforts to get a message out to people in water tower towns.”

A Democratic consultant, granted anonymity to discuss the issue candidly, said that if Democrats are “the party of banning assault weapons and decriminalizing the border, then rural voters are not going to be able to hear any Democrats’ policy plan.”

“That’s like bringing a boombox to a rock concert,” the consultant said.

Helena Bottemiller Evich contributed reporting.

Read More

#Foreign#outreach#Politics#rural

blogparadiseisland

Oct 2, 2018

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet http://www.nature-business.com/business-how-trump-landed-his-biggest-trade-win-yet/

Business

Washington (CNN)Four days before the deadline, it appeared increasingly unlikely that the United States and Canada would rally to save the three-party NAFTA framework. Intensive negotiations had yielded important progress, but the two sides remained far apart on the most contentious issues.

“It’ll be United States and Mexico,” President Donald Trump said nonchalantly at a news conference last week, just days ahead of the deadline. “We’re very unhappy with the negotiations and the negotiating style of Canada.”

It was a gloomy outlook for talks that had persisted for months but had become hung up on matters Trump found himself obsessing over:

Canada’s restrictive dairy market

and the import of auto parts into the United States. The President had taken to railing on those topics during his rollicking campaign rallies.

Personal animus had emerged as well. Trump, a conservative populist, found himself butting heads with Justin Trudeau, the liberal prime minister who’s opposed him on matters like climate change and refugees, not to mention trade. Trump denounced Trudeau as “very dishonest and weak” after making an early departure from the G7 meeting Trudeau was hosting in June.

In his news conference last week, Trump also appeared to take aim at Canada’s top negotiator, Chrystia Freeland.

“We’re not getting along at all,” he lamented.

So it was something of a surprise Monday to see Trump hailing a three-country trade agreement from the Rose Garden after negotiators in Washington and Ottawa worked through the weekend to strike an agreement. The final plan opens some of Canada’s dairy market to US farmers and will require more of a vehicle’s parts to be made in North America in order for it to be free from tariffs.

“Dairy was a deal-breaker,” the President said, surrounded by the US negotiating team. “And now for our farmers it’s, as you know, substantially opened up much more.”

For Trump, a revamped NAFTA reflected an opportunity to fulfill a chief campaign promise, even if the final result was viewed by some economists as more of a rebranding than an entirely new deal. And while Trump took a victory lap on Monday, touting the success of his tariff brinkmanship, he also admitted the future of the new US-Mexico-Canada Agreement was uncertain.

“Not at all confident,” was how he answered when asked about the prospects of Congress approving the new deal.

Eleventh-hour talks

On Friday morning, Trump’s senior adviser and son-in-law, Jared Kushner, got a call from Trudeau’s chief of staff, Katie Telford, and senior adviser Gerald Butts. They wanted to make a final push to reach a deal, two sources familiar close to the negotiations said.

The phone call set into motion a series of phone negotiations over the weekend involving Kushner and US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer on the US side and the direct involvement of Trudeau’s most trusted advisers, leading to an eleventh-hour deal within hours of the midnight deadline on Sunday.

The two sides had struggled to get past key sticking points for weeks, but sources credited the phone call from Trudeau’s advisers to Kushner with setting in motion a final effort at the highest levels on both sides to clear the remaining hurdles and salvage the trade deal. Throughout the weekend, Kushner and Lighthizer kept in close touch with Trump, who offered his feedback on the negotiations through Sunday.

Trump’s advisers were quick to credit his hardline negotiating approach with getting the US and Canada to a deal.

“Your leadership, vision and grit made this agreement possible. No other person could have done it,” Lighthizer told Trump in the Rose Garden on Monday.

Speaking to reporters later, he expanded: “To me the fact that we got a good agreement is all the evidence you need that the President’s approach is the good approach, is the right approach. If you’re not willing to walk away from an agreement, you’re not gonna get one, right?”

Playing to the base

While the completion of the NAFTA rewrite amounted to both a campaign promise fulfilled and the successful use of the brinkmanship Trump has brought to the presidency, it also reflected his obsession with branding.

Before the trade deal was even inked, Trump had already decided on its name, an acronym reminiscent of the US Marine Corps: the USMCA.

Long convinced the “NAFTA” acronym was political poison for heartland voters — including the farmers and industrial workers who propelled him to the White House — Trump insisted from the beginning that a revamped trade agreement be called something else.

“I’m not going to use the name NAFTA. I refuse to use it,” he said last week at a news conference.

On Monday, he felt assured he had made the right choice.

“USMCA,” Trump said, reflecting on the acronym. “Has a good ring to it.”

As midterm elections near, and after that the beginnings of his 2020 re-election bid, Trump has identified trade as his chief governing priority, one with ample space to tout fulfilled campaign promises and remind voters of a strong US economy.

Unlike other policy areas, Trump has approached trade with his own strong convictions — built over time as a businessman — that he wants carried out, according to people familiar with his style. And he has shown a penchant for pitting hardline advisers, such as China trade hawk Peter Navarro, against more moderating voices, such as Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin.

So far, Trump has enjoyed the benefit of a roaring US economy, which has absorbed combative trade moves with little impact on the price of goods or in the stock market. But some economists have warned the trade war will eventually be felt by Americans, particularly if new tariffs are applied to Chinese goods, as Trump has warned.

It’s an area Trump can rightly claim progress in, even as chaos persists in other areas of his agenda. As was evident Monday, it’s a topic he’d rather discuss than, say, his besieged Supreme Court nominee. But even he acknowledged that dairy prices and rules on auto manufacturing couldn’t hold the public’s attention forever.

“You want to, I guess, get off trade. I don’t know, people are falling asleep with trade,” he said as reporters in the Rose Garden pressed him to move on to questions about embattled Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh. “To me it’s the most exciting thing you can talk about, right?”

Read More | Jeremy Diamond and Kevin Liptak, CNN,

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet, in 2018-10-02 04:44:18

#Nature of Business in the Current Market

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Oct 2, 2018

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet

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Business

Washington (CNN)Four days before the deadline, it appeared increasingly unlikely that the United States and Canada would rally to save the three-party NAFTA framework. Intensive negotiations had yielded important progress, but the two sides remained far apart on the most contentious issues.

“It’ll be United States and Mexico,” President Donald Trump said nonchalantly at a news conference last week, just days ahead of the deadline. “We’re very unhappy with the negotiations and the negotiating style of Canada.”

It was a gloomy outlook for talks that had persisted for months but had become hung up on matters Trump found himself obsessing over:

Canada’s restrictive dairy market

and the import of auto parts into the United States. The President had taken to railing on those topics during his rollicking campaign rallies.

Personal animus had emerged as well. Trump, a conservative populist, found himself butting heads with Justin Trudeau, the liberal prime minister who’s opposed him on matters like climate change and refugees, not to mention trade. Trump denounced Trudeau as “very dishonest and weak” after making an early departure from the G7 meeting Trudeau was hosting in June.

In his news conference last week, Trump also appeared to take aim at Canada’s top negotiator, Chrystia Freeland.

“We’re not getting along at all,” he lamented.

So it was something of a surprise Monday to see Trump hailing a three-country trade agreement from the Rose Garden after negotiators in Washington and Ottawa worked through the weekend to strike an agreement. The final plan opens some of Canada’s dairy market to US farmers and will require more of a vehicle’s parts to be made in North America in order for it to be free from tariffs.

“Dairy was a deal-breaker,” the President said, surrounded by the US negotiating team. “And now for our farmers it’s, as you know, substantially opened up much more.”

For Trump, a revamped NAFTA reflected an opportunity to fulfill a chief campaign promise, even if the final result was viewed by some economists as more of a rebranding than an entirely new deal. And while Trump took a victory lap on Monday, touting the success of his tariff brinkmanship, he also admitted the future of the new US-Mexico-Canada Agreement was uncertain.

“Not at all confident,” was how he answered when asked about the prospects of Congress approving the new deal.

Eleventh-hour talks

On Friday morning, Trump’s senior adviser and son-in-law, Jared Kushner, got a call from Trudeau’s chief of staff, Katie Telford, and senior adviser Gerald Butts. They wanted to make a final push to reach a deal, two sources familiar close to the negotiations said.

The phone call set into motion a series of phone negotiations over the weekend involving Kushner and US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer on the US side and the direct involvement of Trudeau’s most trusted advisers, leading to an eleventh-hour deal within hours of the midnight deadline on Sunday.

The two sides had struggled to get past key sticking points for weeks, but sources credited the phone call from Trudeau’s advisers to Kushner with setting in motion a final effort at the highest levels on both sides to clear the remaining hurdles and salvage the trade deal. Throughout the weekend, Kushner and Lighthizer kept in close touch with Trump, who offered his feedback on the negotiations through Sunday.

Trump’s advisers were quick to credit his hardline negotiating approach with getting the US and Canada to a deal.

“Your leadership, vision and grit made this agreement possible. No other person could have done it,” Lighthizer told Trump in the Rose Garden on Monday.

Speaking to reporters later, he expanded: “To me the fact that we got a good agreement is all the evidence you need that the President’s approach is the good approach, is the right approach. If you’re not willing to walk away from an agreement, you’re not gonna get one, right?”

Playing to the base

While the completion of the NAFTA rewrite amounted to both a campaign promise fulfilled and the successful use of the brinkmanship Trump has brought to the presidency, it also reflected his obsession with branding.

Before the trade deal was even inked, Trump had already decided on its name, an acronym reminiscent of the US Marine Corps: the USMCA.

Long convinced the “NAFTA” acronym was political poison for heartland voters — including the farmers and industrial workers who propelled him to the White House — Trump insisted from the beginning that a revamped trade agreement be called something else.

“I’m not going to use the name NAFTA. I refuse to use it,” he said last week at a news conference.

On Monday, he felt assured he had made the right choice.

“USMCA,” Trump said, reflecting on the acronym. “Has a good ring to it.”

As midterm elections near, and after that the beginnings of his 2020 re-election bid, Trump has identified trade as his chief governing priority, one with ample space to tout fulfilled campaign promises and remind voters of a strong US economy.

Unlike other policy areas, Trump has approached trade with his own strong convictions — built over time as a businessman — that he wants carried out, according to people familiar with his style. And he has shown a penchant for pitting hardline advisers, such as China trade hawk Peter Navarro, against more moderating voices, such as Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin.

So far, Trump has enjoyed the benefit of a roaring US economy, which has absorbed combative trade moves with little impact on the price of goods or in the stock market. But some economists have warned the trade war will eventually be felt by Americans, particularly if new tariffs are applied to Chinese goods, as Trump has warned.

It’s an area Trump can rightly claim progress in, even as chaos persists in other areas of his agenda. As was evident Monday, it’s a topic he’d rather discuss than, say, his besieged Supreme Court nominee. But even he acknowledged that dairy prices and rules on auto manufacturing couldn’t hold the public’s attention forever.

“You want to, I guess, get off trade. I don’t know, people are falling asleep with trade,” he said as reporters in the Rose Garden pressed him to move on to questions about embattled Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh. “To me it’s the most exciting thing you can talk about, right?”

Read More | Jeremy Diamond and Kevin Liptak, CNN,

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet, in 2018-10-02 04:44:18

#Nature of Business in the Current Market

blogcompetnetall

Oct 2, 2018

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet

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Business

Washington (CNN)Four days before the deadline, it appeared increasingly unlikely that the United States and Canada would rally to save the three-party NAFTA framework. Intensive negotiations had yielded important progress, but the two sides remained far apart on the most contentious issues.

“It’ll be United States and Mexico,” President Donald Trump said nonchalantly at a news conference last week, just days ahead of the deadline. “We’re very unhappy with the negotiations and the negotiating style of Canada.”

It was a gloomy outlook for talks that had persisted for months but had become hung up on matters Trump found himself obsessing over:

Canada’s restrictive dairy market

and the import of auto parts into the United States. The President had taken to railing on those topics during his rollicking campaign rallies.

Personal animus had emerged as well. Trump, a conservative populist, found himself butting heads with Justin Trudeau, the liberal prime minister who’s opposed him on matters like climate change and refugees, not to mention trade. Trump denounced Trudeau as “very dishonest and weak” after making an early departure from the G7 meeting Trudeau was hosting in June.

In his news conference last week, Trump also appeared to take aim at Canada’s top negotiator, Chrystia Freeland.

“We’re not getting along at all,” he lamented.

So it was something of a surprise Monday to see Trump hailing a three-country trade agreement from the Rose Garden after negotiators in Washington and Ottawa worked through the weekend to strike an agreement. The final plan opens some of Canada’s dairy market to US farmers and will require more of a vehicle’s parts to be made in North America in order for it to be free from tariffs.

“Dairy was a deal-breaker,” the President said, surrounded by the US negotiating team. “And now for our farmers it’s, as you know, substantially opened up much more.”

For Trump, a revamped NAFTA reflected an opportunity to fulfill a chief campaign promise, even if the final result was viewed by some economists as more of a rebranding than an entirely new deal. And while Trump took a victory lap on Monday, touting the success of his tariff brinkmanship, he also admitted the future of the new US-Mexico-Canada Agreement was uncertain.

“Not at all confident,” was how he answered when asked about the prospects of Congress approving the new deal.

Eleventh-hour talks

On Friday morning, Trump’s senior adviser and son-in-law, Jared Kushner, got a call from Trudeau’s chief of staff, Katie Telford, and senior adviser Gerald Butts. They wanted to make a final push to reach a deal, two sources familiar close to the negotiations said.

The phone call set into motion a series of phone negotiations over the weekend involving Kushner and US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer on the US side and the direct involvement of Trudeau’s most trusted advisers, leading to an eleventh-hour deal within hours of the midnight deadline on Sunday.

The two sides had struggled to get past key sticking points for weeks, but sources credited the phone call from Trudeau’s advisers to Kushner with setting in motion a final effort at the highest levels on both sides to clear the remaining hurdles and salvage the trade deal. Throughout the weekend, Kushner and Lighthizer kept in close touch with Trump, who offered his feedback on the negotiations through Sunday.

Trump’s advisers were quick to credit his hardline negotiating approach with getting the US and Canada to a deal.

“Your leadership, vision and grit made this agreement possible. No other person could have done it,” Lighthizer told Trump in the Rose Garden on Monday.

Speaking to reporters later, he expanded: “To me the fact that we got a good agreement is all the evidence you need that the President’s approach is the good approach, is the right approach. If you’re not willing to walk away from an agreement, you’re not gonna get one, right?”

Playing to the base

While the completion of the NAFTA rewrite amounted to both a campaign promise fulfilled and the successful use of the brinkmanship Trump has brought to the presidency, it also reflected his obsession with branding.

Before the trade deal was even inked, Trump had already decided on its name, an acronym reminiscent of the US Marine Corps: the USMCA.

Long convinced the “NAFTA” acronym was political poison for heartland voters — including the farmers and industrial workers who propelled him to the White House — Trump insisted from the beginning that a revamped trade agreement be called something else.

“I’m not going to use the name NAFTA. I refuse to use it,” he said last week at a news conference.

On Monday, he felt assured he had made the right choice.

“USMCA,” Trump said, reflecting on the acronym. “Has a good ring to it.”

As midterm elections near, and after that the beginnings of his 2020 re-election bid, Trump has identified trade as his chief governing priority, one with ample space to tout fulfilled campaign promises and remind voters of a strong US economy.

Unlike other policy areas, Trump has approached trade with his own strong convictions — built over time as a businessman — that he wants carried out, according to people familiar with his style. And he has shown a penchant for pitting hardline advisers, such as China trade hawk Peter Navarro, against more moderating voices, such as Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin.

So far, Trump has enjoyed the benefit of a roaring US economy, which has absorbed combative trade moves with little impact on the price of goods or in the stock market. But some economists have warned the trade war will eventually be felt by Americans, particularly if new tariffs are applied to Chinese goods, as Trump has warned.

It’s an area Trump can rightly claim progress in, even as chaos persists in other areas of his agenda. As was evident Monday, it’s a topic he’d rather discuss than, say, his besieged Supreme Court nominee. But even he acknowledged that dairy prices and rules on auto manufacturing couldn’t hold the public’s attention forever.

“You want to, I guess, get off trade. I don’t know, people are falling asleep with trade,” he said as reporters in the Rose Garden pressed him to move on to questions about embattled Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh. “To me it’s the most exciting thing you can talk about, right?”

Read More | Jeremy Diamond and Kevin Liptak, CNN,

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet, in 2018-10-02 04:44:18

#Nature of Business in the Current Market

algarithmblognumber

Oct 2, 2018

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet http://www.nature-business.com/business-how-trump-landed-his-biggest-trade-win-yet/

Business

Washington (CNN)Four days before the deadline, it appeared increasingly unlikely that the United States and Canada would rally to save the three-party NAFTA framework. Intensive negotiations had yielded important progress, but the two sides remained far apart on the most contentious issues.

“It’ll be United States and Mexico,” President Donald Trump said nonchalantly at a news conference last week, just days ahead of the deadline. “We’re very unhappy with the negotiations and the negotiating style of Canada.”

It was a gloomy outlook for talks that had persisted for months but had become hung up on matters Trump found himself obsessing over:

Canada’s restrictive dairy market

and the import of auto parts into the United States. The President had taken to railing on those topics during his rollicking campaign rallies.

Personal animus had emerged as well. Trump, a conservative populist, found himself butting heads with Justin Trudeau, the liberal prime minister who’s opposed him on matters like climate change and refugees, not to mention trade. Trump denounced Trudeau as “very dishonest and weak” after making an early departure from the G7 meeting Trudeau was hosting in June.

In his news conference last week, Trump also appeared to take aim at Canada’s top negotiator, Chrystia Freeland.

“We’re not getting along at all,” he lamented.

So it was something of a surprise Monday to see Trump hailing a three-country trade agreement from the Rose Garden after negotiators in Washington and Ottawa worked through the weekend to strike an agreement. The final plan opens some of Canada’s dairy market to US farmers and will require more of a vehicle’s parts to be made in North America in order for it to be free from tariffs.

“Dairy was a deal-breaker,” the President said, surrounded by the US negotiating team. “And now for our farmers it’s, as you know, substantially opened up much more.”

For Trump, a revamped NAFTA reflected an opportunity to fulfill a chief campaign promise, even if the final result was viewed by some economists as more of a rebranding than an entirely new deal. And while Trump took a victory lap on Monday, touting the success of his tariff brinkmanship, he also admitted the future of the new US-Mexico-Canada Agreement was uncertain.

“Not at all confident,” was how he answered when asked about the prospects of Congress approving the new deal.

Eleventh-hour talks

On Friday morning, Trump’s senior adviser and son-in-law, Jared Kushner, got a call from Trudeau’s chief of staff, Katie Telford, and senior adviser Gerald Butts. They wanted to make a final push to reach a deal, two sources familiar close to the negotiations said.

The phone call set into motion a series of phone negotiations over the weekend involving Kushner and US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer on the US side and the direct involvement of Trudeau’s most trusted advisers, leading to an eleventh-hour deal within hours of the midnight deadline on Sunday.

The two sides had struggled to get past key sticking points for weeks, but sources credited the phone call from Trudeau’s advisers to Kushner with setting in motion a final effort at the highest levels on both sides to clear the remaining hurdles and salvage the trade deal. Throughout the weekend, Kushner and Lighthizer kept in close touch with Trump, who offered his feedback on the negotiations through Sunday.

Trump’s advisers were quick to credit his hardline negotiating approach with getting the US and Canada to a deal.

“Your leadership, vision and grit made this agreement possible. No other person could have done it,” Lighthizer told Trump in the Rose Garden on Monday.

Speaking to reporters later, he expanded: “To me the fact that we got a good agreement is all the evidence you need that the President’s approach is the good approach, is the right approach. If you’re not willing to walk away from an agreement, you’re not gonna get one, right?”

Playing to the base

While the completion of the NAFTA rewrite amounted to both a campaign promise fulfilled and the successful use of the brinkmanship Trump has brought to the presidency, it also reflected his obsession with branding.

Before the trade deal was even inked, Trump had already decided on its name, an acronym reminiscent of the US Marine Corps: the USMCA.

Long convinced the “NAFTA” acronym was political poison for heartland voters — including the farmers and industrial workers who propelled him to the White House — Trump insisted from the beginning that a revamped trade agreement be called something else.

“I’m not going to use the name NAFTA. I refuse to use it,” he said last week at a news conference.

On Monday, he felt assured he had made the right choice.

“USMCA,” Trump said, reflecting on the acronym. “Has a good ring to it.”

As midterm elections near, and after that the beginnings of his 2020 re-election bid, Trump has identified trade as his chief governing priority, one with ample space to tout fulfilled campaign promises and remind voters of a strong US economy.

Unlike other policy areas, Trump has approached trade with his own strong convictions — built over time as a businessman — that he wants carried out, according to people familiar with his style. And he has shown a penchant for pitting hardline advisers, such as China trade hawk Peter Navarro, against more moderating voices, such as Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin.

So far, Trump has enjoyed the benefit of a roaring US economy, which has absorbed combative trade moves with little impact on the price of goods or in the stock market. But some economists have warned the trade war will eventually be felt by Americans, particularly if new tariffs are applied to Chinese goods, as Trump has warned.

It’s an area Trump can rightly claim progress in, even as chaos persists in other areas of his agenda. As was evident Monday, it’s a topic he’d rather discuss than, say, his besieged Supreme Court nominee. But even he acknowledged that dairy prices and rules on auto manufacturing couldn’t hold the public’s attention forever.

“You want to, I guess, get off trade. I don’t know, people are falling asleep with trade,” he said as reporters in the Rose Garden pressed him to move on to questions about embattled Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh. “To me it’s the most exciting thing you can talk about, right?”

Read More | Jeremy Diamond and Kevin Liptak, CNN,

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet, in 2018-10-02 04:44:18

#Nature of Business in the Current Market

internetbasic9

Oct 2, 2018

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet https://ift.tt/2NXM5fS

Business

Washington (CNN)Four days before the deadline, it appeared increasingly unlikely that the United States and Canada would rally to save the three-party NAFTA framework. Intensive negotiations had yielded important progress, but the two sides remained far apart on the most contentious issues.

“It’ll be United States and Mexico,” President Donald Trump said nonchalantly at a news conference last week, just days ahead of the deadline. “We’re very unhappy with the negotiations and the negotiating style of Canada.”

It was a gloomy outlook for talks that had persisted for months but had become hung up on matters Trump found himself obsessing over:

Canada’s restrictive dairy market

and the import of auto parts into the United States. The President had taken to railing on those topics during his rollicking campaign rallies.

Personal animus had emerged as well. Trump, a conservative populist, found himself butting heads with Justin Trudeau, the liberal prime minister who’s opposed him on matters like climate change and refugees, not to mention trade. Trump denounced Trudeau as “very dishonest and weak” after making an early departure from the G7 meeting Trudeau was hosting in June.

In his news conference last week, Trump also appeared to take aim at Canada’s top negotiator, Chrystia Freeland.

“We’re not getting along at all,” he lamented.

So it was something of a surprise Monday to see Trump hailing a three-country trade agreement from the Rose Garden after negotiators in Washington and Ottawa worked through the weekend to strike an agreement. The final plan opens some of Canada’s dairy market to US farmers and will require more of a vehicle’s parts to be made in North America in order for it to be free from tariffs.

“Dairy was a deal-breaker,” the President said, surrounded by the US negotiating team. “And now for our farmers it’s, as you know, substantially opened up much more.”

For Trump, a revamped NAFTA reflected an opportunity to fulfill a chief campaign promise, even if the final result was viewed by some economists as more of a rebranding than an entirely new deal. And while Trump took a victory lap on Monday, touting the success of his tariff brinkmanship, he also admitted the future of the new US-Mexico-Canada Agreement was uncertain.

“Not at all confident,” was how he answered when asked about the prospects of Congress approving the new deal.

Eleventh-hour talks

On Friday morning, Trump’s senior adviser and son-in-law, Jared Kushner, got a call from Trudeau’s chief of staff, Katie Telford, and senior adviser Gerald Butts. They wanted to make a final push to reach a deal, two sources familiar close to the negotiations said.

The phone call set into motion a series of phone negotiations over the weekend involving Kushner and US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer on the US side and the direct involvement of Trudeau’s most trusted advisers, leading to an eleventh-hour deal within hours of the midnight deadline on Sunday.

The two sides had struggled to get past key sticking points for weeks, but sources credited the phone call from Trudeau’s advisers to Kushner with setting in motion a final effort at the highest levels on both sides to clear the remaining hurdles and salvage the trade deal. Throughout the weekend, Kushner and Lighthizer kept in close touch with Trump, who offered his feedback on the negotiations through Sunday.

Trump’s advisers were quick to credit his hardline negotiating approach with getting the US and Canada to a deal.

“Your leadership, vision and grit made this agreement possible. No other person could have done it,” Lighthizer told Trump in the Rose Garden on Monday.

Speaking to reporters later, he expanded: “To me the fact that we got a good agreement is all the evidence you need that the President’s approach is the good approach, is the right approach. If you’re not willing to walk away from an agreement, you’re not gonna get one, right?”

Playing to the base

While the completion of the NAFTA rewrite amounted to both a campaign promise fulfilled and the successful use of the brinkmanship Trump has brought to the presidency, it also reflected his obsession with branding.

Before the trade deal was even inked, Trump had already decided on its name, an acronym reminiscent of the US Marine Corps: the USMCA.

Long convinced the “NAFTA” acronym was political poison for heartland voters — including the farmers and industrial workers who propelled him to the White House — Trump insisted from the beginning that a revamped trade agreement be called something else.

“I’m not going to use the name NAFTA. I refuse to use it,” he said last week at a news conference.

On Monday, he felt assured he had made the right choice.

“USMCA,” Trump said, reflecting on the acronym. “Has a good ring to it.”

As midterm elections near, and after that the beginnings of his 2020 re-election bid, Trump has identified trade as his chief governing priority, one with ample space to tout fulfilled campaign promises and remind voters of a strong US economy.

Unlike other policy areas, Trump has approached trade with his own strong convictions — built over time as a businessman — that he wants carried out, according to people familiar with his style. And he has shown a penchant for pitting hardline advisers, such as China trade hawk Peter Navarro, against more moderating voices, such as Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin.

So far, Trump has enjoyed the benefit of a roaring US economy, which has absorbed combative trade moves with little impact on the price of goods or in the stock market. But some economists have warned the trade war will eventually be felt by Americans, particularly if new tariffs are applied to Chinese goods, as Trump has warned.

It’s an area Trump can rightly claim progress in, even as chaos persists in other areas of his agenda. As was evident Monday, it’s a topic he’d rather discuss than, say, his besieged Supreme Court nominee. But even he acknowledged that dairy prices and rules on auto manufacturing couldn’t hold the public’s attention forever.

“You want to, I guess, get off trade. I don’t know, people are falling asleep with trade,” he said as reporters in the Rose Garden pressed him to move on to questions about embattled Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh. “To me it’s the most exciting thing you can talk about, right?”

Read More | Jeremy Diamond and Kevin Liptak, CNN,

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet, in 2018-10-02 04:44:18

#Nature of Business in the Current Market

computacionalblog

Oct 2, 2018

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet http://www.nature-business.com/business-how-trump-landed-his-biggest-trade-win-yet/

Business

Washington (CNN)Four days before the deadline, it appeared increasingly unlikely that the United States and Canada would rally to save the three-party NAFTA framework. Intensive negotiations had yielded important progress, but the two sides remained far apart on the most contentious issues.

“It’ll be United States and Mexico,” President Donald Trump said nonchalantly at a news conference last week, just days ahead of the deadline. “We’re very unhappy with the negotiations and the negotiating style of Canada.”

It was a gloomy outlook for talks that had persisted for months but had become hung up on matters Trump found himself obsessing over:

Canada’s restrictive dairy market

and the import of auto parts into the United States. The President had taken to railing on those topics during his rollicking campaign rallies.

Personal animus had emerged as well. Trump, a conservative populist, found himself butting heads with Justin Trudeau, the liberal prime minister who’s opposed him on matters like climate change and refugees, not to mention trade. Trump denounced Trudeau as “very dishonest and weak” after making an early departure from the G7 meeting Trudeau was hosting in June.

In his news conference last week, Trump also appeared to take aim at Canada’s top negotiator, Chrystia Freeland.

“We’re not getting along at all,” he lamented.

So it was something of a surprise Monday to see Trump hailing a three-country trade agreement from the Rose Garden after negotiators in Washington and Ottawa worked through the weekend to strike an agreement. The final plan opens some of Canada’s dairy market to US farmers and will require more of a vehicle’s parts to be made in North America in order for it to be free from tariffs.

“Dairy was a deal-breaker,” the President said, surrounded by the US negotiating team. “And now for our farmers it’s, as you know, substantially opened up much more.”

For Trump, a revamped NAFTA reflected an opportunity to fulfill a chief campaign promise, even if the final result was viewed by some economists as more of a rebranding than an entirely new deal. And while Trump took a victory lap on Monday, touting the success of his tariff brinkmanship, he also admitted the future of the new US-Mexico-Canada Agreement was uncertain.

“Not at all confident,” was how he answered when asked about the prospects of Congress approving the new deal.

Eleventh-hour talks

On Friday morning, Trump’s senior adviser and son-in-law, Jared Kushner, got a call from Trudeau’s chief of staff, Katie Telford, and senior adviser Gerald Butts. They wanted to make a final push to reach a deal, two sources familiar close to the negotiations said.

The phone call set into motion a series of phone negotiations over the weekend involving Kushner and US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer on the US side and the direct involvement of Trudeau’s most trusted advisers, leading to an eleventh-hour deal within hours of the midnight deadline on Sunday.

The two sides had struggled to get past key sticking points for weeks, but sources credited the phone call from Trudeau’s advisers to Kushner with setting in motion a final effort at the highest levels on both sides to clear the remaining hurdles and salvage the trade deal. Throughout the weekend, Kushner and Lighthizer kept in close touch with Trump, who offered his feedback on the negotiations through Sunday.

Trump’s advisers were quick to credit his hardline negotiating approach with getting the US and Canada to a deal.

“Your leadership, vision and grit made this agreement possible. No other person could have done it,” Lighthizer told Trump in the Rose Garden on Monday.

Speaking to reporters later, he expanded: “To me the fact that we got a good agreement is all the evidence you need that the President’s approach is the good approach, is the right approach. If you’re not willing to walk away from an agreement, you’re not gonna get one, right?”

Playing to the base

While the completion of the NAFTA rewrite amounted to both a campaign promise fulfilled and the successful use of the brinkmanship Trump has brought to the presidency, it also reflected his obsession with branding.

Before the trade deal was even inked, Trump had already decided on its name, an acronym reminiscent of the US Marine Corps: the USMCA.

Long convinced the “NAFTA” acronym was political poison for heartland voters — including the farmers and industrial workers who propelled him to the White House — Trump insisted from the beginning that a revamped trade agreement be called something else.

“I’m not going to use the name NAFTA. I refuse to use it,” he said last week at a news conference.

On Monday, he felt assured he had made the right choice.

“USMCA,” Trump said, reflecting on the acronym. “Has a good ring to it.”

As midterm elections near, and after that the beginnings of his 2020 re-election bid, Trump has identified trade as his chief governing priority, one with ample space to tout fulfilled campaign promises and remind voters of a strong US economy.

Unlike other policy areas, Trump has approached trade with his own strong convictions — built over time as a businessman — that he wants carried out, according to people familiar with his style. And he has shown a penchant for pitting hardline advisers, such as China trade hawk Peter Navarro, against more moderating voices, such as Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin.

So far, Trump has enjoyed the benefit of a roaring US economy, which has absorbed combative trade moves with little impact on the price of goods or in the stock market. But some economists have warned the trade war will eventually be felt by Americans, particularly if new tariffs are applied to Chinese goods, as Trump has warned.

It’s an area Trump can rightly claim progress in, even as chaos persists in other areas of his agenda. As was evident Monday, it’s a topic he’d rather discuss than, say, his besieged Supreme Court nominee. But even he acknowledged that dairy prices and rules on auto manufacturing couldn’t hold the public’s attention forever.

“You want to, I guess, get off trade. I don’t know, people are falling asleep with trade,” he said as reporters in the Rose Garden pressed him to move on to questions about embattled Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh. “To me it’s the most exciting thing you can talk about, right?”

Read More | Jeremy Diamond and Kevin Liptak, CNN,

Business How Trump landed his biggest trade win yet, in 2018-10-02 04:44:18

#Nature of Business in the Current Market

todaynewsstories

Oct 1, 2018

Trump says trade pact with Canada, Mexico will support U.S. jobs

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday said a new free trade agreement with Canada and Mexico would support hundreds of thousands of U.S. jobs, marking it as a victory in his push to reshape the lines of global commerce.

Financial markets breathed a sigh of relief that the United States and Canada had reached a last-minute deal on Sunday to preserve a single trading zone in North America after serious worries it could fragment under Trump’s trade pressures.

The deal is a reworking of the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement, which underpins $1.2 trillion in trade between the three countries. Trump had described NAFTA as a bad deal for Americans and threatened to eliminate it as part of his “America First” agenda.

The new United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is aimed at bringing more jobs into the United States, with Canada and Mexico accepting more restrictive commerce with the United States, their main export partner.

“These measures will support many – hundreds of thousands – American jobs,” Trump said in remarks at the White House.

“It means far more American jobs, and these are high-quality jobs.”

While changing NAFTA and bringing down U.S. trade deficits was a top Trump campaign pledge, Sunday’s agreement largely leaves the broader deal intact and maintains supply chains that would have been fractured under weaker bilateral deals.

U.S., Canadian and Mexican stocks were trading higher on Monday, with the benchmark S&P 500 index .SPX rising more than 0.6 percent and the Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX index .GSPTSE gaining about 0.4 percent.

The Canadian dollar CAD=D4 strengthened to a four-month high against the U.S. dollar, while the Mexican peso MXN=D3 rose to near a two-month high against the greenback.

Trump called USMCA “the most important trade deal we’ve ever made by far,” replacing NAFTA, which he said was “perhaps the worst trade deal ever.”

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on Sunday called it “a good day for Canada” after negotiators worked frantically ahead of the U.S.-imposed midnight deadline for a deal. He was scheduled to speak to reporters at noon EDT (1600 GMT).

The pact preserved a key trade dispute settlement mechanism sought by Canada even as Ottawa agreed to open up its dairy markets to U.S. farmers.

The deal effectively maintains the current auto sector and largely spares Canada and Mexico from the prospect of U.S. tariffs on their vehicles, although it will make it harder for global auto makers to build cars cheaply in Mexico.

Trump vowed during his 2016 presidential campaign to tear up current U.S. trade deals, which he blamed for a loss of American manufacturing jobs. His administration has abandoned other trade accords and slapped tariffs on a number of key trading partners, including China.

“It’s a promise made, promise kept,” Peter Navarro, the White House trade adviser, told Fox News on Monday. “NAFTA is dead. We have USMCA.”

STEEL TARIFFS

Mexican Economy Minister Ildefonso Guajardo on Monday said the new accord could be signed by the three countries’ leaders when they meet at a G20 summit in Buenos Aires in late November.

Slideshow (3 Images)

The deal does not include any changes to separate U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum levied earlier this year on many of Washington’s trading partners, including Canada, Mexico, China and the European Union.

Trump said the import tariffs – 25 percent on steel and 10 percent on aluminum – would remain in place for Canada and Mexico until they “can do something different like quotas, perhaps.”

“We are not going to allow our steel industry to disappear,” Trump said in his remarks on Monday.

Mexican Foreign Minister Luis Videgaray said earlier that he hoped concerns over the metals tariffs could be resolved before the new trilateral deal is signed.

U.S. officials intend to sign the deal by Nov. 30, Navarro said. It would then be submitted for approval by the U.S. Congress, currently controlled by Trump’s fellow Republicans.

U.S. Senator Pat Roberts, a Kansas Republican who oversees the Senate’s agricultural committee, said he was “eager to review the details” of the deal and noted the outsized role trade with Canada and Mexico had on rural U.S. states like his.

U.S. Senator Joni Ernst of Iowa, a top farming state, praised the agreement in a tweet on Monday: “Our farmers need stability and access to markets.”

Democratic U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota, which borders Canada, also said she would review the terms and was glad her state’s “number one trading partner” was “back in the mix.”

The United States and Mexico clinched a bilateral agreement in late August after the Trump administration sought separate lines of talks, leaving Canada to negotiate its own terms.

A senior source close to the trade talks said Mexico’s Videgaray, Trudeau’s chief of staff Katie Telford and White House adviser Jared Kushner helped over the weekend to facilitate Sunday’s agreement. Advisers to Mexico’s incoming government, Marcelo Ebrard and Jesus Seade, were also consulted “in real time,” the source said.

Reporting by Susan Heavey; Additional reporting by Lisa Lambert in Washington and Frank Jack Daniel in Mexico City; Editing by Franklin Paul and Paul Simao

Our Standards:The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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robgrayofficial

Jun 16, 2018

HAPPPPPPY SATURDAY, PATRIOTS!This is your girl u/IvaginaryFriend here and I'm back at it again with a weeks worth of spice for you lovely Deplorables! (◠‿◠✿)Before we officially get this recap started, if you happened to miss any past recaps you can catch them here!Sunday, June 10th:🔥🔥TRUMP TWEETS🔥🔥:Fair Trade is now to be called Fool Trade if it is not Reciprocal. According to a Canada release, they make almost 100 Billion Dollars in Trade with U.S. (guess they were bragging and got caught!). Minimum is 17B. Tax Dairy from us at 270%. Then Justin acts hurt when called out!Why should I, as President of the United States, allow countries to continue to make Massive Trade Surpluses, as they have for decades, while our Farmers, Workers & Taxpayers have such a big and unfair price to pay? Not fair to the PEOPLE of America! $800 Billion Trade Deficit... ... ....And add to that the fact that the U.S. pays close to the entire cost of NATO-protecting many of these same countries that rip us off on Trade (they pay only a fraction of the cost-and laugh!). The European Union had a $151 Billion Surplus-should pay much more for Military! ... ....Germany pays 1% (slowly) of GDP towards NATO, while we pay 4% of a MUCH larger GDP. Does anybody believe that makes sense? We protect Europe (which is good) at great financial loss, and then get unfairly clobbered on Trade. Change is coming!Great to be in Singapore, excitement in the air!Sorry, we cannot let our friends, or enemies, take advantage of us on Trade anymore. We must put the American worker first!SIGNIFICANT TWEETS AND NEWS:Cultural enrichment as its finestThe version they didn't want you to see.Canada does it: everything is fine. American does it: REEE RACISMWhen you are done making the g7 your bitch and you have to go end the Korean war🐸 TOP SPICE OF THE DAY 🐸:GLOBALISTS BTFO: "WE ARE THE PIGGY BANK THAT EVERYONE IS ROBBING. THAT ENDS."BTFO SocialistMy eyebrows are real.Just a picture of Ivanka Trump colluding with some RussiansMonday, June 11th:TODAY'S ACTION:President Donald J. Trump Meets with the Prime Minister of SingaporePresident Trump Participates in a 1:1 Meeting with North Korean Leader Kim Jong UnPresident Trump Participates in an Expanded Bilateral Meeting with North Korean Leader Kim Jong UnPresident Trump and North Korean Leader Kim Jong Un Signs a Declaration of Friendship2018 Singapore SummitSeventeen Nominations Sent to the Senate Today🔥🔥TRUMP TWEETS🔥🔥:Thank you Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong!SIGNIFICANT TWEETS AND NEWS:‘We’re America, Bitch’THE FIRST HANDSHAKE BETWEEN NK & US LEADERS. HISTORIC!!Kim Jong Un Can't Stop Smiling After President Trump Said They Will Have A Fantastic Relationship Then Kim Shocks The World And Tells President Trump He Wants To Move On From The Past !!HISTORIC!! #MAGAAnother Supreme Court win: 'Supreme Court allows Ohio voter purge'In case you guys were wondering, she's there in case somebody needs to be bitch slapped...especially Fake News!!!PRESS BRIEFINGS, INTERVIEWS, RALLIES:Briefing by Secretary of State Michael Pompeo🐸 TOP SPICE OF THE DAY 🐸:And right over here we have the fake news. Nobody likes them.NO. FUCKS. GIVEN.Watch the left eat itself.Two terms. Two scoops. Two genders. Two cakes.The Democrat Party is now officially more hostile and dangerous to the US than North KoreaTuesday, June 12th:TODAY'S ACTION:President Trump Participates in a Media AvailabilityPresident Donald J. Trump Announces Intent to Nominate Personnel to Key Administration Posts🔥🔥TRUMP TWEETS🔥🔥:Meetings between staffs and representatives are going well and quickly....but in the end, that doesn’t matter. We will all know soon whether or not a real deal, unlike those of the past, can happen!Stock Market up almost 40% since the Election, with 7 Trillion Dollars of U.S. value built throughout the economy. Lowest unemployment rate in many decades, with Black & Hispanic unemployment lowest in History, and Female unemployment lowest in 21 years. Highest confidence ever!The fact that I am having a meeting is a major loss for the U.S., say the haters & losers. We have our hostages, testing, research and all missle launches have stoped, and these pundits, who have called me wrong from the beginning, have nothing else they can say! We will be fine!Just won big Supreme Court decision on Voting! Great News!Our Great Larry Kudlow, who has been working so hard on trade and the economy, has just suffered a heart attack. He is now in Walter Reed Medical Center.SIGNIFICANT TWEETS AND NEWS:Troll level - ExpertBREAKING: TRUMP'S CAMPAIGN MANAGER WANTS CNN REPORTER'S CREDENTIALS REVOKED OVER QUESTIONS DURING NORTH KOREA SIGNINGFake News Jim Acosta justifying his rude questions at the Singapore summit: "Hey if they're not going to let me in the fucking meeting, that's what's going to happen… That's the way it goes, baby."Amazing video Trump showed Kim🐸 TOP SPICE OF THE DAY 🐸:HAHAFoot. Meet. Mouth.This man is 72 years old and hasn't slept in 22 hours. This is the President I voted for!Someone's JealousCurrent emotion of the leftLiterally Reddit right nowWednesday, June 13th:TODAY'S ACTION:Historic Summit with North Korea is a Tremendous Moment for the World🔥🔥TRUMP TWEETS🔥🔥:My political representatives didn’t want me to get involved in the Mark Sanford primary thinking that Sanford would easily win - but with a few hours left I felt that Katie was such a good candidate, and Sanford was so bad, I had to give it a shot. Congrats to Katie Arrington!Robert De Niro, a very Low IQ individual, has received too many shots to the head by real boxers in movies. I watched him last night and truly believe he may be “punch-drunk.” I guess he doesn’t... ... ...realize the economy is the best it’s ever been with employment being at an all time high, and many companies pouring back into our country. Wake up Punchy!Congratulations to Corey Stewart for his great victory for Senator from Virginia. Now he runs against a total stiff, Tim Kaine, who is weak on crime and borders, and wants to raise your taxes through the roof. Don’t underestimate Corey, a major chance of winning!Just landed - a long trip, but everybody can now feel much safer than the day I took office. There is no longer a Nuclear Threat from North Korea. Meeting with Kim Jong Un was an interesting and very positive experience. North Korea has great potential for the future!Before taking office people were assuming that we were going to War with North Korea. President Obama said that North Korea was our biggest and most dangerous problem. No longer - sleep well tonight!We save a fortune by not doing war games, as long as we are negotiating in good faith - which both sides are!The U.S., together with Mexico and Canada, just got the World Cup. Congratulations - a great deal of hard work!Oil prices are too high, OPEC is at it again. Not good!So funny to watch the Fake News, especially NBC and CNN. They are fighting hard to downplay the deal with North Korea. 500 days ago they would have “begged” for this deal-looked like war would break out. Our Country’s biggest enemy is the Fake News so easily promulgated by fools!Senator Claire McCaskill of the GREAT State of Missouri flew around in a luxurious private jet during her RV tour of the state. RV’s are not for her. People are really upset, so phony! Josh Hawley should win big, and has my full endorsement.Congratulations to Danny Tarkanian on his big GOP primary win in Nevada. Danny worked hard an got a great result. Looking good in November!Congratulations to @KevinCramer on his huge win in North Dakota. We need Kevin in the Senate, and I strongly endorse him. Heidi voted NO on our Tax Cuts, and always will vote no when we need her. Kevin is strong on Crime & Borders, big on Cutting Taxes!SIGNIFICANT TWEETS AND NEWS:Tommy Robinson sent to Muslim Prison, the time to stand up is NOWMike Pence casts tie-breaking vote to allow states to defund Planned Parenthood. Prepare for internet meltdown. SBC18Food Stamp Enrollment Dips to Lowest Level in 8 YearsTrump Nominated For Nobel Peace Price... By NorwayTrump shows off 'The Beast' ( presidential limo ) to Kim during historic Singapore summit🐸 TOP SPICE OF THE DAY 🐸:POWERFULRare photo of our President shitposting in real timeWhen your attempt at political humor results in a massive redpilling.New "Make America Safe" painting by Jon McNaughton "If we don’t build the wall soon, we’ll be overrun by the weeds."The greatest moment of the Trump Kim Summit...Thursday, June 14th:TODAY'S ACTION:President Donald J. Trump Announces Intent to Nominate Personnel to Key Administration Posts🔥🔥TRUMP TWEETS🔥🔥:The Republican Party is starting to show very big numbers. People are starting to see what is being done. Results are speaking loudly. North Korea and our greatest ever economy are leading the way!Now that I am back from Singapore, where we had a great result with respect to North Korea, the thought process must sadly go back to the Witch Hunt, always remembering that there was No Collusion and No Obstruction of the fabricated No Crime.So, the Democrats make up a phony crime, Collusion with the Russians, pay a fortune to make the crime sound real, illegally leak (Comey) classified information so that a Special Councel will be appointed, and then Collude to make this pile of garbage take on life in Fake News!The sleazy New York Democrats, and their now disgraced (and run out of town) A.G. Eric Schneiderman, are doing everything they can to sue me on a foundation that took in $18,800,000 and gave out to charity more money than it took in, $19,200,000. I won’t settle this case!... ... ....Schneiderman, who ran the Clinton campaign in New York, never had the guts to bring this ridiculous case, which lingered in their office for almost 2 years. Now he resigned his office in disgrace, and his disciples brought it when we would not settle.Happy 243rd Birthday to the @USArmy! Thank you for your bravery, sacrifices, and dedication to the U.S.A. We love you!Happy #FlagDay🇺🇸SIGNIFICANT TWEETS AND NEWS:HAPPY BIRTHDAY TO YOUR FAVORITE PRESIDENT!!FULL INSPECTOR GENERAL REPORT - Ditch the SSRI's, double up on the vaccines and GET IN HERE, PEDES! We're going full autistic on this!STRZOK: ‘We’ll Stop’ Trump Presidency‘Viva Le Resistance’: Mueller Team Attorney Sent Anti-Trump TextsThis is huge. Boston’s BWH Hospital removing images of historic doctors from public view because workers complained they’re all white. First neurosurgeon in the world. Nobel winner for first organ transplant. We should be proud of our hospital’s accomplishments not ashamed of their skin.PRESS BRIEFINGS, INTERVIEWS, RALLIES:6/14/18: White House Press Briefing🐸 TOP SPICE OF THE DAY 🐸:FBI Director Christopher Wray holds a press conferenceIt’s GETOUS Birthday. Praise Kek, How will you celebrate this holiday. I plan to have the Standard Trump McDonald’s order then Two Scoops of Ice Cream and a Diet Coke while reading the IG reporthmmmmmmm"FBI says FBI is innocent, says FBI."Friday, June 15th:TODAY'S ACTION:A Message from President Donald J. Trump🔥🔥TRUMP TWEETS🔥🔥:FBI Agent Peter Strzok, who headed the Clinton & Russia investigations, texted to his lover Lisa Page, in the IG Report, that “we’ll stop” candidate Trump from becoming President. Doesn’t get any lower than that!The IG Report is a total disaster for Comey, his minions and sadly, the FBI. Comey will now officially go down as the worst leader, by far, in the history of the FBI. I did a great service to the people in firing him. Good Instincts. Christopher Wray will bring it proudly back!Thank you for all of the compliments on getting the World Cup to come to the U.S.A., Mexico and Canada. I worked hard on this, along with a Great Team of talented people. We never fail, and it will be a great World Cup! A special thanks to Bob Kraft for excellent advice.U.S.A. Jobs numbers are the BEST in 44 years. If my opponent (the Democrats) had won the election, they would have raised taxes substantially and increased regulations - the economy, and jobs, would have been a disaster!Wow, the highest rated (by far) morning show, @foxandfriends, is on the Front Lawn of the White House. Maybe I’ll have to take an unannounced trip down to see them?“Why in the world didn’t Barack Obama fire this guy (Comey)?” asks Mark Levin!(Retweeting Fox&Friends) @jasoninthehouse: All of this started because Hillary Clinton set up her private server(Retweeting Fox&Friends) @jasoninthehouse: Anything Mueller is doing with his investigation is tainted by the anti-Trump FBI agents(Retweeting Fox&Friends) @jasoninthehouse: The DOJ IG report is 562 pages of nothing but bias and animus(Retweeting Fox&Friends) “This is one of the most damning rebukes of the FBI that I think we’ve ever seen.” -@jasoninthehouse(Retweeting Fox&Friends) DOJ IG report finds that an FBI lawyer told a bureau employee “Viva le resistance” after President Trump was elected(Retweeting Fox&Friends) IG REPORT BOMBSHELL: Anti-Trump FBI agent Peter Strzok texted his lover Lisa Page "we'll stop" Trump from becoming president“Donald Trump was 100% right to fire James Comey.” Mark LevinSIGNIFICANT TWEETS AND NEWS:Obama had direct contact with Clinton on private email server: IG reportUnder reported: FBI Agent acknowledges that Hillary's IT Guy "lied his ass off." Did we ever see ANY charges? Nope. Scandalous.Trump: ‘I May Get Involved’ in Justice Department ‘If It Gets Worse’Trump says he will not sign moderate 'Dreamer' immigration billFBI Employee: ‘Trump’s Supporters Are All Poor, Uneducated, Lazy POS…Pence is stupid.’ Another agent called us "retards." I was not even used to being in a cult yet. Fire these morons NOW🐸 TOP SPICE OF THE DAY 🐸:EverytimeDon Jr. Retweeted it!! Sad Ben Rhodes - Presidential Birthday RemixOoooh Noooo. Paul Manafort’s bail was revoked— he is going to jail.Obama's Left wrist is his foreign policy.Saturday, June 16th:🔥🔥TRUMP TWEETS🔥🔥:Democrats can fix their forced family breakup at the Border by working with Republicans on new legislation, for a change! This is why we need more Republicans elected in November. Democrats are good at only three things, High Taxes, High Crime and Obstruction. Sad!My supporters are the smartest, strongest, most hard working and most loyal that we have seen in our countries history. It is a beautiful thing to watch as we win elections and gather support from all over the country. As we get stronger, so does our country. Best numbers ever!The IG Report totally destroys James Comey and all of his minions including the great lovers, Peter Strzok and Lisa Page, who started the disgraceful Witch Hunt against so many innocent people. It will go down as a dark and dangerous period in American History!“Americans must demand their lawmakers support the legislation we need to defeat MS-13 once and for all, and to ensure every American child in every American community can grow up in safety, and grow up in security, and in peace.”SIGNIFICANT TWEETS AND NEWS:NOW WE'RE GETTING SOMEWHERE!Savage reply by POTUSTHIS RIGHT HERE, this nationally televised display of overt double standard, was the second biggest Red Pill (to date)🐸 TOP SPICE OF THE DAY 🐸:Weekend Fun Ben Garrison Cartoon The "It Will Make Heads Explode" PrizeFBI: Report Didn't Mention BiasWEEEEW LAD!Without further ado, some jams to help you groove through all this WINNING!!!InvincibleGhost townStarvingAftergoldHard To loveMAGA ON PATRIOTS! #robgray

#robgray

blogparadiseisland

Oct 1, 2018

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal?

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal? Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal? http://www.nature-business.com/business-whats-new-in-the-us-canada-and-mexico-trade-deal/

Business

(CNN)The United States, Canada and Mexico came to a last minute agreement on a revised trade deal that could replace NAFTA. It’s called the USMCA.

President Donald Trump and his Mexican and Canadian counterparts are expected to sign the deal by the end of November. It will then be up to Congress to approve the deal, which is likely to come up for a vote next year.

Negotiations between Canada and the United States pushed right up to a deadline imposed by the Trump administration Sunday night, and details of the agreement were starting to emerge..

Here are the biggest changes between the nearly 25-year-old NAFTA agreement and the new provisional USMCA.

Opening up Canada’s dairy market

In a win for the United States, USMCA will open up some of Canada’s dairy market to US farmers. The issue was a big sticking point between the two negotiating teams.

Under the original NAFTA, Canada limited how much milk, cheese and other dairy products could come in from the United States.

But under the updated agreement, Canada will set new quotas for the United States. It will increase market access for US dairy, poultry and eggs. In return, the United States will allow more Canadian dairy, peanuts and peanut products, and a limited amount of sugar to cross the border, according to a document from US Trade Representative’s Office.

Canada has also agreed to end a system that had kept the price of some milk products, including milk protein, low. This change will also allow more US dairy products to enter the Canadian market.

The Dairy Farmers of Canada quickly came out to criticize the new trade agreement, claiming it puts the livelihood of Canadian dairy producers at risk.

Canada recently made concessions in the Trans-Pacific Partnership and a trade deal with the European Union that also opened up its dairy market.

Car manufacturing

The new deal will require more of a vehicle’s parts to be made in North America in order for the car to be free from tariffs.

It requires that 75% of the parts must be made in Canada, Mexico or the United States, about 12 percentage points higher than under the original NAFTA.

The provision will help keep the production of car parts in the United States and bring back some production that moved abroad, the USTR said.

Ford Motor Company applauded the agreement because it will “support an integrated, globally competitive automotive business in North America

Sunset Clause

Renew it or lose it.

The United States had wanted to include in the new agreement a clause that would kill NAFTA after five years unless all three countries agreed to renew it.

Instead, negotiators stitched into the updated treaty new terms of the deal, agreeing to keep the trade pact for 16 years, unless all three countries agreed to extend it.

That means the deadline could be extended far out into the future, if all three countries agreed to either renew or renegotiate the trilateral trade pact.

The United States, Canada and Mexico will be required to meet every six years to decide whether to do so.

The Trump administration had been seeking a shorter time frame of five years in an effort to keep the pact up to date. But Mexico and Canada were less in favor of that proposal arguing it would stunt investment in their countries if the future of the agreement was in question.

Exchange rate curbs

Tucked in the agreement is a foreign-exchange provision to deter countries from manipulating their currencies.

The language isn’t likely to impact all three NAFTA countries, which have a free floating exchange rate. Instead, it’s intended as a signal to other countries outside of North America.

Countries frequently commit to avoiding unfair currency manipulations. But the tougher language in the accord could give the United States more leverage in trade negotiations with countries like China.

Dispute resolution

When countries are found to be in violation of the agreement, there are hard and fast rules how to hold nations accountable. Embedded in the old NAFTA agreement were three kinds.

Two of those dispute settlement systems will remain basically intact, but will be renamed.

The first is a system to resolve state-to-state disputes, formerly known as Chapter 20. The second mechanism is NAFTA’s old Chapter 19, which resolves disputes between two countries on anti-dumping and countervailing duties cases. That will also remain untouched in the new agreement.

One difference is that another settlement process, formerly known as Chapter 11, will be phased out between the US and Canada. But will stick for certain key sectors like oil and gas, infrastructure and telecommunications between the US and Mexico.

Help for American workers

The new trade agreement aims to support American workers in several ways.

Most notably, it requires that 40% to 45% of car and truck parts be made by workers earning at least $16 an hour. The goal is to level the playing field between American and Mexican auto workers and to incentivize manufacturers to build more in the United States. One of the main criticisms of NAFTA is that it prompted American car makers to shift production south of the border, where workers earn much less than their US counterparts.

The deal also mandates that 75% of a vehicle’s parts must be made in North America, up from the current 62.5% rule. The Trump administration argues that this will help incentivize billions in new auto sector production in the US.

Also, Mexico has committed to recognize workers’ right to collectively bargain, and the three countries agreed to enforce rights recognized by the International Labor Organization.

President Trump said Monday that the agreement will transform North America back into a manufacturing powerhouse.

“Instead of jobs leaving for overseas, they will be returning back home,” he said in a Rose Garden ceremony.

Experts, however, are still sifting through the documents to determine the actual impact of the agreement.

“The bottom line is that we simply do not have enough information at this time to know whether NAFTA 2018 is in the economic interests of the United States,” AFL-CIO Trade Policy Specialist Celeste Drake wrote in a blog post. “On labor, despite progress, more work remains to be done.”

Some trade experts are skeptical that the deal will boost auto sector employment. In fact, the new mandates may prompt American carmakers to shift production to Japan, Korea or other countries outside North America. They’ll have to pay a 2.5% tariff, but they may find it more economical than adhering to the USMCA rules, said Robert Lawrence, a professor of international trade and investment at Harvard.

“The jobs aspect is uncertain at best,” said Robert Scott, director of trade and manufacturing policy research at the Economic Policy Institute, a left-leaning organization.

One wildcard is whether the Trump administration will try to raise the 2.5% tariff on importing cars and auto parts. The president

is considering levying a 25% tariff

on imported vehicles, citing national security.

‘Modernizing’ NAFTA for the digital age

The new agreement addresses issues that have emerged over the past 25 years.

For example, it outlines criminal penalties for pirating movies online.

It prohibits duties on digital music, books, software and video games that are distributed electronically.

There are also stronger intellectual property protections, including patents for biotech and financial services.

Other tariffs

One big question is how the three countries will resolve disputes over US tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Canada and Mexico.

For now, that part, along with retaliatory tariffs countries have imposed, were left out of the deal.

That piece will have to be negotiated separately, senior administration officials said.

Read More | Katie Lobosco, Donna Borak, and Tami Luhby, CNN Business,

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal?, in 2018-10-01 19:39:21

#Nature of Business in the Current Market

internetbetterforall

Oct 1, 2018

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal?

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal? Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal? http://www.nature-business.com/business-whats-new-in-the-us-canada-and-mexico-trade-deal/

Business

(CNN)The United States, Canada and Mexico came to a last minute agreement on a revised trade deal that could replace NAFTA. It’s called the USMCA.

President Donald Trump and his Mexican and Canadian counterparts are expected to sign the deal by the end of November. It will then be up to Congress to approve the deal, which is likely to come up for a vote next year.

Negotiations between Canada and the United States pushed right up to a deadline imposed by the Trump administration Sunday night, and details of the agreement were starting to emerge..

Here are the biggest changes between the nearly 25-year-old NAFTA agreement and the new provisional USMCA.

Opening up Canada’s dairy market

In a win for the United States, USMCA will open up some of Canada’s dairy market to US farmers. The issue was a big sticking point between the two negotiating teams.

Under the original NAFTA, Canada limited how much milk, cheese and other dairy products could come in from the United States.

But under the updated agreement, Canada will set new quotas for the United States. It will increase market access for US dairy, poultry and eggs. In return, the United States will allow more Canadian dairy, peanuts and peanut products, and a limited amount of sugar to cross the border, according to a document from US Trade Representative’s Office.

Canada has also agreed to end a system that had kept the price of some milk products, including milk protein, low. This change will also allow more US dairy products to enter the Canadian market.

The Dairy Farmers of Canada quickly came out to criticize the new trade agreement, claiming it puts the livelihood of Canadian dairy producers at risk.

Canada recently made concessions in the Trans-Pacific Partnership and a trade deal with the European Union that also opened up its dairy market.

Car manufacturing

The new deal will require more of a vehicle’s parts to be made in North America in order for the car to be free from tariffs.

It requires that 75% of the parts must be made in Canada, Mexico or the United States, about 12 percentage points higher than under the original NAFTA.

The provision will help keep the production of car parts in the United States and bring back some production that moved abroad, the USTR said.

Ford Motor Company applauded the agreement because it will “support an integrated, globally competitive automotive business in North America

Sunset Clause

Renew it or lose it.

The United States had wanted to include in the new agreement a clause that would kill NAFTA after five years unless all three countries agreed to renew it.

Instead, negotiators stitched into the updated treaty new terms of the deal, agreeing to keep the trade pact for 16 years, unless all three countries agreed to extend it.

That means the deadline could be extended far out into the future, if all three countries agreed to either renew or renegotiate the trilateral trade pact.

The United States, Canada and Mexico will be required to meet every six years to decide whether to do so.

The Trump administration had been seeking a shorter time frame of five years in an effort to keep the pact up to date. But Mexico and Canada were less in favor of that proposal arguing it would stunt investment in their countries if the future of the agreement was in question.

Exchange rate curbs

Tucked in the agreement is a foreign-exchange provision to deter countries from manipulating their currencies.

The language isn’t likely to impact all three NAFTA countries, which have a free floating exchange rate. Instead, it’s intended as a signal to other countries outside of North America.

Countries frequently commit to avoiding unfair currency manipulations. But the tougher language in the accord could give the United States more leverage in trade negotiations with countries like China.

Dispute resolution

When countries are found to be in violation of the agreement, there are hard and fast rules how to hold nations accountable. Embedded in the old NAFTA agreement were three kinds.

Two of those dispute settlement systems will remain basically intact, but will be renamed.

The first is a system to resolve state-to-state disputes, formerly known as Chapter 20. The second mechanism is NAFTA’s old Chapter 19, which resolves disputes between two countries on anti-dumping and countervailing duties cases. That will also remain untouched in the new agreement.

One difference is that another settlement process, formerly known as Chapter 11, will be phased out between the US and Canada. But will stick for certain key sectors like oil and gas, infrastructure and telecommunications between the US and Mexico.

Help for American workers

The new trade agreement aims to support American workers in several ways.

Most notably, it requires that 40% to 45% of car and truck parts be made by workers earning at least $16 an hour. The goal is to level the playing field between American and Mexican auto workers and to incentivize manufacturers to build more in the United States. One of the main criticisms of NAFTA is that it prompted American car makers to shift production south of the border, where workers earn much less than their US counterparts.

The deal also mandates that 75% of a vehicle’s parts must be made in North America, up from the current 62.5% rule. The Trump administration argues that this will help incentivize billions in new auto sector production in the US.

Also, Mexico has committed to recognize workers’ right to collectively bargain, and the three countries agreed to enforce rights recognized by the International Labor Organization.

President Trump said Monday that the agreement will transform North America back into a manufacturing powerhouse.

“Instead of jobs leaving for overseas, they will be returning back home,” he said in a Rose Garden ceremony.

Experts, however, are still sifting through the documents to determine the actual impact of the agreement.

“The bottom line is that we simply do not have enough information at this time to know whether NAFTA 2018 is in the economic interests of the United States,” AFL-CIO Trade Policy Specialist Celeste Drake wrote in a blog post. “On labor, despite progress, more work remains to be done.”

Some trade experts are skeptical that the deal will boost auto sector employment. In fact, the new mandates may prompt American carmakers to shift production to Japan, Korea or other countries outside North America. They’ll have to pay a 2.5% tariff, but they may find it more economical than adhering to the USMCA rules, said Robert Lawrence, a professor of international trade and investment at Harvard.

“The jobs aspect is uncertain at best,” said Robert Scott, director of trade and manufacturing policy research at the Economic Policy Institute, a left-leaning organization.

One wildcard is whether the Trump administration will try to raise the 2.5% tariff on importing cars and auto parts. The president

is considering levying a 25% tariff

on imported vehicles, citing national security.

‘Modernizing’ NAFTA for the digital age

The new agreement addresses issues that have emerged over the past 25 years.

For example, it outlines criminal penalties for pirating movies online.

It prohibits duties on digital music, books, software and video games that are distributed electronically.

There are also stronger intellectual property protections, including patents for biotech and financial services.

Other tariffs

One big question is how the three countries will resolve disputes over US tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Canada and Mexico.

For now, that part, along with retaliatory tariffs countries have imposed, were left out of the deal.

That piece will have to be negotiated separately, senior administration officials said.

Read More | Katie Lobosco, Donna Borak, and Tami Luhby, CNN Business,

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal?, in 2018-10-01 19:39:21

#Nature of Business in the Current Market

blogcompetnetall

Oct 1, 2018

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal?

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal? Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal? http://www.nature-business.com/business-whats-new-in-the-us-canada-and-mexico-trade-deal/

Business

(CNN)The United States, Canada and Mexico came to a last minute agreement on a revised trade deal that could replace NAFTA. It’s called the USMCA.

President Donald Trump and his Mexican and Canadian counterparts are expected to sign the deal by the end of November. It will then be up to Congress to approve the deal, which is likely to come up for a vote next year.

Negotiations between Canada and the United States pushed right up to a deadline imposed by the Trump administration Sunday night, and details of the agreement were starting to emerge..

Here are the biggest changes between the nearly 25-year-old NAFTA agreement and the new provisional USMCA.

Opening up Canada’s dairy market

In a win for the United States, USMCA will open up some of Canada’s dairy market to US farmers. The issue was a big sticking point between the two negotiating teams.

Under the original NAFTA, Canada limited how much milk, cheese and other dairy products could come in from the United States.

But under the updated agreement, Canada will set new quotas for the United States. It will increase market access for US dairy, poultry and eggs. In return, the United States will allow more Canadian dairy, peanuts and peanut products, and a limited amount of sugar to cross the border, according to a document from US Trade Representative’s Office.

Canada has also agreed to end a system that had kept the price of some milk products, including milk protein, low. This change will also allow more US dairy products to enter the Canadian market.

The Dairy Farmers of Canada quickly came out to criticize the new trade agreement, claiming it puts the livelihood of Canadian dairy producers at risk.

Canada recently made concessions in the Trans-Pacific Partnership and a trade deal with the European Union that also opened up its dairy market.

Car manufacturing

The new deal will require more of a vehicle’s parts to be made in North America in order for the car to be free from tariffs.

It requires that 75% of the parts must be made in Canada, Mexico or the United States, about 12 percentage points higher than under the original NAFTA.

The provision will help keep the production of car parts in the United States and bring back some production that moved abroad, the USTR said.

Ford Motor Company applauded the agreement because it will “support an integrated, globally competitive automotive business in North America

Sunset Clause

Renew it or lose it.

The United States had wanted to include in the new agreement a clause that would kill NAFTA after five years unless all three countries agreed to renew it.

Instead, negotiators stitched into the updated treaty new terms of the deal, agreeing to keep the trade pact for 16 years, unless all three countries agreed to extend it.

That means the deadline could be extended far out into the future, if all three countries agreed to either renew or renegotiate the trilateral trade pact.

The United States, Canada and Mexico will be required to meet every six years to decide whether to do so.

The Trump administration had been seeking a shorter time frame of five years in an effort to keep the pact up to date. But Mexico and Canada were less in favor of that proposal arguing it would stunt investment in their countries if the future of the agreement was in question.

Exchange rate curbs

Tucked in the agreement is a foreign-exchange provision to deter countries from manipulating their currencies.

The language isn’t likely to impact all three NAFTA countries, which have a free floating exchange rate. Instead, it’s intended as a signal to other countries outside of North America.

Countries frequently commit to avoiding unfair currency manipulations. But the tougher language in the accord could give the United States more leverage in trade negotiations with countries like China.

Dispute resolution

When countries are found to be in violation of the agreement, there are hard and fast rules how to hold nations accountable. Embedded in the old NAFTA agreement were three kinds.

Two of those dispute settlement systems will remain basically intact, but will be renamed.

The first is a system to resolve state-to-state disputes, formerly known as Chapter 20. The second mechanism is NAFTA’s old Chapter 19, which resolves disputes between two countries on anti-dumping and countervailing duties cases. That will also remain untouched in the new agreement.

One difference is that another settlement process, formerly known as Chapter 11, will be phased out between the US and Canada. But will stick for certain key sectors like oil and gas, infrastructure and telecommunications between the US and Mexico.

Help for American workers

The new trade agreement aims to support American workers in several ways.

Most notably, it requires that 40% to 45% of car and truck parts be made by workers earning at least $16 an hour. The goal is to level the playing field between American and Mexican auto workers and to incentivize manufacturers to build more in the United States. One of the main criticisms of NAFTA is that it prompted American car makers to shift production south of the border, where workers earn much less than their US counterparts.

The deal also mandates that 75% of a vehicle’s parts must be made in North America, up from the current 62.5% rule. The Trump administration argues that this will help incentivize billions in new auto sector production in the US.

Also, Mexico has committed to recognize workers’ right to collectively bargain, and the three countries agreed to enforce rights recognized by the International Labor Organization.

President Trump said Monday that the agreement will transform North America back into a manufacturing powerhouse.

“Instead of jobs leaving for overseas, they will be returning back home,” he said in a Rose Garden ceremony.

Experts, however, are still sifting through the documents to determine the actual impact of the agreement.

“The bottom line is that we simply do not have enough information at this time to know whether NAFTA 2018 is in the economic interests of the United States,” AFL-CIO Trade Policy Specialist Celeste Drake wrote in a blog post. “On labor, despite progress, more work remains to be done.”

Some trade experts are skeptical that the deal will boost auto sector employment. In fact, the new mandates may prompt American carmakers to shift production to Japan, Korea or other countries outside North America. They’ll have to pay a 2.5% tariff, but they may find it more economical than adhering to the USMCA rules, said Robert Lawrence, a professor of international trade and investment at Harvard.

“The jobs aspect is uncertain at best,” said Robert Scott, director of trade and manufacturing policy research at the Economic Policy Institute, a left-leaning organization.

One wildcard is whether the Trump administration will try to raise the 2.5% tariff on importing cars and auto parts. The president

is considering levying a 25% tariff

on imported vehicles, citing national security.

‘Modernizing’ NAFTA for the digital age

The new agreement addresses issues that have emerged over the past 25 years.

For example, it outlines criminal penalties for pirating movies online.

It prohibits duties on digital music, books, software and video games that are distributed electronically.

There are also stronger intellectual property protections, including patents for biotech and financial services.

Other tariffs

One big question is how the three countries will resolve disputes over US tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Canada and Mexico.

For now, that part, along with retaliatory tariffs countries have imposed, were left out of the deal.

That piece will have to be negotiated separately, senior administration officials said.

Read More | Katie Lobosco, Donna Borak, and Tami Luhby, CNN Business,

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal?, in 2018-10-01 19:39:21

#Nature of Business in the Current Market

algarithmblognumber

Oct 1, 2018

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal?

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal? Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal? http://www.nature-business.com/business-whats-new-in-the-us-canada-and-mexico-trade-deal/

Business

(CNN)The United States, Canada and Mexico came to a last minute agreement on a revised trade deal that could replace NAFTA. It’s called the USMCA.

President Donald Trump and his Mexican and Canadian counterparts are expected to sign the deal by the end of November. It will then be up to Congress to approve the deal, which is likely to come up for a vote next year.

Negotiations between Canada and the United States pushed right up to a deadline imposed by the Trump administration Sunday night, and details of the agreement were starting to emerge..

Here are the biggest changes between the nearly 25-year-old NAFTA agreement and the new provisional USMCA.

Opening up Canada’s dairy market

In a win for the United States, USMCA will open up some of Canada’s dairy market to US farmers. The issue was a big sticking point between the two negotiating teams.

Under the original NAFTA, Canada limited how much milk, cheese and other dairy products could come in from the United States.

But under the updated agreement, Canada will set new quotas for the United States. It will increase market access for US dairy, poultry and eggs. In return, the United States will allow more Canadian dairy, peanuts and peanut products, and a limited amount of sugar to cross the border, according to a document from US Trade Representative’s Office.

Canada has also agreed to end a system that had kept the price of some milk products, including milk protein, low. This change will also allow more US dairy products to enter the Canadian market.

The Dairy Farmers of Canada quickly came out to criticize the new trade agreement, claiming it puts the livelihood of Canadian dairy producers at risk.

Canada recently made concessions in the Trans-Pacific Partnership and a trade deal with the European Union that also opened up its dairy market.

Car manufacturing

The new deal will require more of a vehicle’s parts to be made in North America in order for the car to be free from tariffs.

It requires that 75% of the parts must be made in Canada, Mexico or the United States, about 12 percentage points higher than under the original NAFTA.

The provision will help keep the production of car parts in the United States and bring back some production that moved abroad, the USTR said.

Ford Motor Company applauded the agreement because it will “support an integrated, globally competitive automotive business in North America

Sunset Clause

Renew it or lose it.

The United States had wanted to include in the new agreement a clause that would kill NAFTA after five years unless all three countries agreed to renew it.

Instead, negotiators stitched into the updated treaty new terms of the deal, agreeing to keep the trade pact for 16 years, unless all three countries agreed to extend it.

That means the deadline could be extended far out into the future, if all three countries agreed to either renew or renegotiate the trilateral trade pact.

The United States, Canada and Mexico will be required to meet every six years to decide whether to do so.

The Trump administration had been seeking a shorter time frame of five years in an effort to keep the pact up to date. But Mexico and Canada were less in favor of that proposal arguing it would stunt investment in their countries if the future of the agreement was in question.

Exchange rate curbs

Tucked in the agreement is a foreign-exchange provision to deter countries from manipulating their currencies.

The language isn’t likely to impact all three NAFTA countries, which have a free floating exchange rate. Instead, it’s intended as a signal to other countries outside of North America.

Countries frequently commit to avoiding unfair currency manipulations. But the tougher language in the accord could give the United States more leverage in trade negotiations with countries like China.

Dispute resolution

When countries are found to be in violation of the agreement, there are hard and fast rules how to hold nations accountable. Embedded in the old NAFTA agreement were three kinds.

Two of those dispute settlement systems will remain basically intact, but will be renamed.

The first is a system to resolve state-to-state disputes, formerly known as Chapter 20. The second mechanism is NAFTA’s old Chapter 19, which resolves disputes between two countries on anti-dumping and countervailing duties cases. That will also remain untouched in the new agreement.

One difference is that another settlement process, formerly known as Chapter 11, will be phased out between the US and Canada. But will stick for certain key sectors like oil and gas, infrastructure and telecommunications between the US and Mexico.

Help for American workers

The new trade agreement aims to support American workers in several ways.

Most notably, it requires that 40% to 45% of car and truck parts be made by workers earning at least $16 an hour. The goal is to level the playing field between American and Mexican auto workers and to incentivize manufacturers to build more in the United States. One of the main criticisms of NAFTA is that it prompted American car makers to shift production south of the border, where workers earn much less than their US counterparts.

The deal also mandates that 75% of a vehicle’s parts must be made in North America, up from the current 62.5% rule. The Trump administration argues that this will help incentivize billions in new auto sector production in the US.

Also, Mexico has committed to recognize workers’ right to collectively bargain, and the three countries agreed to enforce rights recognized by the International Labor Organization.

President Trump said Monday that the agreement will transform North America back into a manufacturing powerhouse.

“Instead of jobs leaving for overseas, they will be returning back home,” he said in a Rose Garden ceremony.

Experts, however, are still sifting through the documents to determine the actual impact of the agreement.

“The bottom line is that we simply do not have enough information at this time to know whether NAFTA 2018 is in the economic interests of the United States,” AFL-CIO Trade Policy Specialist Celeste Drake wrote in a blog post. “On labor, despite progress, more work remains to be done.”

Some trade experts are skeptical that the deal will boost auto sector employment. In fact, the new mandates may prompt American carmakers to shift production to Japan, Korea or other countries outside North America. They’ll have to pay a 2.5% tariff, but they may find it more economical than adhering to the USMCA rules, said Robert Lawrence, a professor of international trade and investment at Harvard.

“The jobs aspect is uncertain at best,” said Robert Scott, director of trade and manufacturing policy research at the Economic Policy Institute, a left-leaning organization.

One wildcard is whether the Trump administration will try to raise the 2.5% tariff on importing cars and auto parts. The president

is considering levying a 25% tariff

on imported vehicles, citing national security.

‘Modernizing’ NAFTA for the digital age

The new agreement addresses issues that have emerged over the past 25 years.

For example, it outlines criminal penalties for pirating movies online.

It prohibits duties on digital music, books, software and video games that are distributed electronically.

There are also stronger intellectual property protections, including patents for biotech and financial services.

Other tariffs

One big question is how the three countries will resolve disputes over US tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Canada and Mexico.

For now, that part, along with retaliatory tariffs countries have imposed, were left out of the deal.

That piece will have to be negotiated separately, senior administration officials said.

Read More | Katie Lobosco, Donna Borak, and Tami Luhby, CNN Business,

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal?, in 2018-10-01 19:39:21

#Nature of Business in the Current Market

internetbasic9

Oct 1, 2018

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal?

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal? Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal? https://ift.tt/2Qm0Zce

Business

(CNN)The United States, Canada and Mexico came to a last minute agreement on a revised trade deal that could replace NAFTA. It’s called the USMCA.

President Donald Trump and his Mexican and Canadian counterparts are expected to sign the deal by the end of November. It will then be up to Congress to approve the deal, which is likely to come up for a vote next year.

Negotiations between Canada and the United States pushed right up to a deadline imposed by the Trump administration Sunday night, and details of the agreement were starting to emerge..

Here are the biggest changes between the nearly 25-year-old NAFTA agreement and the new provisional USMCA.

Opening up Canada’s dairy market

In a win for the United States, USMCA will open up some of Canada’s dairy market to US farmers. The issue was a big sticking point between the two negotiating teams.

Under the original NAFTA, Canada limited how much milk, cheese and other dairy products could come in from the United States.

But under the updated agreement, Canada will set new quotas for the United States. It will increase market access for US dairy, poultry and eggs. In return, the United States will allow more Canadian dairy, peanuts and peanut products, and a limited amount of sugar to cross the border, according to a document from US Trade Representative’s Office.

Canada has also agreed to end a system that had kept the price of some milk products, including milk protein, low. This change will also allow more US dairy products to enter the Canadian market.

The Dairy Farmers of Canada quickly came out to criticize the new trade agreement, claiming it puts the livelihood of Canadian dairy producers at risk.

Canada recently made concessions in the Trans-Pacific Partnership and a trade deal with the European Union that also opened up its dairy market.

Car manufacturing

The new deal will require more of a vehicle’s parts to be made in North America in order for the car to be free from tariffs.

It requires that 75% of the parts must be made in Canada, Mexico or the United States, about 12 percentage points higher than under the original NAFTA.

The provision will help keep the production of car parts in the United States and bring back some production that moved abroad, the USTR said.

Ford Motor Company applauded the agreement because it will “support an integrated, globally competitive automotive business in North America

Sunset Clause

Renew it or lose it.

The United States had wanted to include in the new agreement a clause that would kill NAFTA after five years unless all three countries agreed to renew it.

Instead, negotiators stitched into the updated treaty new terms of the deal, agreeing to keep the trade pact for 16 years, unless all three countries agreed to extend it.

That means the deadline could be extended far out into the future, if all three countries agreed to either renew or renegotiate the trilateral trade pact.

The United States, Canada and Mexico will be required to meet every six years to decide whether to do so.

The Trump administration had been seeking a shorter time frame of five years in an effort to keep the pact up to date. But Mexico and Canada were less in favor of that proposal arguing it would stunt investment in their countries if the future of the agreement was in question.

Exchange rate curbs

Tucked in the agreement is a foreign-exchange provision to deter countries from manipulating their currencies.

The language isn’t likely to impact all three NAFTA countries, which have a free floating exchange rate. Instead, it’s intended as a signal to other countries outside of North America.

Countries frequently commit to avoiding unfair currency manipulations. But the tougher language in the accord could give the United States more leverage in trade negotiations with countries like China.

Dispute resolution

When countries are found to be in violation of the agreement, there are hard and fast rules how to hold nations accountable. Embedded in the old NAFTA agreement were three kinds.

Two of those dispute settlement systems will remain basically intact, but will be renamed.

The first is a system to resolve state-to-state disputes, formerly known as Chapter 20. The second mechanism is NAFTA’s old Chapter 19, which resolves disputes between two countries on anti-dumping and countervailing duties cases. That will also remain untouched in the new agreement.

One difference is that another settlement process, formerly known as Chapter 11, will be phased out between the US and Canada. But will stick for certain key sectors like oil and gas, infrastructure and telecommunications between the US and Mexico.

Help for American workers

The new trade agreement aims to support American workers in several ways.

Most notably, it requires that 40% to 45% of car and truck parts be made by workers earning at least $16 an hour. The goal is to level the playing field between American and Mexican auto workers and to incentivize manufacturers to build more in the United States. One of the main criticisms of NAFTA is that it prompted American car makers to shift production south of the border, where workers earn much less than their US counterparts.

The deal also mandates that 75% of a vehicle’s parts must be made in North America, up from the current 62.5% rule. The Trump administration argues that this will help incentivize billions in new auto sector production in the US.

Also, Mexico has committed to recognize workers’ right to collectively bargain, and the three countries agreed to enforce rights recognized by the International Labor Organization.

President Trump said Monday that the agreement will transform North America back into a manufacturing powerhouse.

“Instead of jobs leaving for overseas, they will be returning back home,” he said in a Rose Garden ceremony.

Experts, however, are still sifting through the documents to determine the actual impact of the agreement.

“The bottom line is that we simply do not have enough information at this time to know whether NAFTA 2018 is in the economic interests of the United States,” AFL-CIO Trade Policy Specialist Celeste Drake wrote in a blog post. “On labor, despite progress, more work remains to be done.”

Some trade experts are skeptical that the deal will boost auto sector employment. In fact, the new mandates may prompt American carmakers to shift production to Japan, Korea or other countries outside North America. They’ll have to pay a 2.5% tariff, but they may find it more economical than adhering to the USMCA rules, said Robert Lawrence, a professor of international trade and investment at Harvard.

“The jobs aspect is uncertain at best,” said Robert Scott, director of trade and manufacturing policy research at the Economic Policy Institute, a left-leaning organization.

One wildcard is whether the Trump administration will try to raise the 2.5% tariff on importing cars and auto parts. The president

is considering levying a 25% tariff

on imported vehicles, citing national security.

‘Modernizing’ NAFTA for the digital age

The new agreement addresses issues that have emerged over the past 25 years.

For example, it outlines criminal penalties for pirating movies online.

It prohibits duties on digital music, books, software and video games that are distributed electronically.

There are also stronger intellectual property protections, including patents for biotech and financial services.

Other tariffs

One big question is how the three countries will resolve disputes over US tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Canada and Mexico.

For now, that part, along with retaliatory tariffs countries have imposed, were left out of the deal.

That piece will have to be negotiated separately, senior administration officials said.

Read More | Katie Lobosco, Donna Borak, and Tami Luhby, CNN Business,

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal?, in 2018-10-01 19:39:21

#Nature of Business in the Current Market

computacionalblog

Oct 1, 2018

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal?

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal? Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal? http://www.nature-business.com/business-whats-new-in-the-us-canada-and-mexico-trade-deal/

Business

(CNN)The United States, Canada and Mexico came to a last minute agreement on a revised trade deal that could replace NAFTA. It’s called the USMCA.

President Donald Trump and his Mexican and Canadian counterparts are expected to sign the deal by the end of November. It will then be up to Congress to approve the deal, which is likely to come up for a vote next year.

Negotiations between Canada and the United States pushed right up to a deadline imposed by the Trump administration Sunday night, and details of the agreement were starting to emerge..

Here are the biggest changes between the nearly 25-year-old NAFTA agreement and the new provisional USMCA.

Opening up Canada’s dairy market

In a win for the United States, USMCA will open up some of Canada’s dairy market to US farmers. The issue was a big sticking point between the two negotiating teams.

Under the original NAFTA, Canada limited how much milk, cheese and other dairy products could come in from the United States.

But under the updated agreement, Canada will set new quotas for the United States. It will increase market access for US dairy, poultry and eggs. In return, the United States will allow more Canadian dairy, peanuts and peanut products, and a limited amount of sugar to cross the border, according to a document from US Trade Representative’s Office.

Canada has also agreed to end a system that had kept the price of some milk products, including milk protein, low. This change will also allow more US dairy products to enter the Canadian market.

The Dairy Farmers of Canada quickly came out to criticize the new trade agreement, claiming it puts the livelihood of Canadian dairy producers at risk.

Canada recently made concessions in the Trans-Pacific Partnership and a trade deal with the European Union that also opened up its dairy market.

Car manufacturing

The new deal will require more of a vehicle’s parts to be made in North America in order for the car to be free from tariffs.

It requires that 75% of the parts must be made in Canada, Mexico or the United States, about 12 percentage points higher than under the original NAFTA.

The provision will help keep the production of car parts in the United States and bring back some production that moved abroad, the USTR said.

Ford Motor Company applauded the agreement because it will “support an integrated, globally competitive automotive business in North America

Sunset Clause

Renew it or lose it.

The United States had wanted to include in the new agreement a clause that would kill NAFTA after five years unless all three countries agreed to renew it.

Instead, negotiators stitched into the updated treaty new terms of the deal, agreeing to keep the trade pact for 16 years, unless all three countries agreed to extend it.

That means the deadline could be extended far out into the future, if all three countries agreed to either renew or renegotiate the trilateral trade pact.

The United States, Canada and Mexico will be required to meet every six years to decide whether to do so.

The Trump administration had been seeking a shorter time frame of five years in an effort to keep the pact up to date. But Mexico and Canada were less in favor of that proposal arguing it would stunt investment in their countries if the future of the agreement was in question.

Exchange rate curbs

Tucked in the agreement is a foreign-exchange provision to deter countries from manipulating their currencies.

The language isn’t likely to impact all three NAFTA countries, which have a free floating exchange rate. Instead, it’s intended as a signal to other countries outside of North America.

Countries frequently commit to avoiding unfair currency manipulations. But the tougher language in the accord could give the United States more leverage in trade negotiations with countries like China.

Dispute resolution

When countries are found to be in violation of the agreement, there are hard and fast rules how to hold nations accountable. Embedded in the old NAFTA agreement were three kinds.

Two of those dispute settlement systems will remain basically intact, but will be renamed.

The first is a system to resolve state-to-state disputes, formerly known as Chapter 20. The second mechanism is NAFTA’s old Chapter 19, which resolves disputes between two countries on anti-dumping and countervailing duties cases. That will also remain untouched in the new agreement.

One difference is that another settlement process, formerly known as Chapter 11, will be phased out between the US and Canada. But will stick for certain key sectors like oil and gas, infrastructure and telecommunications between the US and Mexico.

Help for American workers

The new trade agreement aims to support American workers in several ways.

Most notably, it requires that 40% to 45% of car and truck parts be made by workers earning at least $16 an hour. The goal is to level the playing field between American and Mexican auto workers and to incentivize manufacturers to build more in the United States. One of the main criticisms of NAFTA is that it prompted American car makers to shift production south of the border, where workers earn much less than their US counterparts.

The deal also mandates that 75% of a vehicle’s parts must be made in North America, up from the current 62.5% rule. The Trump administration argues that this will help incentivize billions in new auto sector production in the US.

Also, Mexico has committed to recognize workers’ right to collectively bargain, and the three countries agreed to enforce rights recognized by the International Labor Organization.

President Trump said Monday that the agreement will transform North America back into a manufacturing powerhouse.

“Instead of jobs leaving for overseas, they will be returning back home,” he said in a Rose Garden ceremony.

Experts, however, are still sifting through the documents to determine the actual impact of the agreement.

“The bottom line is that we simply do not have enough information at this time to know whether NAFTA 2018 is in the economic interests of the United States,” AFL-CIO Trade Policy Specialist Celeste Drake wrote in a blog post. “On labor, despite progress, more work remains to be done.”

Some trade experts are skeptical that the deal will boost auto sector employment. In fact, the new mandates may prompt American carmakers to shift production to Japan, Korea or other countries outside North America. They’ll have to pay a 2.5% tariff, but they may find it more economical than adhering to the USMCA rules, said Robert Lawrence, a professor of international trade and investment at Harvard.

“The jobs aspect is uncertain at best,” said Robert Scott, director of trade and manufacturing policy research at the Economic Policy Institute, a left-leaning organization.

One wildcard is whether the Trump administration will try to raise the 2.5% tariff on importing cars and auto parts. The president

is considering levying a 25% tariff

on imported vehicles, citing national security.

‘Modernizing’ NAFTA for the digital age

The new agreement addresses issues that have emerged over the past 25 years.

For example, it outlines criminal penalties for pirating movies online.

It prohibits duties on digital music, books, software and video games that are distributed electronically.

There are also stronger intellectual property protections, including patents for biotech and financial services.

Other tariffs

One big question is how the three countries will resolve disputes over US tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Canada and Mexico.

For now, that part, along with retaliatory tariffs countries have imposed, were left out of the deal.

That piece will have to be negotiated separately, senior administration officials said.

Read More | Katie Lobosco, Donna Borak, and Tami Luhby, CNN Business,

Business What’s new in the US, Canada and Mexico trade deal?, in 2018-10-01 19:39:21

#Nature of Business in the Current Market

everettwilkinson

Dec 16, 2017

POLITICO Playbook: TAX REFORM happening in 2017

Good Saturday morning. OK, WE WERE WRONG. We said tax reform probably wouldn’t happen in 2017. It will. It’s a significant legislative victory for PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP, SPEAKER PAUL RYAN and SENATE MAJORITY LEADER MITCH MCCONNELL. Republicans tell us that they have to spend 2018 selling these tax cuts to the public, and hope that people feel the impact before the elections.

AROUND THE TAX HORN …

Story Continued Below

— BRIAN FALER, SEUNG MIN KIM and COLIN WILHELM: “The legislation would cut both business and individual taxes as part of the biggest tax revamp in 30 years. It is poised to be carved into law next week when Congress sends it to President Donald Trump for his signature. … House Speaker Paul Ryan told Republican lawmakers on a phone call that the House will vote on the plan Tuesday, before the Senate, according to a person on the call. …

“Along the way, lawmakers have been willing to accept things that, in the past, would have had them at each other’s throats. They’re settling for a much higher top individual income tax rate — 37 percent — than many wanted, and their plans to expand the child tax credit would effectively excuse millions of low-income people from paying federal income taxes. …

“Brady acknowledged that fixes would be necessary after it becomes law. ‘I can’t imagine any major undertaking like this that doesn’t require technical corrections in the future,’ he said.” http://politi.co/2BvK3fO

LOBBYISTS are already banking on the need for fixes to drive 2018 revenues. Multiple downtowners have said that companies hired them as a last ditch effort once the Senate bill passed and that their clients are ready to double down on a separate bill next year.

— “As a Must-Pass Republican Tax Bill Headed for the Finish Line, Rubio Saw an Opening,” by NYT’s Sheryl Stolberg: “A longtime champion of the working class, Mr. Rubio had tried in vain to secure a more generous tax break for lower-income Americans as Congress embarked on a sweeping rewrite of the federal tax code. On Thursday, with the hours winding down on a final version of the bill and a frantic push to pass it along party lines in a narrowly-divided Senate, Mr. Rubio took a stand: He threatened to vote no unless House and Senate negotiators expanded the child tax credit.

“It was a dramatic moment, as those on Capitol Hill and beyond wondered if Mr. Rubio was grandstanding, bluffing or both. But for Mr. Rubio, it was a natural extension of the promise he believes the Republican Party had made, and was in danger of abandoning, to look out for the little guy. ‘If you look at all the benefits that are flowing,’ particularly to multinational corporations, Mr. Rubio said in a telephone interview, ‘it was important to be able to go back and do more for working families.’” http://nyti.ms/2BxFHVi

— “Why Democrats failed to tank tax reform,” by Elana Schor and Heather Caygle: “While stripping people of health insurance strikes at a visceral human need, a debate over taxes tends to bog voters down in wonky details. Meanwhile, Democrats struggled to break through a media environment crowded with an intensifying Russia investigation, a wave of sexual harassment scandals and a fight over young undocumented immigrants. And while liberal grassroots activists sought to bring pressure to bear on GOP swing votes, the Republican Party held together this time, desperate for a major legislative victory after a year in total control of Washington.” http://politi.co/2BxkpHx

— WAPO’S DAVID LYNCH: “Trump promised ‘America First’ would keep jobs here. But the tax plan might push them overseas”: “The legislation fails to eliminate long-standing incentives for companies to move overseas and, in some cases, may even increase them, they say. ‘This bill is potentially more dangerous than our current system,’ said Stephen Shay, a senior lecturer at Harvard Law School and former Treasury Department international tax expert in the Obama administration. ‘It creates a real incentive to shift real activity offshore.’” http://wapo.st/2CK0vqI

— THE PAUL STREET JOURNAL: “A Tax Reform for Growth: The GOP bill will spur investment and make the U.S. more competitive”: “Republicans have been promising to reform the tax code for decades, and Speaker Paul Ryan deserves particular notice for years of intellectual and political spadework. The House campaigned on tax reform with its Better Way agenda, and Donald Trump made it a 2016 theme. This bill fulfills that promise.” http://on.wsj.com/2CmmG58

— NEW YORK REP. LEE ZELDIN announced he would vote against the final package. Last night, Steve Bannon campaigned for him. So much for Bannon being Trump’s biggest cheerleader on the outside! Zeldin will vote against his top legislative priority.

AMY WALTER on PAUL RYAN in the Cook Political Report — “Paul Ryan Is More Than A Policy Wonk”: “Most of the focus on what a Ryan-less House would look like centers on the legislative and intra-party repercussions of his departure. Not as much attention has been paid to Ryan’s significant investment in the political infrastructure of the party, and what it would mean for House Republicans to lose that. Known more for being a budget guru than a Rep. Tom Davis-like political savant, Ryan has nonetheless built something of a shadow party to help defend and define House campaigns for 2018. His SuperPAC – Congressional Leadership Fund (CLF) – spent more than $40 million in 2016. That is a little more than half of what the NRCC’s independent expenditure arm spent ($73 million) in the 2016 cycle. This year, CLF says it plans to spend $100 million, much of it on an aggressive field and data operation that is already up and running in 17 of the most vulnerable GOP-held congressional districts. …

“There’s nothing all that unusual about a House Speaker or House leader being a prodigious fundraiser. It is a significant part of the job. House Majority Leader Nancy Pelosi has retained her base of power, say many Democratic insiders, thanks to her fundraising prowess. However, we’ve never seen a Speaker this involved in the nuts and bolts of campaigning and messaging in ways that bypass the official party apparatus.

“This isn’t to say that Ryan has ignored the House campaign committee. The Speaker has transferred more than $30 million to the NRCC. Even so, for House Republicans up in 2018, they may be more indebted to Ryan’s early investments in their campaigns than they are to the official party campaign committees.” http://bit.ly/2CAbYsR

REMEMBER: The government needs to be funded by Friday night.

SMILES AT THE DSCC — “On Trump turf, GOP still seeks North Dakota Senate candidate,” by the AP’s Tom Beaumont and James MacPherson in Bismarck, North Dakota: “In North Dakota, where Donald Trump won in a landslide last year, Republicans’ lone Senate candidate is a little-known state lawmaker — and potato farmer — from a remote town closer to the Canadian border than the state capital. While established Republicans and business leaders in other states Trump carried are running to topple Democratic senators, the GOP is struggling to land a big name in North Dakota to run against Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp in 2018.

“The slow start has raised some worries that the GOP is ceding the early advantage to the well-funded Heitkamp in a place seemingly ripe for Republicans’ quest to expand their majority yet surprisingly central to Democrats’ effort to hold them off. She is one of 10 Democrats seeking re-election next year in a state the president carried. ‘I’m not sure that our party fully grasps or understands the magnitude of a campaign against Heidi Heitkamp,’ said former Gov. Ed Schafer, a Republican. ‘We’re acting like we’re overly confident of a win.’” http://strib.mn/2AD39gr

****** A message from the Embassy of the United Arab Emirates: The UAE and the US are partnering to create economic growth and jobs for people in both countries. For eight years in a row, the UAE has been the top market in the Middle East and North Africa for US exports. http://politi.co/2y8BB0m ******

ON OMAROSA … — NYT’S KATIE ROGERS and MAGGIE HABERMAN: “‘As the only African-American woman in this White House,’ Ms. Newman said in the ‘Good Morning America’ interview, ‘I have seen things that have made me uncomfortable, that have upset me, that have affected me deeply and emotionally, that has affected my community and my people. It is a profound story that I know the world will want to hear.’ Ms. Newman has not elaborated, other than to say that she had been trying to raise ‘grave concerns’ about an issue that would ‘affect the president in a big way.’ Former and current White House officials said they were uncertain what she was referring to. But she has rejected one suggestion: that Mr. Trump holds racist views.

“‘Donald Trump is racial, but he is not a racist,’ she said on ABC’s ‘Nightline.’ ‘The things that he says, the types of pushback that he gives, involve people of color. These are racial exchanges.’ ‘Yes, I will acknowledge many of the exchanges — particularly in the last six months — have been racially charged … Do we then just stop and label him as a racist? No.’” http://bit.ly/2k3VvVW

— DATA DU JOUR: “Black conservatives reel after Omarosa resigns,” by Boston Globe’s Astead Herndon and Annie Linskey: “[H]er sudden absence also casts a fresh spotlight on the startling lack of racial diversity in Trump’s administration. … African-American representation is especially thin among the ranks of roughly 125 ‘commissioned officers’ within the White House, high-ranking staffers designated as assistant, deputy assistant, and special assistant to the president. There are only three black staff members with the commissioned officer rank … The White House would not provide a list of those black staffers. The list does include Ja’Ron Smith, a midlevel black staffer, who was promoted this week to be special assistant to the president.” http://bit.ly/2BhA5w7

HMM — “Executive at Consultancy Hired by E.P.A. Scrutinized Agency Employees Critical of Trump,” by NYT’s Eric Lipton and Lisa Friedman: “A vice president for [Definers Public Affairs], Allan Blutstein, federal records show, has submitted at least 40 Freedom of Information Act requests to the E.P.A. since President Trump was sworn in. Many of those requests target employees known to be questioning management at the E.P.A. since Scott Pruitt, the agency’s administrator, was confirmed.

“Mr. Blutstein, in an interview, said he was taking aim at ‘resistance’ figures in the federal government, adding that he hoped to discover whether they had done anything that might embarrass them or hurt their cause. ‘I wondered if they were emailing critical things about the agency on government time and how frequently they were corresponding about this,’ he said. ‘And did they do anything that would be useful for Republicans.’” http://nyti.ms/2CEWiEr

— “CDC gets list of forbidden words: fetus, transgender, diversity,” by WaPo’s Lena H. Sun and Juliet Eilperin: “The Trump administration is prohibiting officials at the nation’s top public health agency from using a list of seven words or phrases — including ‘fetus’ and ‘transgender’ — in any official documents being prepared for next year’s budget. Policy analysts at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta were told of the list of forbidden words at a meeting Thursday with senior CDC officials who oversee the budget, according to an analyst who took part in the 90-minute briefing. The forbidden words are ‘vulnerable,’ ‘entitlement,’ ‘diversity,’ ‘transgender,’ ‘fetus,’ ‘evidence-based’ and ‘science-based.’” http://wapo.st/2k2Wo15

SEND IN YOUR PITCHES! – “Kushner’s legal team looks to hire crisis public relations firm amid Russia probe,” by WaPo’s Josh Dawsey: “Senior White House official Jared Kushner and his legal team are searching for a crisis public relations firm, according to four people familiar with the matter. Kushner’s lawyer, Abbe Lowell, has quietly called at least two firms … The inquiries have occurred in the past two weeks … In a statement, Lowell confirmed he was looking for a firm that would handle media for all high-profile clients that receive attention from the press. … ‘My law firm and I are considering hiring an outside consultant to handle the time-consuming incoming inquiries on the cases in which I am working that receive media attention,’ Lowell said in a statement … ‘This inquiry from you about whether I am doing this is a good example of why we need one.’ … At least one firm, Mercury Public Affairs, passed up the opportunity to work with Kushner’s team, people familiar with the discussions said.” http://wapo.st/2AXWSjG

COMING ATTRACTIONS — “Trump lawyers set for key meeting with special counsel next week,” by CNN’s Pamela Brown, Evan Perez, Gloria Borger and Kara Scannell: “Trump’s private lawyers are slated to meet with special counsel Robert Mueller and members of his team as soon as next week for what the President’s team considers an opportunity to gain a clearer understanding of the next steps in Mueller’s probe, according to sources familiar with the matter. While the lawyers have met with Mueller’s team before and might again, the sources believe the upcoming meeting has greater significance because it comes after the completion of interviews of White House personnel requested by the special counsel and after all requested documents have been turned over. Mueller could still request more documents and additional interviews.

“No request to interview the President or the vice president has been made, sources tell CNN. But Trump’s team, led by John Dowd and Jay Sekulow, is hoping for signs that Mueller’s investigation is nearing its end, or at least the part having to do with the President. Their goal is to help Trump begin to emerge from the cloud of the ongoing investigation, several of the sources explained. The sources acknowledge that Mueller is under no obligation to provide any information and concede they may walk away with no greater clarity.” http://cnn.it/2BkntUW

DRIP DRIP — “Nine more women say judge subjected them to inappropriate behavior, including four who say he touched or kissed them,” by WaPo’s Matt Zapotosky: “The new allegations — which span decades and include not just those who worked for [Alex] Kozinski but also those who encountered him at events — bring the total number of women accusing the judge of inappropriate behavior to at least 15. One recent law student at the University of Montana said that Kozinski, at a 2016 reception, pressed his finger into the side of her breast, which was covered by her clothes, and moved it with some ‘deliberateness’ to the center, purporting to be pushing aside her lapel to fully see her name tag. Another lawyer said Kozinski approached her when she was alone in a room at a legal community event around 2008 in downtown Los Angeles and — with no warning — gave her a bear hug and kissed her on the lips.” http://wapo.st/2kyGPxJ

— “The two expat bros who terrorized women correspondents in Moscow,” by Kathy Lally in WaPo: “Twenty years ago, when I was a Moscow correspondent for the Baltimore Sun, two Americans named Matt Taibbi and Mark Ames ran an English-language tabloid in the Russian capital called the eXile. They portrayed themselves as swashbuckling parodists, unbound by the conventions of mainstream journalism, exposing Westerners who were cynically profiting from the chaos of post-Soviet Russia. A better description is this: The eXile was juvenile, stunt-obsessed and pornographic, titillating for high school boys. … The eXile’s distinguishing feature, more than anything else, was its blinding sexism — which often targeted me.” http://wapo.st/2k4NsZh

FIRST PERSON – “Trent Franks rescinded my internship when I wouldn’t come to his house,” by Melissa Richmond in WaPo: “After … interviews, the congressman’s office offered me a summer internship focusing on his Judiciary Committee work. Several weeks went by. Then something unusual happened. The congressman called me on my cellphone — from his cellphone — late on a Sunday night. He mentioned that his family wasn’t home and asked me whether I could come over that night for a ‘final one-on-one interview’ with him. I was stunned.

“Senior members of his staff had interviewed me weeks before and offered me the position. After speaking with my family, I called the congressman back and told him I didn’t feel comfortable going to his house. In that case, he told me, the internship offer was rescinded.” http://wapo.st/2Buz4n0

— @RepAdamSchiff: “I’m increasingly worried Republicans will shut down the House Intelligence Committee investigation at the end of the month. Here’s why” — his Twitter thread http://bit.ly/2CnQChs

FOR YOUR RADAR — “U.S. setting stage for solar trade war with China,” by Emily Holden: “An unreleased White House document offers the strongest hint yet that the Trump administration is laying the groundwork for punitive tariffs on Chinese-made solar power equipment — a step that would promote the president’s ‘America First’ trade agenda while sharply increasing the costs of solar power in the U.S. The prospect of such tariffs, which President Donald Trump could announce in January, has deeply alarmed the U.S. solar installation industry. It warns that it could lose tens of thousands of jobs if the cost of solar spikes, slowing the booming growth that sun-powered energy enjoyed during the Obama administration.” http://politi.co/2CGY8Vh

THE MGM RESORTS PUBLIC POLICY INSTITUTE — run by Harry Reid and John Boehner — has named its board: Frank Fahrenkopf, Jane Harman, Ron Kirk, Kris Engelstad McGarry, Sig Rogich, Ken Salazar and Rich Verma.

PHOTO DU JOUR: President Donald Trump, Attorney General Jeff Sessions and FBI Director Christopher Wray sit together at the FBI National Academy graduation ceremony on Dec. 15 in Quantico, Va. | Evan Vucci/AP Photo

CHRIS FRATES talks to JESSE FERGUSON about politics and working at the highest levels of a campaign while fighting cancer. “Politics Inside Out with Chris Frates” airs today at 9 a.m. and 9 p.m., Sunday at 1 p.m., and Monday at 2 p.m. on SiriusXM channel 124 and on demand on the SiriusXM app. Clips for Playbookers: Ferguson on watching the GOP stumble https://goo.gl/FxbSWv … Democratic soul searching https://goo.gl/v7KvXM … https://goo.gl/AGDUJV … His cancer diagnosis https://goo.gl/uispnJ

VALLEY TALK — “Uber Hacked and Surveilled Rivals, Alleges Ex-Manager in Letter,” by WSJ’s Jack Nicas and Greg Bensinger: “In June 2016, Uber Technologies Inc. contractors trained by the [CIA] allegedly spied on another firm’s executives and sent live video to then-Chief Executive Travis Kalanick in the company’s ‘War Room.’ That summer, an Uber contractor allegedly began using hacked phones and ‘signal-intercept equipment’ to collect data about phone calls between Uber’s opponents, politicians and regulators.

“And several months later, Uber employees allegedly hacked into a rival’s systems and collected ‘the license, name and contact information’ of all of its drivers—information allegedly delivered directly to Mr. Kalanick. These allegations are among the claims made by a former Uber official in a 37-page letter delivered in May to management that paints the ride-hailing firm as a paranoid company with a sophisticated intelligence apparatus designed to gain an edge on rivals and trick regulators.” http://on.wsj.com/2jbj5zv

BEYOND THE BELTWAY — “Progressives hunt down one of the last conservative Democrats,” by Illinois Playbooker Natasha Korecki in Chicago: “Powerful interests are lined up against him. Outside spending groups are forming to advocate for his defeat. National political figures have endorsed his opponent. And that’s just within Democratic Congressman Dan Lipinski’s own party. Lipinski, one of the few remaining conservative Democrats in Congress, is under siege from the left, battling for his political life against progressives who are teaming up to replace him with a candidate far more in line with liberal orthodoxy.

“That candidate, Marie Newman, a businesswoman and former marketing consultant, already has high-profile endorsements from feminist icon Gloria Steinem and New York Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand — an unusual show of opposition against a fellow Democratic congressional incumbent. Newman has also received a rare joint endorsement from a handful of influential progressive groups: NARAL, MoveOn.org, Democracy for America, Progressive Change Campaign Committee and Human Rights Campaign. While Lipinski is accustomed to drawing primary challenges in his Chicago-based district, he’s never before been targeted with so much local and national firepower.” http://politi.co/2j5UvzL

BUSINESS BURST — “Boeing, Airbus Sales Imperiled as Trump Administration Formulates Iran Plan,” by WSJ’s Felicia Schwartz and Ian Talley: “The Trump administration is advancing a strategy that could derail efforts by Boeing Co. and Airbus SE to sell hundreds of jetliners to Iranian airlines, U.S. officials said. The two aerospace giants have lined up deals over the past 15 months that have been left in limbo as the White House reassessed its Iran policy and has threatened to walk away from an international nuclear deal if Congress and European partners don’t address concerns, with only a handful of Airbus planes so far delivered.

“Any effort to scuttle these deals, by accident or design, could have far-reaching consequences, both for the nuclear accord and the jet makers. Under the 2015 nuclear deal, Iran agreed to curb its nuclear program in exchange for significant sanctions relief, and supporters of the accord fear it would fall apart if Iran doesn’t see the benefits it was promised.” http://on.wsj.com/2BkLBGX

****** A message from the Embassy of the United Arab Emirates: With trade in aviation, high tech, and defense, the UAE delivers a $19 billion trade surplus for the US. These exports support hundreds of thousands of American jobs. They also help the UAE diversify its economy. By working with the US, the UAE has become a center for innovation and opportunity in the Middle East. http://politi.co/2y8BB0m ******

CLICKER – “The nation’s cartoonists on the week in politics,” edited by Matt Wuerker — 15 keepers http://politi.co/2Cn2Wyr

GREAT WEEKEND READS, curated by Daniel Lippman:

— “The Bar Mitzvah Party Starters,” by Jen Doll in Topic: “The business of professional bar and bat mitzvah party motivators—dancers, djs and emcees—is booming. But who are they?” http://bit.ly/2AAkRAY

— “The Information Doesn’t Want To Be Free,” by Adam Wren in Traffic Magazine: “In four short years, Jessica Lessin has bootstrapped her Silicon Valley news site into a cash-flow-positive scoop powerhouse that’s emerging as the definitive chronicler of the age of unicorns, with subscribers ranging from Jonah Peretti to James Murdoch. Now, for her next trick: saving the news business.” http://bit.ly/2BfkI7o

— “Adam Gopnik: ‘You’re waltzing along and suddenly you’re portrayed as a monster of privilege,’” by The Guardian’s Hadley Freeman: “The New Yorker essayist on his latest memoir, ‘At the Strangers’ Gate,’ and the problem of writing about happiness.” http://bit.ly/2jZcfO5

— “FML,” by Michael Hobbbes in HuffPost: “Why millennials are facing the scariest financial future of any generation since the Great Depression.” http://bit.ly/2zeJ4P1

— “The Warlock Hunt,” by Claire Berlinksi in the American Scholar: “The #MeToo moment has now morphed into a moral panic that poses as much danger to women as it does to men.” http://bit.ly/2BRltT2

— “This Moment Isn’t (Just) About Sex. It’s Really About Work,” by Rebecca Traister in the Cut: “[I]n the midst of our great national calculus, in which we are determining what punishments fit which sexual crimes, it’s possible that we’re missing the bigger picture altogether: that this is not, at its heart, about sex at all — or at least not wholly. What it’s really about is work, and women’s equality in the workplace, and more broadly, about the rot at the core of our power structures that makes it harder for women to do work because the whole thing is tipped toward men.” http://bit.ly/2kxsEZM

— “The Case Against Reading Everything,” by Jason Guriel in the Walrus – per ALDaily.com’s description: “Writers are told to fan out across genres, to expose themselves to everything. Bad advice. Don’t read widely. Most work is middling and should be ignored.” http://bit.ly/2oht8bn

— “How the GOP Can Hang on to the Working Class,” by Charles F. McElwee III in the American Conservative: “Donald Trump’s election shows this political courtship is real. But it will only continue if Republicans respond in kind.” http://bit.ly/2AVujTN

— “With a Little Help From Their Friends (and Agents and Librarians and Fact-Checkers …),” by NYT’s Jennifer Senior: “Some revelations [in acknowledgments sections] are inadvertent, and not especially flattering to the author. In my head, I have an informal taxonomy of acknowledgments, and one species is the Name-Dropper. Do writers know the kind of insecurity they’re betraying when they do their Trump Towers of thanks, their gold-plated word-piles of self-regard?” http://nyti.ms/2j7OJha

— “Portugal’s radical drugs policy is working. Why hasn’t the world copied it?” by Susana Ferreira in the Guardian: “Since it decriminalised all drugs in 2001, Portugal has seen dramatic drops in overdoses, HIV infection and drug-related crime.” http://bit.ly/2CxAomx

— “Cat Person,” by Kristen Roupenian in the New Yorker – per Longreads.com’s description: “A young woman goes on a bad date with an older man.” http://bit.ly/2kyd6ol

— “Best of 2017” – Longform.org’s top 10 recommendations: http://bit.ly/2ojraHF

— “The Taking,” by T. Christian Miller of ProPublica, and Kiah Collier and Julián Aguilar of the Texas Tribune: “The federal government’s boldest land grab in a generation produced the first border wall — and a trail of abuse, mistakes and unfairness.” http://bit.ly/2AUj6CY

— “Jim Simons, the Numbers King,” by D. T. Max in the New Yorker: “Algorithms made him a Wall Street billionaire. His new research center helps scientists mine data for the common good.” http://bit.ly/2zfLDRc

— “Estonia, the Digital Republic,” by Nathan Heller in the New Yorker: “Its government is virtual, borderless, blockchained, and secure. Has this tiny post-Soviet nation found the way of the future?” http://bit.ly/2jZYmz8

SPOTTED on a Delta flight from DCA to ATL on Friday: Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.), flying first class – pic of him boarding http://politi.co/2j8pAD3 … Reince Priebus with RNC secretary Susie Hudson at Capital Grille Friday afternoon and “like the rest of DC, partaking in a glass of wine,” per a tipster.

TRANSITION — Paul Winfree, formerly director of budget policy and deputy assistant to President Trump and a senior staffer at the Senate Budget Committee, has started N58 Policy Research, a public policy consulting firm. After leaving the White House on Friday, he is also returning to the Heritage Foundation as director of economic policy.

BIRTHDAYS: Jesse Suskin, manager of public policy and government relations at Google in Sydney … Jake Sherman is 32 … Phil Mattingly, CNN correspondent and the Ohio State Buckeyes #1 fan, is 34 (hat tip: Mitchell Rivard, who is a Michigan State University alum) … Whitman Spencer Deckard … Time alum Jim Kelly … Peter Orszag, vice chairman of investment banking at Lazard and former Obama OMB director … Lesley Stahl … Jenni LeCompte, managing director at GPG … Rebecca Collegio … Jano Cabrera, SVP of comms, global media and public relations at McDonald’s and Burson-Marsteller alum … Kezia McKeague of McLarty Associates’ Latin America practice (h/ts Ben Chang) … Kate Black, policy adviser at the FCC … Melissa Kiedrowicz … Zach Cohen, a reporter at the Hotline … Judith Giuliani … former Rep. Norm Dicks (D-Wash.) is 77 … Ross Berry, president of REVT Strategies, is 28 … Adam Bromberg … CNN’s Jason Seher … Rep. Donald M. Payne Jr. (D-NJ) is 59 … Matt Mariani … William Schulz … Bill Schulz … Susan Liss … Matt Klapper, chief of staff to Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) … Kelsey Knight … CNN State Dept. producer Laura Koran … Carol M. Browner (h/t Dan Weiss, who calls her a “green hero”) … Chris Frech, VP of government affairs at Emergent BioSolutions and former deputy assistant to President Bush (h/t Ed Cash) …

… Kendall Breitman, “Kasie DC” producer (h/t Ben Mayer) … CNN producer Liz Turrell … Alexa Damis-Wulff, LA for health and education policy for Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-Ore.) (h/t Mom, Maria) … Warren Adler … former Rhode Island Gov. Don Carcieri is 75 … Christina Mulvihill, Sony’s senior director of external relations … Amber Smith, deputy assistant to the secretary of defense for outreach. … former Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn is 69 … Sharon Dickens … David Crook … Liz Goodwin … Amy Siskind … Mark Sump … John Bailey … Andrea Taylor Recher … Whitney Kuhn Lawson … AP transportation reporter Joan Lowy … Hugh O’Connell … Craig Veith … Jacy Reese … Jody Murphy, executive director at the Virginia House Democratic Caucus … Scooter Slade … Edelman’s Clay Black … Mohammad Reza Noroozpour is 44 … Emily Merwin … Doug Culver … Politico alum Caitlin McDevitt … Tom Kise … Melissa Wisner … Elisa Beneze … Steven Bochco … Jodie Steck … Emily Gaumer … Allison Thompson (h/ts Teresa Vilmain)

THE SHOWS, by @MattMackowiak, filing from Austin:

–“Fox News Sunday”: Sen.-elect Doug Jones (D-Ala.) … Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin. Panel: Rich Lowry, Juan Williams, Donna Edwards and Brian Kilmeade … “Power Player of the Week” with photojournalist Lynsey Addario

–NBC’s “Meet the Press”: Marc Short … Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) … Ohio Gov. John Kasich. Panel: Al Cardenas, Helene Cooper, Stephanie Cutter and George Will

–ABC’s “This Week”: Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn (R-Texas) … Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-Md.) … Glenn Hubbard and Paul Krugman. Panel: Mary Bruce, Matthew Dowd, Sara Fagen, Patrick Gaspard and Julie Pace

–CNN’s “State of the Union”: Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin … Sen.-elect Doug Jones (D-Ala.). Panel: Ana Navarro, Jen Psaki, Michael Caputo and Karine Jean-Pierre

—CBS’s “Face the Nation”: Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin … Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) … Sen. James Lankford (R-Okla.). Panel: Jamelle Bouie, Ben Domenech, Jeffrey Goldberg and Amy Walter … Richard Rubin

–Fox News’ “Sunday Morning Futures”: Rep. Kevin Brady (R-Texas) … Bud Cummins … Rep. Darrell Issa (R-Calif.) … Karl Rove. Panel: Real Clear Politics’ A.B. Stoddard and The Washington Examiner’s Susan Ferrechio

–Fox News’ “MediaBuzz”: Mollie Hemingway … Libby Casey … Ruth Marcus … Guy Benson … Jessica Tarlov … Lynn Sherr

—CNN’s “Inside Politics” with John King: Panel: Jonathan Martin, Eliana Johnson, Sara Murray and Sahil Kapur

–CNN’s “Fareed Zakaria GPS”: Foreign policy panel: Susan Glasser, Luke Harding and David Miliband … Zanny Minton Beddoes and David Frum … Abby Joseph Cohen and Ruchir Sharma

–CNN’s “Reliable Sources”: Margaret Talev and Brian Karem … panel: Amy Chozick, Hadas Gold, David Folkenflik and Rich Greenfield … Kurt Bardella … Detained Mexican reporter Emilio Gutierrez’s attorney Eduardo Beckett and Committee to Protect Journalists advocacy director Courtney Radsch

–Univision’s “Al Punto”: “Frente Por México” presidential candidate Ricardo Anaya … documentary producer (“Est Soy”) Epigmenio Ibarra … “The Post” actors Meryl Streep and Tom Hanks and director Steven Spielberg … playwright Lin-Manuel Miranda … “Alianza de Oposición” Honduran presidential candidate Salvador Nasralla

–C-SPAN: “The Communicators”: The Washington Post’s Brian Fung and Politico’s Margaret Harding McGill … “Newsmakers”: Rep. Sander Levin (D-Mich.), questioned by Roll Call’s Lindsey McPherson and The Hill’s Naomi Jagoda … “Q&A”: Author, professor and historian Gordon Wood

–MSNBC’s “Kasie DC”: Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) … DNC Vice Chair Rep. Keith Ellison (D-Minn.) … Carly Fiorina … Rep. Carlos Curbelo (R-Fla.). Panel: Ashley Parker, Yamiche Alcindor, Michael Steel, Geoff Bennett and Rachael Bade

–Washington Times’ “Mack on Politics” weekly politics podcast with Matt Mackowiak (download on iTunes, Google Play, or Stitcher or listen at MackOnPolitics.com): Former Reagan aide and Tea Party Express co-founder Sal Russo.

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valiantcyclebeliever-blog

Sep 18, 2017

Log In To The Rede Archive

By Katie Dahl President Donald Trump addressed Congress for the first time this weekand the Democratic National Committee elected a new chair, Thomas Perez. A assembleia poética foi palco de exaltação da mística inspiração que Tejo provoca nos poetas, tendo narrado com 9 declamadores de poesia inédita e também de autor que a poetar colocaram a sua comoção na termo, matéria-prima do poeta, oferecendo ao rio seu sentimento e também transmitindo amor e também encanto que Tejo desperta nas populações ribeirinhas.Pacifica Radio Archives is considered by historians and scholars to be one of the oldest and most important audio collections in the world. Fase que consiste na preparação do objeto para posterior aplicação da película. This film was digitized and uploaded thanks to contributions from this project: /avgeeks100miles Public service announcements by the U.S. Civil Defense office inform farmers what to do in case of nuclear attack using marionettes.Qualquer medida de P2 que ofereça uma redução de dispêndio direto ou indireto relacionada à geração, manuseio e tratamento de resíduos ou de custos operacionais e que não envolva custos de investimentos iniciais, pode ser considerada economicamente viável.Por causa de abundoso pedidos nós resolvemos fazer esse cláusula sobre Water Transfer Printing, para tentar tirar todas as suas dúvidas sobre a técnica de WTP ou Adesivagem Hidrografica que vem causando um verdadeiro alvoroço na indústria automotiva e também dos simpatizantes de personalização de carros e também também acessórios em por norma universal.Discussions center around teletype art and the use of Ham Radio to transfer text-based images. The collection contains shareware, freeware, and demo programs, all DOS or Windows-based. The Timothy Leary Archive covers forty years of lectures, tevê guest appearances, performance art, talk shows, and experimental films from Timothy's personal archives.Speed run of Star Wars: Knights of the Old Republic in 48 segments, with segments appened into 9 files plus ending, completed on June 30 2005. The more expensive Motorola processor set the TRS-80 Color Computer apart from the Apple II, Commodore, and Atari systems which were based acessível the MOS-6502 CPU.Visite o Web Site Regularmente atingindo as nossas moradias com intensos maus cheiros e também com a descarga de dejectos que atinge rio Maior, afluente do rio Tejo”, é possível que ler-se no solicitação a que MIRANTE teve entrada. Com a Water Transfer Printing (wtp) ou pintura hidrográfica (pintura na água), em linhas gerais, você oncretiza a pintura de um determinado tipo de objeto sobre uma película colocada num tanque com chuva.https://www.diigo.com/profile/nesmeroshow70 It's currently the top-ranked game conectado the popular BoardGameGeek web sítio da Internet. NASA Kids Science News segment explaining how the rede works. Search Educational Film Journals at Media History Project for references to this film Summary Discusses the philosophy of Meditativo Buddhism.Enfim, conforme claramente citado em laudo da Adema, há no referido sinal da mancha exposta na imagem cenário real do lançamento de esgoto no Rio Sergipe, apontando carência de adequado saneamento capital no sítio. Special collections of the Caven Library include the McKay Educational Resources collection, the Walter Allum Preaching Library and Rare Books Collection.

racingtoaredlight

Mar 31, 2017

Opening Bell: March 31, 2017

Former South Korea President Park Geun-hye, whose impeachment was upheld by the nation’s Constitutional Court, was formally arrested after a warrant was issued by Seoul’s Central District Court on Thursday. Park, whose father was dictator of South Korea from 1961 until he was assassinated in 1979, is involved in a wide-ranging bribery scandal in which she allegedly used her office and a close friend to arrange quid-pro-quo favors for major corporations, including Samsung, whose Chairman and CEO is also currently being detained. South Korea has experienced several political scandals since its transition to democracy in 1987, but this is shaping up to be its greatest yet.

Recent satellite images indicate that North Korea may be preparing for a new atomic weapons test in the nation’s rugged northeast. North Korea has a history of making such elaborate preparations in the past without conducting a test—“putting on a show for the satellites”—in order to raise tensions to some other end. But the month of April is also one of great significance in North Korea. The national parliament is due to meet April 11 and April 15 is the birthday of regime founder Kim Il Sung. If North Korea does undertake another atomic weapons test, it will be the sixth. Along with several recent successful missile tests this year, this would ratchet up tensions further on the peninsula.

A cabinet committee of the Israeli government has approved construction of the first new West Bank settlements in 20 years. The move is expected to be approved by the wider cabinet in order to make up for a settlement which was demolished earlier this year after the Israeli Supreme Court ruled that stood on land owned by Palestinian farmers. The Supreme Court decision regarding the settlement of Amona, and its subsequent demolition, led to the eviction of 40 families and a widespread public outcry for a new settlement in compensation. This decision of the Israeli government also contravenes a request by President Donald Trump in February that Israel consider holding off on settlement expansion for the foreseeable future.

Gen. Joseph Votel, the head of Central Command, hinted during Senate committee testimony, that he may request “a few thousand” more troops on the ground, citing a current deficit in the amount needed to carry out the U.S. military’s mission in Afghanistan. The 8,400 American soldiers in Afghanistan continue to train Afghan National Army units and carry out counter-terrorism operations. While the increase in troop levels was a highly-contentious issue during the Obama administration, especially in its first year, it seems like a troop increase in Afghanistan now, in the first two months of the Trump administration, now hardly rates in the public consciousness. Indeed, recent movements of U.S. Army Rangers and Marines into parts of northern Syria was widely reported by the foreign policy press, but hardly made it onto larger national headlines.

The U.S. Senate voted 97-2 this week to ratify the treaty approving the membership of Balkan nation Montenegro into NATO. Montenegro’s membership, which had been held up for weeks by the objection of Sen. Rand Paul (R-Kentucky), is also vociferously opposed by Russia, which sees it as further western encroachment upon its borders. Other critics, such as Sen. Mike Lee (R-Utah) questioned the utility of admitting a nation with a population the size of Vermont. Pro-Russian political parties in Montenegro have pledged to force a referendum on NATO membership, saying the presence of western troops in the nation would amount to a “brutal occupation.”

Pivoting to domestic U.S. politics, Democratic Governor Roy Cooper of North Carolina signed into law a compromise bill negotiated between Democrats and Republicans in the state legislature, which repeals the controversial H.B. 2, or “bathroom bill.” The bill is a compromise because it also includes a provision which puts a moratorium on any city government in the state from passing an affirmative LGBT rights bill until after the 2020 elections. While this bill had detractors on both sides of the aisle—including the legislature’s two openly gay members—but compromises often do. Moreover, this bill promises to accede to NCAA threats to repeal H.B. 2 or it will move future NCAA Tournament games outside of the state. There is also a hope that several international corporations which had cancelled planned expansions in the state, will revisit those plans.

In Washington, President Trump seemed to attack the House Freedom Caucus in a series of tweets days after the HFC was instrumental in the defeat of the American Healthcare Act last week. The defeat, which the White House has tried to distance itself from by pinning on House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wisc.), may have dented the inertia of Trump’s first hundred days in office. Repeal of the ACA was seen as a slam dunk after election night, but fears over constituents losing coverage after repeal with no replacement plan in place forced many House members to support the AHCA, which attempted to change the ACA without repealing it. This lack of repeal, however, repulsed the arch-conservative HFC, many of whose members seek the end of all government mandated healthcare on principle, regardless of the effects. The House is next set to begin consideration of a tax reform bill. If it passes, it would be the first reform of the tax code since the second Reagan administration. Repeal and replace of the ACA was seen as easy by comparison. So what Trump expects to gain from needling the most conservative members of Congress is hard to imagine at this point.

U.S. Federal District Judge Derrick Watson extended his temporary stay of the Trump administration’s second travel ban to a permanent one on Wednesday. Yesterday, the Trump administration announced an appeal to the 9th Circuit. The Trump administration has also appealed a ruling in a Maryland Federal District Court to the 4th Circuit. There is speculation that the 4th Circuit could rule in favor of the administration—the District Court’s ruling in Maryland, while the 9th Circuit is seen as likely to rule against the administration. Such a circuit split often ends up before the Supreme Court.

During a rare, open hearing this week, it was revealed that Hilary Clinton was not the only target of cyber-attacks before or during the 2016 campaign. One expert testified before the Senate Intelligence Committee that House Speaker Paul Ryan and Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) were also targeted. One form of the attacks includes building fake news outlets that appear to be legitimate American or western news sources, and then using those by the dozens to peddle conspiracy theories and unsubstantiated news claims in the hopes that well-known, if not totally legitimate American news sources would pick them up and report on them as well. Other means include an attempt to breach politicians’ office networks in order to gain information. Rubio’s office later seemed to confirm that his office had detected at least two attempts to breach its security, but offered no further comment. This news came on the heels of a joint press conference between Senate Intelligence Chair Richard Burr (R-NC) and Ranking Member Mark Warner (D-VA) in which their apparent cooperation and intent to get to the bottom of Russian connections to the Trump campaign and the 2016 election.

Shortly before the inauguration in January, the existence of an intelligence dossier on Donald Trump, complied after investigations and interview by a former British intelligence officer name Christopher Steele, came to be known. The dossier includes many salacious claims about Trump, all of which have been denied by Trump and completely dismissed by other sources, including the Kremlin. Careful investigation since then has revealed that some parts of the dossier may not be fiction at all. And here the Washington Post examines one of the dossier’s key sources, named “Source D” in the dossier.

The Trump White House has seen its first shakeup, though that might be a bit strong. Deputy Chief of Staff Katie Walsh, an ally of Chief of Staff Reince Priebus, was detached from the West Wing and sent to lead America First Policies, an outside political organization which is supporting Trump, but which did not take an active role in pushing back on Republican lawmakers who voted against the AHCA.

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) is seeking a last-minute deal among Democrats to prevent the invocation of the so-called “nuclear option.” Two Democrats—Heidi Heitkamp and Joe Manchin—have pledged to vote for Gorsuch, but 30 have pledged to filibuster his nomination. A filibuster would likely lead to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell to invoke the right of Executive Branch judicial nominees to change Senate rules so that only a bare majority, 51 votes, will approve Supreme Court nominees. McCain ally Lindsey Graham (R-SC) noted that future nominations needing only 51 votes to gain confirmation will lead to more ideologically extreme nominees in the future, and this is a position which has some merit. It is given added bolstering when you consider that Graham voted for both Sonia Sotomayor and Elena Kagan.

Down in Georgia, the special election to replace former Representative and now Secretary of Health and Human Services Tom Price in his congressional seat is heating up. The Georgia 6th District is not overly Republican, and Price’s continual victories had much to do with his retail politics and personal popularity in the district. However, a divided Republican field has given room for a Democratic challenger, Jon Ossoff, to potentially win without a runoff. The dynamics of the district suggest that Ossoff will not garner enough votes to avoid a runoff against a single Republican nominee, and that during that runoff the Republican will prevail, but special elections are, if you forgive the usage, “special.” In this political climate anything can happen, but, and this is important, it will not necessarily be indicative of a wide-ranging rebuttal or confirmation of the Trump administration and a Republican-controlled Congress to this point.

The Conservative Party of Canada has adopted a decidedly hardline view on asylum seekers leaving the United States for Canada, going so far as to call for the deployment of soldiers on the border in order to arrest and detain individuals as they illegally cross the border. Considering that the number of asylum seekers in Canada each year is quite low, especially in relation to the number international refugees the nation takes in, this seems like an overreaction. The extent to which this is associated with the rise of anti-immigration view in the United States, I leave for others to decide.

In Indonesia, a palm oil harvester went missing last weekend. This week, a search party found near his last location a 23 foot long reticulated python—the longest snake in the world—with a hugely distended belly, and killed it. After they captured and killed the python, video seems to show villagers cutting open its belly and pulling out the corpse of the missing harvester. Not recommended if you have a fear of snakes.

The Atlantic on what the new parameters of the ideological spectrum are with a Republican in the White House who is not a doctrinaire, nor a conservative, Republican. Money quotation: ‘But then, when he went to Iowa to campaign for Rand Paul in the 2016 GOP primary, “I saw that the same people that had voted for Ron Paul weren't voting for Rand Paul, they were voting for Donald Trump … in Kentucky, the people who were my voters ended up voting for Donald Trump in the primary. And so I was in a funk because how could these people let us down? How could they go from being libertarian ideologues to voting for Donald Trump? And then I realized what it was: They weren't voting for the libertarian in the race, they were voting for the craziest son of a bitch in the race when they voted for me and Rand and Ron. So Trump just won, you know, that category, but dumped the ideological baggage.”’

In July 1997, Hong Kong was handed over by Britain to China. As part of its transfer, the British government extricated a promise from Beijing that Hong Kong’s democratic form of government would be maintained. In the two decades since the handover Hong Kong’s institutions have been pervasively undermined by Beijing and Hong Kong’s pro-democracy elements, but Beijing has nevertheless managed to have its own nominees elected as Chief Executive of the city. Brookings analyzes why this is an ongoing issue.

Kyle Kondik of the University of Virginia has a thoughtful analysis on how certain legislative failures, or achievements of the Trump administration may affect the 2018 midterm election. Midterms are always about enthusiasm, of the party in power or the minority, and are often a rebuke of the party who controls the White House. This is not a notional analysis of current political narratives, but a numbers-based analysis of districts and voter participation. An excellent read.

Finally, the New York Times has a photo essay on one of the greatest war photographers that no one has ever heard of, French-woman Catherine Leroy. Leroy captured some of the most important images of the Vietnam War, in part because she was permanently embedded with the units she followed; she had no money of her own and survived precisely because she was embedded with units that received food regularly. She was also a master parachutist and was able to accompany airborne troops on their incursions. When I read this story, I was reminded of an episode of Radiolab—which, if you don’t listen to, you absolutely should—which profiled the choice that current day photographer Lynsey Addario had when she photographed the death of an American soldier in Afghanistan several years ago. If you click on nothing else above, I recommend these two links, wholeheartedly.

Welcome to the weekend.

#Opening Bell#South Korean#politics#North Korea#nuclear weapons#Israel#Palestine#settlements#Afghanistan#NATO#Montenegro#Russia#North Carolina#HB 2#Roy Cooper#House Freedom Caucus#Donald Trump#healthcare#Hawaii#travel ban#judiciary#cyber attacks#2016 election#Paul Ryan#Marco Rubio#dossier#Christopher Steele#Canada#immigration#Neil Gorsch

everettwilkinson

Nov 3, 2017

CHANGES TO THE TAX BILL: Today at noon, just before we sit down w/ WAYS AND MEANS CHAIRMAN KEVIN BRADY — TRUMP/PUTIN could meet in Asia — Details from Katy Tur and Tony Dokoupil’s secret wedding — B’DAY: RACHEL ADLER

IT’S FRIDAY! BUZZ … WITH A CAVEAT — There’s been a push in the Capitol in the last 24 hours to include a repeal of the individual mandate in the House Republican tax bill. We snickered in the speaker’s lobby when North Carolina Rep. Mark Meadows said there’s an “overwhelming consensus” to gut the health care law as part of tax reform, but since then, we’ve heard it from a bunch of other lawmakers, and sources in Republican leadership aren’t shooting it down all together.

Let’s be honest: Republicans need as much revenue as they can get, since they’re slashing taxes so drastically, and repealing the individual mandate gives them $400 billion more to play with. Stay tuned.

Story Continued Below

— ALSO: The chairman’s mark — additional fixes to the tax bill — will be out by noon today ahead of the Monday markup.

— ISSUES WE KEEP HEARING ABOUT IN THE CAPITOL: Mortgage interest deduction dropping from $1 million to $500k … Property tax deduction at $10,000 … Elimination of the second-home mortgage interest deduction (big for vacation communities) … Pass-through rules.

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TRUTH BOMB, from New Jersey Republican Rep. Tom MacArthur, who seems to be relishing his wheeling-and-dealing role in just about everything these days: He told us in the speaker’s lobby yesterday he doesn’t “care what anyone says,” Republican leaders will be willing to negotiate if they don’t have the votes. He’s right. They are, in fact, negotiating.

FOR WHAT IT’S WORTH: HOUSE REPUBLICANS met around 5:30 yesterday evening to discuss the tax bill, and leaders were heartened by the positivity in the room. Over BBQ Bus grub — the smell wafted into the hallways — leaders heard a steady stream of generally positive feedback about the bill. … WHAT TO WATCH OUT FOR: Lawmakers are going home today, and they will hear from businesses and constituents about this bill over the weekend. Will the dynamic shift when folks trickle back into town Monday?

— FIRST IN PLAYBOOK: AMERICAN ACTION NETWORK is committing to spend another $8 million to push House Republicans’ tax reform bill. The group is launching a $1 million radio campaign in 49 districts today as part of the effort.

WANT TO KNOW MORE? TUNE IN OR COME ON DOWN! — WAYS AND MEANS CHAIRMAN KEVIN BRADY will sit down with us live after he drops his chairman’s mark at noon today. WHERE: Newseum (555 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW. Enter on 6th Street, between Pennsylvania Avenue and C Street) DOORS OPEN: 11:30 a.m. TUNE IN: C-SPAN is carrying the program live. RSVP http://bit.ly/politicobrady

AROUND THE TAX REFORM HORN …

— LANDMINE ALERT — WSJ’s Heather Gillers: “Bonds issued for projects that benefit private businesses would no longer receive preferential tax treatment under the proposal put forward Thursday by congressional Republicans. The measure would eliminate nearly $40 billion in subsidies over the next decade, according to a summary of the plan.

“While so-called private activity bonds have drawn criticism for diverting public money to private projects, they have also been used to attract economic development to disaster areas and build affordable housing.

“Abolishing private activity bonds could also set back President Donald Trump’s goal of attracting private investment in U.S. infrastructure, several analysts said. Private activity bonds have helped finance infrastructure projects around the country from roads to bridges to airports. This week, San Francisco International Airport issued $179 million of private activity bonds for renovations to help accommodate a growing number of passengers.” http://on.wsj.com/2zhC44i

— “GOP unity (for now) on House tax plan,” by Brian Faler: “Even before the legislation was formally unveiled, one of the most powerful groups in conservative circles, Americans for Prosperity, warned that plans to slap a tax on imports from U.S. companies that move jobs abroad ‘has the potential to derail much-needed reform.’ That was followed by denunciations from the influential National Federation of Independent Business, a small business lobby; the National Association of Home Builders; Independent Sector, which represents charities; the National Farmers Union; and even the American Institute of Architects.” http://politi.co/2xP2YNs

— NANCY COOK: “House tax bill falls short of Ivanka Trump’s ask on child tax credit”: “Ivanka Trump doesn’t always get what she wants. The House Republican tax plan unveiled on Thursday includes one of Trump’s pet issues — the child tax credit — but expands it less generously than the White House senior adviser and first daughter had hoped.” http://politi.co/2h8VUIo

SCOOP: BLOOMBERG’S JOHN MCCORMICK: “An issue advocacy group aligned with Donald Trump plans to spend about $1 million on ads promoting the Republican tax proposal and will feature the president’s first campaign manager, Corey Lewandowski, as its pitchman.” https://bloom.bg/2A2k4rO

— WSJ: “Heirs, Some Business Owners Are Winners in Tax Plan” http://on.wsj.com/2A2wyjt

— NYT: “Who Wins and Who Loses from the Republican Tax Plan,” by NYT’s Alan Rappeport: “[Winners]: Business … Multinational corporations … Some middle class families … The rich and their families … Hedge funds and other general partners … [Losers]: The real estate industry … The sick … Charities … University endowments … Rare disease sufferers … The deficit … Tesla (and electric car owners).” http://nyti.ms/2xTx2Ym

— BROKEN PROMISES?: “‘Major, Major’ Tax Cut May Not Be in Store for Middle Class,” by NYT’s Jim Tankersley: “[T]he myriad changes in the code would actually raise taxes on nearly 13 million tax filers who earn $100,000 a year or less, according to preliminary calculations using the open-source economic modeling software TaxBrain. Those changes also include limits on, or the elimination of, what might be called tax breaks for middle-class aspirers. The bill would no longer allow Americans to deduct interest on student loans they took out to attend college. It would limit mortgage interest deductions to $500,000 on newly purchased homes, a provision that would hit middle-class teachers or office workers looking to buy starter houses in high-priced, economically vibrant areas such as New York City and Silicon Valley.” http://nyti.ms/2zada4R

BEHIND THE SCENES — K STREET HUDDLE — The U.S. Chamber of Commerce huddled with more than 30 top trade association CEOs Thursday afternoon hours after the House unveiled its tax legislation to discuss a path forward on the business community’s top priorities, including tax reform and renegotiating NAFTA. Chair of the Council of Economic Advisors Kevin Hassett discussed the economic impact of tax reform on the American economy. Tom Donohue led the meeting.

— CHECK OUT Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld’s handy chart comparing the 2014 Camp Tax Act, the June GOP blueprint, the September “Big 6” framework and the House Republican bill http://politi.co/2hBr20l

SEUNG MIN KIM on the SENATE: “Senate littered with tax reform land mines”: “The fanfare surrounding the House GOP tax plan on Thursday masked a brewing storm in the other chamber. Senate Republicans will have to sway a host of GOP swing votes as they try to jam through their own tax overhaul with almost no margin for error. Fiscal hawks are squawking about how tax legislation could balloon the deficit. Moderates like Sen. Susan Collins of Maine are worried tax cuts will disproportionately favor the rich. Even an Obamacare-related row could bubble up and trip up passage.

“While a small handful of Democrats might get on board, it’s more likely Republicans will have to go it alone — meaning they can lose just two GOP votes before their tax bill tanks. Here’s a look at the groups of Republican senators that Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and the Senate’s chief tax writers will have to satisfy to get a bill through their chamber: The deficit hawks: Bob Corker, John McCain, Jeff Flake … The moderates: Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski … The perennial leadership headaches: Rand Paul and Ron Johnson … The demanding conservatives: Mike Lee, Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz.” http://politi.co/2lKeCI3

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THE NEXT SHOE TO DROP — “Female lawmakers allege harassment by colleagues in House,” by AP’s Erica Weiner and Juliet Linderman: “‘When I was a very new member of Congress in my early 30s, there was a more senior member who outright propositioned me, who was married, and despite trying to laugh it off and brush it aside it, would repeat. And I would avoid that member,’ said Rep. Linda Sanchez, D-Calif. She added that she would warn other new female members about the lawmaker in question, but she declined to identify him, while saying he remains in Congress.

“‘I just don’t think it would be helpful’ to call the lawmaker out by name, Sanchez said. ‘The problem is, as a member there’s no HR department you can go to, there’s nobody you can turn to. Ultimately they’re employed by their constituents.’” http://bit.ly/2zeKnOC Other members quoted include Rep. Jackie Speier (D-Calif.), former Rep. Mary Bono (R-Calif.) and former Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.)

TRUMP’S FRIDAY — Trump is leaving this morning for Hickam Air Force Base in Hawaii. This afternoon he will join a United States Pacific Command briefing and participate in a tour of the USS Arizona Memorial en route to Asia.

— NYT, A7: “Trump Heads to Asia With an Ambitious Agenda but Little to Offer,” by Mark Landler: “President Trump departs on his first trip to Asia on Friday weakened and scandal-scarred, ready to face off against newly empowered Chinese and Japanese leaders in a region increasingly determined to set its course without American direction.

“The White House is framing the trip as a chance for Mr. Trump to showcase his budding personal relationships with President Xi Jinping of China and Prime Minister Shinzo Abe of Japan — a forceful world leader pressing his peers to negotiate fairer trade deals with the United States and to intensify the pressure on nuclear-armed North Korea.

“But Mr. Trump’s erratic statecraft, compounded by the shadow of the Russia investigation, leaves him in a questionable position to extract concessions from Mr. Xi or even allies like Japan and South Korea. The South Koreans may actually draw closer to the Chinese after settling a dispute this week over the rollout of an American antimissile system.

“On the eve of the trip, White House aides also have a more basic concern: putting the 71-year-old president through a grueling 11-day, five-nation marathon that they originally conceived as two separate trips before Mr. Trump opted to do it all at once.” http://nyti.ms/2hAb8TV

— Trump told talk radio host Larry O’Connor: “The saddest thing is that because I’m the president of the United States, I’m not supposed to be involved with the Justice Department … I am not supposed to be involved with the FBI.” The full program http://bit.ly/2A1PjDC

–@alivitali: “Trump tells @IngrahamAngle ‘we may have a meeting with Putin’ while in Asia. … Trump, asked about vacancies at State, tells Fox: ‘I’m the only one that matters b/c…that’s what the policy is going to be.’”

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REP. LAMAR SMITH (R-TEXAS) announced he is not running for re-election in his San Antonio-and-Austin area seat. Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-Texas) also announced this week he wouldn’t run again for his Dallas-area seat. Twenty-six Republicans have either resigned, are resigning, retiring or not seeking re-election to their seat this congress.

SCOOP — CNBC’S KAYLA TAUSCHE — “Here are the corporate dealmakers joining Trump in China”: “An attendance list submitted to China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs for a state banquet held in honor of Trump’s November visit included Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein, Qualcomm CEO Steve Mollenkopf, Cheniere Energy CEO Jack Fusco and Air Products CEO Seifollah Ghasemi. Division heads from Boeing and General Electric were also included.” http://cnb.cx/2iXdGPw

— HAVE BLANKFEIN AND TRUMP MENDED FENCES?: TRUMP ran an ad during the campaign featuring Blankfein in a not-so-positive light. http://bit.ly/2ir5zGX … BLANKFEIN has thrown some broadsides that seemed to be aimed at Trump: June 9: “Just landed from China, trying to catch up…. How did ‘infrastructure week’ go?” … Aug. 14: “Lincoln: ‘A house divided against itself cannot stand.’ Isolate those who try to separate us. No equivalence w/ those who bring us together.” … Aug. 21: “Wish the moon wasn’t the only thing casting a shadow across the country. We got through one, we’ll get through the other. #SolarEclipse2017” … Sept. 5: “Immigration is a complex issue but I wouldn’t deport a kid who was brought here and only knows America. Congress must address. #DACA”.

FOR YOUR RADAR — “McMaster may move Afghanistan envoy position to White House,” by Nahal Toosi: “Aides to President Donald Trump have considered reviving an office the administration shut down months ago that was dedicated to resolving the conflict in Afghanistan, a sign that Trump’s policy there remains unsettled. Multiple sources said that senior Trump aides have discussed resurrecting the Office of the Special Representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan, which was previously based in the State Department, as a White House-based operation. … Already, some prominent names are being floated for the special envoy position, including former U.S. Ambassador to Afghanistan Zalmay Khalilzad.” http://politi.co/2A2Zvf3

RUSSIA WATCH — NYT A1, “Trump and Sessions Denied Knowing About Russian Contacts. Records Suggest Otherwise,” by Mike Schmidt, Matt Apuzzo and Scott Shane: “Standing before reporters in February, President Trump said unequivocally that he knew of nobody from his campaign who was in contact with Russians during the election. Attorney General Jeff Sessions has told the Senate the same thing. Court documents unsealed this week cast doubt on both statements and raised the possibility that Mr. Sessions could be called back to Congress for further questioning. … Records in that case show that George Papadopoulos, a foreign policy adviser, had frequent discussions with Russians in 2016 and trumpeted his connections in front of Mr. Trump and Mr. Sessions. … [T]he court documents represent the first concrete evidence that Mr. Trump was personally told about ties between a campaign adviser and Russian officials.” http://nyti.ms/2gZO6Fm

— “Carter Page testifies he told Sessions about Russia trip,” by CNN’s Manu Raju and Jeremy Herb: “Former Trump foreign policy adviser Carter Page privately testified Thursday that he mentioned to Jeff Sessions he was traveling to Russia during the 2016 presidential campaign — as new questions emerge about the attorney general’s comments to Congress about Russia and the Trump campaign. During more than six hours of closed-door testimony, Page said that he informed Sessions about his coming July 2016 trip to Russia, which Page told CNN was unconnected to his campaign role. Page described the conversation to CNN after he finished talking to the House intelligence committee.” http://cnn.it/2zga6pM

— “Senate Democrats want to grill Sessions again after Papadopoulos plea deal,” by Elana Schor: “Senate Democrats said Thursday they want to grill Attorney General Jeff Sessions again after new twists in the federal probe into any Russian ties to President Donald Trump’s campaign, but a person familiar with his interactions said the former Republican senator didn’t know the extent of ex-campaign adviser George Papadopoulos’ conversations with Kremlin-linked individuals. Sessions faces mounting calls to clarify his testimony before the Senate following the unveiling Monday of a plea deal by Papadopoulos in special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation of Russia’s interference in the 2016 election.” http://politi.co/2gYnogf

HMM — @TwitterGov at 8:05 p.m.: “Earlier today @realdonaldtrump’s account was inadvertently deactivated due to human error by a Twitter employee. The account was down for 11 minutes, and has since been restored. We are continuing to investigate and are taking steps to prevent this from happening again. … at 10 p.m.: “Through our investigation we have learned that this was done by a Twitter customer support employee who did this on the employee’s last day. We are conducting a full internal review.”

THE EXPANDING PROBE: “Mueller grand jury investigating Vin Weber, 2nd top D.C. lobbyist,” by AP’s Desmond Butler: “FBI agents working for Mueller are asking witnesses about meetings between [Rick] Gates, [Tony] Podesta and [Vin] Weber to discuss the lobbying work in detail and any communication with representatives of a pro-Russian Ukrainian political party, according to two people familiar with the interviews who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the investigation. ‘There were questions about how much Podesta and Vin Weber were involved. There was a lot of interest there,’ one of them said. FBI agents also expressed interest in the law firm Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP, which produced a 2012 report used to justify the jailing of an opposition politician in Ukraine.” http://strib.mn/2lLWrBw

K STREET FILES — “Podesta Group labors to remake itself after founder’s exit,” by Theo Meyer: “Days after Tony Podesta shook Washington by stepping down as chairman of his namesake lobbying firm, the Podesta Group is laboring to remake itself as some staffers and clients eye the exits. … Sources familiar with the situation at the Podesta Group said on Monday that the firm would relaunch quickly. Four days after Podesta stepped down from the firm he founded, though, that has not happened. Eight Podesta Group staffers who spoke on condition of anonymity said the firm is hustling to hang on to as many clients as possible as it struggles to hammer out what it will look like without its founder.

“Two of the firm’s highest-paying clients, Oracle and Wells Fargo, are leaving, even as others wait to see how things shake out. … Paul Brathwaite, a Podesta Group principal whose clients include Airbnb, Samsung and T-Mobile, sent an email to clients on Wednesday saying he was leaving to start his own firm, Federal Street Strategies. … Lobbyists who plan to remain at Podesta Group said many staffers there are optimistic about starting fresh and that most of the firm’s clients are sticking with them — or at least waiting to see how the firm revamps. Five clients — including BAE Systems, BP and Lockheed Martin — confirmed to POLITICO that they’re staying with the firm.” http://politi.co/2h0jQtS

PHOTO DU JOUR: President Donald Trump, accompanied by House Speaker Paul Ryan and House Ways and Means Chairman Kevin Brady, holds an example of what a new tax form may look like during a meeting on tax policy with Republican lawmakers in the Cabinet Room of the White House on Nov. 2. | Evan Vucci/AP Photo

IVANKA ABROAD — “Ivanka Trump nods to ‘womenomics’ in Japan,” by CNN’s Betsy Klein in Tokyo: “Ivanka Trump arrived in Tokyo Thursday for a very brief trip to speak about women’s participation in the economy at the World Assembly of Women … Trump, who attended the event at the invitation of Japanese Prime Minister Shinzō Abe … [and] will have dinner with Abe Friday evening. … She spoke about women in Japan who have inspired her, praised Abe’s paid family leave policy, and also referenced Abe’s ‘womenomics’ movement, which has implemented policies for increased women’s participation to achieve economic growth.” http://cnn.it/2zaWFrn

— NYT’S MOTOKO RICH in TOKYO: “As the president might say, the room was half full. Ivanka Trump, the president’s daughter and adviser, was the much-heralded guest at a government-sponsored conference on women’s empowerment in Tokyo on Friday, just two days before President Trump’s scheduled arrival here on his first stop of an Asia tour. Yet Ms. Trump spoke to a room with so many empty seats that ushers hustled to move audience members forward several rows in the minutes before she walked to the podium.” http://nyti.ms/2A1w1yg

–PER IAN KULLGREN: “Rep. Mimi Walters (R-Calif.) introduced a bill [on Thursday] that would shield businesses from state and local paid leave laws if they voluntarily provided a certain amount of time off and workplace benefits. The legislation would offer an incentive for businesses to give paid family leave and flexible work options to employees — a substitute for more stringent proposals from the White House and Democrats in Congress.”

THE MESS ON SOUTH CAPITOL STREET — “DNC fires its top fundraiser: The committee’s slow fundraising has been a serious problem for the party since the 2016 election,” by Gabe Debenedetti: “The [DNC] dismissed its top fundraiser Thursday after just five months on the job, two Democrats familiar with the move told POLITICO. Emily Mellencamp Smith, the party’s finance director, was let go in a shake-up of the party’s senior leadership designed to energize the party’s fundraising.” http://politi.co/2iXb5VJ

CLICKER — ANTHONY SCARAMUCCI talking forgiveness at Liberty University http://bit.ly/2z9xohl

MEDIAWATCH — “David Corn investigated for inappropriate workplace behavior,” by Michael Calderone: “Mother Jones magazine’s editor and chief executive acknowledged on Thursday that they investigated Washington bureau chief David Corn for inappropriate workplace behavior three years ago, warning him about touching female staffers and insensitive descriptions of sexual violence, and would now probe the allegations further in light of two emails written by former staffers in 2014 and 2015 and obtained by POLITICO. One of the emails, written in 2015 by a former staffer outlining concerns she had heard from other women in the Washington office, said Corn, now 58, made ‘rape jokes,’ ‘regularly gave [several women] unwelcome shoulder rubs and engaged in uninvited touching of their legs, arms, backs, and waists,’ and ‘made inappropriate comments about women’s sexuality and anatomy.’

“The other email, from 2014, was by a former female staffer who claimed that Corn ‘came up behind me and put his hands and arms around my body in a way that felt sexual and domineering.’ CEO Monika Bauerlein and editor-in-chief Clara Jeffery said they had not seen these emails, which were shared several years ago between colleagues and union representatives. But the magazine’s leaders acknowledged dealing with allegations of inappropriate touching and comments around the time the emails were written, and said they believe Corn has stopped those behaviors. Corn, in a statement to POLITICO, said that neither his comments nor his touching of colleagues was in any way sexual.” http://politi.co/2zvmumA

— JOSH DAWSEY is leaving POLITICO to join the Washington Post’s White House team.

LAURA NAHMIAS and JIMMY VIELKIND in New York Playbook: “Yesterday, DNAinfo and Gothamist owner Joe Ricketts, the billionaire founder of TD Ameritrade, summarily shut down his local news sites, wiping any trace of them from the internet, a week after his employees voted to unionize. The unionization was a move he opposed, and reporters and employees of both sites immediately cried foul, calling the move an act of retaliation for their union organization effort. … [T]he reporters’ work — thousands of reported pieces — vanished, in an instant. An official at DNAinfo told the New York Times those articles would eventually be archived online. … 115 employees at DNAinfo and Gothamist … lost their jobs.” NYT story on the shut down, which includes DCist http://nyti.ms/2yqvLMP

— “Gawker fans could bring the site back to life,” by Page Six’s Oli Coleman: http://pge.sx/2h0zwND

— FIRST IN PLAYBOOK: JULIE PACE, AP’s Washington bureau chief, will interview Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.), the top Democrat on the House Intelligence Committee, Tuesday in the next installment of AP’s “Newsmakers” interview series.

SPOTTED at Washingtonian’s luncheon at the Watergate Hotel celebrating their “Most Powerful Women in Washington” list: Rep. Barbara Comstock (R-Va.), Kellyanne Conway, Dawn Sweeney, Julie Pace, former Rep. Jane Harman (D-Calif.) and Sara Fagen … Treasury chief of staff Eli Miller last night in the lobby of the St. Regis.

–British actor Gary Oldman, Chuck Todd, House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy, Rep. Joe Crowley (D-N.Y.), and director Joe Wright joined a discussion and screening last night of Oldman and Wright’s new movie “Darkest Hour” at the Navy Memorial’s Burke Theater hosted by Comcast NBCUniversal. Trailer http://bit.ly/2z9wa5J

SPOTTED: Reps. Charlie Dent (R-Pa.), Denny Heck (D-Wash.), Derek Kilmer (D-Wash.), Carol Shea-Porter (D-N.H.), and Jason Smith (R-Mo.), Frank Luntz, Dave Weigel, Mark Memoli, Alex Burgos, Todd Flournoy.

TRANSITIONS — Anu Rangappa has joined D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser’s administration as director of communications. She previously was at the Kolar Strategy Group and is a DNC and Dewey Street Group alum.

SUNDAY SO FAR — CBS’ “Face the Nation”: former chief White House photographer Pete Souza, author of the new book “Obama: An Intimate Portrait” … Michael Lewis. Political panel: Jamelle Bouie, Susan Page and Ramesh Ponnuru

— “Fox News Sunday”: Panel: Karl Rove, Rachael Bade, Jason Riley, Juan Williams. Power Player: Mark Cuban

— ABC’s “This Week”: Panel: Charles Blow, Sara Fagen, Marc Lotter, and Julie Pace

ENGAGED – MATT MOWERS, chief of staff for PEPFAR at State and a Trump campaign and Christie alum, on Thursday proposed to CASSIE SPODAK, a video producer for CNN Politics. They’re spending a long weekend in New Hampshire, where they first met. He proposed on Lake Winnipesaukee in Meredith. (h/t Ryan Williams)

HERE’S TO MAGIC!! — NBC’S KATY TUR and CBS’S TONY DOKOUPIL ELOPE! — Katy and Tony escaped to Utah last week, where they stood on a 165-million-year-old rock (suspended in air) and got married. “It was just us,” Katy told us. “Our vows included the phrase ‘marred provocatively’ and the line ‘I thought this would be temporary.’” Their first dance was to the Beach Boys “God Only Knows.” Next summer, Katy and Tony will celebrate with friends at a “big messy boozy party.” NOTE FOR TONY: Katy wants a pool party. She’ll settle for a Soul Shakedown Party. But it’s Party Time. WHAT SOME OF US ARE ASKING: Will we see Tony at the Garden in December?

HAPPY FOURTH ANNIVERSARY to Ben and Ashley Chang

BIRTHWEEK (was yesterday): Politico’s Eli Okun

BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: Katie Packer Beeson, founding partner of Burning Glass Consulting, MSNBC contributor and GWU professor. A fun fact about Katie: “Both of my parents were born and raised in Great Britain during WW2. Their influence shapes my worldview every single day.” Read her Playbook Plus Q&A: http://politi.co/2gYBrCD

BIRTHDAYS: Stu Rosenberg … Charlie Hurt … CAA’s Rachel Adler … Michael Dukakis is 84 … Anna Wintour … NYT’s James Kanter … Dennis Miller is 64 … O. Kay Henderson … former Rep. Lynn Woolsey (D-Calif.) is 8-0 … Sen. Mazie Hirono (D-HI) is 7-0 … Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler (R-Wash.) is 39 … Christie Stephenson, comms director for SEIU Local 509 … Evelyn Nieves … Phyllis Cuttino of the Pew Charitable Trusts (hat tip: Jon Haber) … Jared Rizzi … Jeff Brownlee, research and communications strategist at In Pursuit Of … Paul Brathwaite is 47. He’s celebrating by going to dinner and the Wizards/Cavs game (h/t wife Sonya) … Erica Moody … Anne Sjostrom … Gabby Adler … Amie Kershner … Quentin Fulks, deputy campaign manager at JB Pritzker for Governor … Matthew Kirincic … Katie Cook Romano … Bob Van Heuvelen … Kelli Kedis Ogborn, former DARPA congressional liaison and president of H.S Dracones consulting (h/t Ed Cash) … Robin Gray, DC-based communications manager for Exelon (h/t Bill McQuillen) …

… Kam Mumtaz, comms director for the NFL … Rowan Morris, VP at Guggenheim Partners and a Goldman Sachs alum, is 32 … Anne Mahlum, founder/owner and CEO of solidcore, celebrating by opening their 6th studio in Navy Yard tomorrow on the company’s 4th anniversary (h/t Justine DiGiglio-Cifarelli) … Brian Babcock-Lumish … Mindi Walker … Chris Falls … Politico’s Anthony Adragna, Ryan Hendrixson and Renuka Rayasam … Ben Kirshner … Christian Haines … Pearce Godwin … Julian Baird Gewirtz … Liz Rolnik … Joe Cohen (h/t Nadia Szold) … David Case … Raphaella Baek … Caroline Michelman … Texas-based GOP ad maker Vinny Minchillo is 56 … Clay Wertheimer … Elizabeth Summers … David Case … Matthew Coudert Jr. … Jack McLaughlin … Carly Burns … Amy Rosenbaum … Scout Tufankjian … Heidi Peterson … Shawn Rusterholz … Christie Findlay … Kevin McVicker … Richard Hudson … Mark Helmke … Robina Suwol … John Damian Butts is 47 … Rocco A. Mazza … Jeff Hutcheson … Barb Bichelmeyer (h/ts Teresa Vilmain)

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